Welsh Mountain Community Center
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Welsh Mountain Community Center clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-16.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	14% 6% 3 6% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 40%	74740
	Night	15% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 42%	75060
Transparency	Day	42% 6% 12% 22% 15% 3	74451
	Night	41% 6% 12% 22% 16% 3	74883
Seeing	Day	20% 16% 28% 22% 11% 3	13813
	Night	18% 14% 31% 27% 10% 1	23275

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover NE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 3 6% 6% 4 5% 4 5% 6% 40%	1517
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 7% 35%	1570
	21st to end	Day	14% 9% 3 7% 6% 3 5% 4 5% 6% 38%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 9% 4 5% 6% 3 4 4 6% 7% 36%	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 8% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 8% 38%	1666
	21st to end	Day	19% 11% 3 8% 4 3 4 4 4 5% 36%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 3 5% 5% 4 5% 4 4 7% 45%	1848
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 9% 3 6% 5% 2 5% 5% 6% 7% 36%	1980
	21st to end	Day	20% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 37%	2268
April	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 3 6% 6% 3 4 4 6% 7% 40%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 2 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 43%	2134
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 3 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 7% 39%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	16% 8% 3 6% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 36%	2312
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 8% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 35%	2478
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 3 6% 6% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 40%	2725
June	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 10% 39%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 3 6% 6% 4 5% 6% 6% 9% 38%	2520
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 3 5% 4 4 5% 5% 6% 10% 42%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 6% 4 6% 6% 7% 9% 39%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 4 6% 3 6% 7% 8% 9% 44%	2520
	21st to end	Day	10% 6% 4 6% 6% 4 6% 7% 7% 8% 36%	2639
August	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 6% 7% 4 7% 6% 6% 8% 39%	2327
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 7% 7% 4 5% 5% 7% 8% 39%	2171
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 6% 6% 8% 41%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 6% 6% 43%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 4 5% 3 3 4 5% 8% 50%	2160
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 3 5% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 6% 39%	1931
October	1st to 10th	Day	16% 7% 3 5% 4 3 3 4 6% 7% 43%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 6% 3 4 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 46%	1800
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 2 4 4 2 4 4 6% 6% 43%	1962
November	1st to 10th	Day	11% 7% 3 5% 4 2 3 4 4 7% 51%	1671
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 6% 3 4 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 45%	1710
	21st to end	Day	15% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 7% 43%	1535
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 8% 3 5% 6% 3 4 4 5% 7% 37%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 8% 3 4 5% 3 3 4 5% 6% 40%	1906
	21st to end	Day	16% 8% 3 6% 7% 4 6% 5% 5% 6% 34%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	14% 7% 3 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 4 7% 42%	2649
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 7% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 6% 7% 37%	2509
	21st to end	Night	12% 8% 3 5% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 42%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 4 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 38%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 6% 39%	2180
	21st to end	Night	17% 8% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 39%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	14% 5% 2 4 5% 3 4 4 5% 8% 46%	2096
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 4 5% 43%	1979
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 3 6% 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 42%	2087
April	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 7% 7% 39%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 3 6% 4 3 4 5% 5% 9% 43%	1775
	21st to end	Night	17% 6% 3 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 42%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	17% 5% 3 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 5% 8% 37%	1662
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 3 6% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 7% 37%	1415
	21st to end	Night	13% 7% 3 5% 4 3 5% 5% 6% 10% 40%	1550
June	1st to 10th	Night	13% 5% 3 6% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 8% 43%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 6% 5% 7% 10% 39%	1440
	21st to end	Night	10% 5% 2 4 4 2 5% 6% 8% 10% 44%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 3 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 7% 8% 38%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 2 5% 5% 4 6% 5% 8% 10% 44%	1440
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 6% 3 6% 6% 8% 10% 41%	1675
August	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 6% 3 5% 5% 7% 9% 43%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 3 6% 7% 3 5% 6% 6% 8% 40%	1710
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 3 4 5% 3 4 5% 6% 8% 44%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	14% 5% 3 6% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 47%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 3 2 4 4 5% 7% 53%	1800
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 43%	2027
October	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 3 6% 4 2 4 3 4 6% 43%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 4 2 4 5% 5% 6% 48%	2160
	21st to end	Night	18% 5% 2 4 4 2 3 4 5% 7% 47%	2394
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 52%	2407
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 2 5% 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 46%	2470
	21st to end	Night	13% 4 3 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 45%	2642
December	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 2 6% 6% 3 4 4 5% 6% 37%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 2 7% 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 41%	3288
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 3 6% 6% 3 4 6% 7% 7% 34%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	43% 5% 13% 22% 13% 4	1518
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 6% 13% 21% 12% 2	1570
	21st to end	Day	46% 5% 10% 23% 14% 2	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	46% 5% 14% 23% 10% 2	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	45% 5% 9% 26% 13% 2	1675
	21st to end	Day	49% 4 9% 20% 13% 4	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	39% 5% 12% 26% 15% 2	1851
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 6% 11% 20% 15% 4	1980
	21st to end	Day	48% 5% 8% 19% 18% 3	2268
April	1st to 10th	Day	42% 5% 12% 20% 16% 5%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 6% 11% 22% 17% 5%	2134
	21st to end	Day	43% 6% 12% 19% 17% 4	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	46% 7% 9% 20% 15% 3	2312
	11th to 20th	Day	47% 7% 11% 20% 13% 2	2482
	21st to end	Day	41% 8% 14% 22% 13% 2	2725
June	1st to 10th	Day	40% 8% 12% 24% 14% 1	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 8% 13% 23% 12% 3	2520
	21st to end	Day	36% 9% 14% 25% 15% 1	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	40% 8% 12% 22% 15% 3	2450
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 8% 14% 26% 16% 2	2445
	21st to end	Day	42% 9% 10% 21% 15% 2	2491
August	1st to 10th	Day	40% 9% 13% 22% 15% 1	2314
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 8% 14% 21% 16% 2	2171
	21st to end	Day	39% 8% 12% 22% 16% 3	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	41% 6% 11% 20% 18% 4	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 5% 9% 26% 23% 4	2160
	21st to end	Day	45% 5% 8% 18% 21% 3	1931
October	1st to 10th	Day	41% 5% 11% 24% 17% 2	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 5% 11% 23% 20% 2	1800
	21st to end	Day	41% 5% 9% 25% 18% 2	1962
November	1st to 10th	Day	35% 3 13% 25% 19% 4	1671
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 5% 11% 24% 20% 2	1710
	21st to end	Day	40% 6% 11% 30% 11% 3	1535
December	1st to 10th	Day	47% 5% 15% 20% 12% 1	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 4 14% 28% 10% 1	1906
	21st to end	Day	49% 6% 14% 21% 10% 1	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	41% 4 10% 24% 16% 4	2649
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 6% 12% 23% 12% 2	2509
	21st to end	Night	40% 5% 10% 26% 16% 3	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	46% 5% 12% 24% 11% 2	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	45% 5% 9% 20% 17% 3	2182
	21st to end	Night	45% 5% 9% 21% 15% 4	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	37% 5% 11% 26% 18% 3	2106
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 4 10% 22% 16% 4	1980
	21st to end	Night	44% 4 10% 20% 18% 5%	2087
April	1st to 10th	Night	43% 5% 11% 19% 17% 5%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 7% 11% 21% 20% 4	1775
	21st to end	Night	42% 5% 10% 21% 18% 5%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	45% 7% 11% 18% 16% 4	1662
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 7% 12% 15% 18% 3	1416
	21st to end	Night	39% 9% 16% 19% 15% 2	1551
June	1st to 10th	Night	39% 7% 11% 22% 19% 1	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 9% 13% 22% 15% 1	1440
	21st to end	Night	32% 8% 16% 27% 16% 2	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	41% 10% 15% 18% 14% 3	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 9% 17% 23% 16% 2	1392
	21st to end	Night	35% 10% 16% 21% 17% 2	1582
August	1st to 10th	Night	36% 9% 16% 24% 15% 1	1600
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 9% 13% 19% 16% 2	1710
	21st to end	Night	36% 8% 14% 22% 18% 2	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	39% 6% 11% 21% 19% 4	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 5% 10% 24% 25% 4	1800
	21st to end	Night	42% 5% 8% 21% 22% 2	2027
October	1st to 10th	Night	44% 4 11% 23% 17% 2	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 5% 11% 28% 18% 2	2160
	21st to end	Night	38% 5% 9% 27% 19% 2	2394
November	1st to 10th	Night	33% 4 12% 26% 20% 5%	2407
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 5% 9% 23% 19% 5%	2470
	21st to end	Night	37% 5% 13% 27% 16% 2	2642
December	1st to 10th	Night	46% 5% 12% 22% 14% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 5% 13% 21% 16% 3	3288
	21st to end	Night	45% 7% 14% 22% 11% 1	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	28% 29% 27% 14% 2 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 30% 31% 10% 1	210
	21st to end	Day	23% 33% 30% 11% 2 1	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	28% 32% 30% 9% 2	240
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 26% 36% 6% 1	333
	21st to end	Day	34% 21% 31% 12% 2	346
March	1st to 10th	Day	23% 26% 32% 16% 3	420
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 27% 32% 11% 3 1	420
	21st to end	Day	28% 21% 31% 15% 4 1	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	24% 24% 31% 14% 5% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 21% 28% 18% 8% 3	412
	21st to end	Day	27% 17% 35% 15% 5% 1	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	26% 21% 24% 21% 6% 2	423
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 16% 31% 21% 8% 2	447
	21st to end	Day	18% 10% 26% 25% 19% 3	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 12% 30% 26% 15% 3	450
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 12% 29% 26% 12% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	14% 9% 28% 31% 14% 5%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	14% 4 20% 30% 22% 9%	445
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 24% 37% 24% 6%	444
	21st to end	Day	12% 7% 28% 31% 18% 4	488
August	1st to 10th	Day	12% 4 26% 28% 22% 8%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 18% 34% 21% 8%	439
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 22% 33% 18% 8%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	18% 9% 21% 27% 17% 9%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 6% 25% 27% 16% 10%	450
	21st to end	Day	23% 14% 23% 23% 14% 4	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	23% 8% 26% 24% 16% 4	450
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 14% 31% 23% 12% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	19% 16% 38% 19% 7% 2	486
November	1st to 10th	Day	18% 15% 30% 23% 10% 3	365
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 21% 33% 20% 6%	370
	21st to end	Day	22% 23% 32% 19% 5%	195
December	1st to 10th	Day	23% 28% 33% 13% 2 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 27% 28% 12% 4	180
	21st to end	Day	25% 23% 32% 15% 5% 1	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	17% 23% 41% 16% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 18% 33% 21% 3	744
	21st to end	Night	17% 22% 42% 18% 2	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	22% 21% 38% 18% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 25% 37% 12% 1	703
	21st to end	Night	23% 23% 38% 14% 2	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 21% 37% 19% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 20% 34% 17% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	20% 15% 41% 18% 6%	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	22% 20% 37% 18% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 15% 36% 24% 6%	711
	21st to end	Night	21% 16% 33% 24% 7%	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	21% 13% 31% 29% 7%	582
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 11% 34% 29% 8%	354
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 27% 38% 13% 2	389
June	1st to 10th	Night	14% 4 28% 40% 13%	360
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 27% 44% 12%	360
	21st to end	Night	11% 3 25% 50% 11%	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	11% 3 21% 42% 21% 1	350
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 3 19% 45% 25% 1	348
	21st to end	Night	12% 3 21% 41% 21% 2	495
August	1st to 10th	Night	10% 3 15% 46% 23% 2	537
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 14% 40% 25% 2	646
	21st to end	Night	14% 3 18% 39% 23% 3	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	16% 4 25% 32% 19% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 20% 35% 24% 4	720
	21st to end	Night	19% 6% 22% 32% 19% 2	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	23% 8% 23% 29% 14% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 12% 30% 28% 11%	720
	21st to end	Night	21% 13% 33% 24% 9%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 13% 35% 27% 11% 1	740
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 19% 30% 25% 6% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 20% 36% 22% 7%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	23% 18% 34% 18% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 19% 38% 21% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 18% 37% 23% 2	836

Page generated at 2024-01-13 09:37:57. Version ac07

Copyright 2024 Attilla Danko