Wagner Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Wagner Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-12.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	6% 4 2 5% 6% 4 6% 7% 8% 10% 40%	74812
	Night	6% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 10% 44%	74896
Transparency	Day	37% 10% 18% 18% 12% 4	74535
	Night	33% 10% 18% 20% 14% 4	74692
Seeing	Day	7% 3 14% 26% 28% 22%	14542
	Night	7% 2 15% 34% 30% 11%	24670

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 3 4 6% 3 4 6% 7% 9% 48%	1706
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 4 2 4 5% 3 5% 5% 8% 9% 48%	1629
	21st to end	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 6% 3 5% 5% 5% 9% 46%	1940
February	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 5% 2 4 6% 7% 9% 47%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 1 3 4 2 4 4 5% 8% 61%	1748
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 4 3 4 5% 6% 11% 54%	1603
March	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 4 2 3 4 6% 9% 62%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 2 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 10% 53%	1980
	21st to end	Day	4 4 1 3 5% 3 4 4 5% 8% 58%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 3 4 3 5% 5% 7% 11% 56%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 1 4 5% 3 4 5% 7% 10% 52%	1956
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 4 4 3 5% 6% 6% 10% 55%	2136
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 2 3 2 4 4 6% 10% 64%	2209
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 6% 5% 3 6% 6% 7% 10% 43%	2301
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 2 5% 6% 4 5% 7% 8% 10% 40%	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	11% 7% 3 7% 7% 4 7% 7% 8% 11% 26%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 6% 8% 5% 9% 8% 9% 12% 29%	2340
	21st to end	Day	7% 5% 3 7% 9% 5% 8% 10% 9% 12% 25%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 10% 8% 10% 12% 24%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 2 7% 8% 7% 10% 10% 10% 11% 23%	2340
	21st to end	Day	6% 6% 3 7% 8% 6% 9% 10% 11% 13% 23%	2547
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 3 7% 9% 6% 9% 8% 10% 12% 28%	2323
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 3 8% 8% 6% 9% 10% 11% 14% 22%	2038
	21st to end	Day	8% 6% 3 8% 8% 5% 9% 10% 9% 12% 22%	2178
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 6% 3 8% 9% 6% 9% 9% 8% 12% 26%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 3 8% 9% 5% 7% 8% 10% 11% 25%	1980
	21st to end	Day	9% 7% 3 7% 8% 6% 8% 8% 10% 10% 25%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 3 9% 7% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 34%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 6% 3 6% 7% 4 6% 6% 7% 9% 40%	1814
	21st to end	Day	8% 5% 2 4 6% 3 6% 6% 6% 8% 47%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 4 3 6% 5% 6% 8% 52%	1857
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 6% 5% 6% 10% 44%	1900
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 2 4 6% 3 6% 5% 6% 8% 51%	1891
December	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 4 5% 3 4 6% 5% 9% 50%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 3 4 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 10% 45%	2153
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 3 6% 7% 4 6% 7% 7% 10% 35%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 2 4 5% 3 4 5% 7% 11% 47%	2459
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 3 5% 5% 2 5% 6% 6% 10% 45%	2354
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 3 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 8% 45%	2412
February	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 2 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 8% 48%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 4 5% 9% 56%	2098
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 8% 59%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 1 3 3 2 3 3 6% 8% 64%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 2 4 4 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 55%	1980
	21st to end	Night	2 4 1 3 3 2 5% 5% 6% 9% 59%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 2 3 4 3 4 5% 7% 10% 56%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 10% 51%	1953
	21st to end	Night	4 4 2 4 5% 2 4 6% 6% 9% 52%	1823
May	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 2 3 2 5% 5% 6% 10% 60%	1764
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 2 5% 4 3 6% 6% 9% 8% 45%	1592
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 3 6% 5% 3 6% 6% 8% 8% 45%	1744
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 4 8% 7% 4 6% 7% 7% 11% 28%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 6% 2 5% 5% 5% 8% 8% 9% 11% 35%	1620
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 3 8% 8% 6% 7% 7% 9% 15% 28%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 5% 4 7% 7% 5% 6% 7% 9% 12% 32%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 5% 3 6% 7% 4 8% 10% 12% 13% 29%	1620
	21st to end	Night	4 4 2 6% 9% 5% 8% 9% 9% 14% 32%	1771
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 6% 3 7% 7% 6% 8% 8% 9% 13% 29%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 2 7% 6% 5% 7% 8% 11% 13% 31%	1841
	21st to end	Night	8% 7% 3 8% 8% 4 7% 8% 8% 12% 26%	2178
September	1st to 10th	Night	4 5% 2 6% 7% 5% 9% 9% 11% 14% 28%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 3 7% 8% 5% 6% 6% 9% 14% 30%	1980
	21st to end	Night	10% 7% 4 7% 7% 4 8% 8% 8% 12% 26%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 2 7% 5% 3 6% 6% 7% 10% 40%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 5% 4 6% 9% 45%	2143
	21st to end	Night	7% 6% 2 5% 6% 3 5% 5% 6% 10% 45%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 2 5% 4 3 5% 4 6% 8% 52%	2221
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 6% 8% 49%	2280
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 2 5% 4 3 5% 5% 7% 9% 47%	2284
December	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 52%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 2 5% 4 2 4 4 6% 9% 49%	3042
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 3 6% 6% 4 5% 6% 7% 10% 36%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	32% 7% 12% 23% 18% 8%	1707
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 6% 13% 25% 20% 6%	1629
	21st to end	Day	36% 5% 11% 22% 19% 7%	1940
February	1st to 10th	Day	35% 5% 12% 22% 19% 7%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 8% 11% 27% 23% 11%	1758
	21st to end	Day	26% 7% 14% 20% 26% 7%	1603
March	1st to 10th	Day	19% 5% 13% 29% 26% 7%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 5% 14% 28% 19% 8%	1980
	21st to end	Day	25% 5% 13% 26% 22% 8%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Day	24% 8% 21% 28% 15% 6%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 7% 19% 25% 16% 5%	1956
	21st to end	Day	25% 8% 15% 23% 24% 4	2136
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 19% 27% 23% 7%	2209
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 9% 19% 20% 14% 2	2305
	21st to end	Day	40% 9% 16% 20% 14% 1	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	51% 12% 21% 14% 3	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 14% 25% 14% 2	2340
	21st to end	Day	49% 17% 23% 10% 1	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	50% 19% 23% 8%	2275
	11th to 20th	Day	49% 16% 25% 9%	2271
	21st to end	Day	47% 19% 24% 9% 1	2405
August	1st to 10th	Day	45% 16% 29% 9%	2310
	11th to 20th	Day	47% 18% 27% 8%	2038
	21st to end	Day	53% 17% 21% 8% 1	2178
September	1st to 10th	Day	49% 18% 22% 10%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	50% 16% 20% 11% 2	1980
	21st to end	Day	51% 14% 18% 11% 5% 1	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	42% 11% 15% 16% 12% 4	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 9% 15% 20% 15% 4	1814
	21st to end	Day	35% 6% 12% 19% 20% 8%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	30% 6% 14% 20% 17% 12%	1857
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 6% 12% 23% 17% 8%	1900
	21st to end	Day	31% 7% 13% 23% 21% 5%	1891
December	1st to 10th	Day	32% 6% 14% 27% 18% 4	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 8% 12% 21% 17% 10%	2150
	21st to end	Day	40% 8% 15% 18% 14% 3	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	29% 8% 13% 26% 17% 6%	2459
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 7% 12% 27% 16% 6%	2354
	21st to end	Night	34% 7% 14% 20% 18% 7%	2412
February	1st to 10th	Night	34% 7% 12% 21% 19% 7%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 5% 11% 25% 22% 11%	2099
	21st to end	Night	22% 6% 14% 22% 29% 7%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Night	18% 4 14% 32% 26% 7%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 6% 14% 30% 18% 6%	1980
	21st to end	Night	21% 6% 15% 29% 23% 7%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Night	22% 8% 17% 33% 14% 5%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 8% 18% 23% 19% 6%	1953
	21st to end	Night	26% 9% 13% 26% 22% 4	1823
May	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 15% 31% 22% 7%	1764
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 12% 21% 23% 15%	1593
	21st to end	Night	33% 9% 19% 22% 17%	1745
June	1st to 10th	Night	47% 13% 20% 17% 4	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 15% 28% 17% 2	1620
	21st to end	Night	42% 16% 27% 11% 3	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	41% 18% 30% 10% 1	1575
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 17% 32% 10% 1	1566
	21st to end	Night	37% 18% 31% 14%	1672
August	1st to 10th	Night	41% 17% 29% 13%	1600
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 20% 34% 10%	1841
	21st to end	Night	46% 19% 26% 8% 1	2178
September	1st to 10th	Night	39% 21% 28% 11% 1	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 16% 26% 12% 2	1980
	21st to end	Night	47% 15% 19% 12% 6%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	36% 10% 21% 18% 11% 3	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 8% 14% 21% 19% 3	2143
	21st to end	Night	33% 8% 13% 19% 19% 7%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	29% 7% 15% 20% 20% 10%	2221
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 6% 12% 23% 19% 7%	2280
	21st to end	Night	30% 7% 14% 21% 22% 5%	2284
December	1st to 10th	Night	28% 8% 15% 28% 18% 4	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 5% 11% 24% 18% 10%	3044
	21st to end	Night	40% 8% 19% 17% 14% 3	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	10% 6% 33% 36% 14% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 8% 29% 33% 19% 3	243
	21st to end	Day	11% 9% 36% 32% 10% 1	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	5% 8% 25% 35% 23% 4	240
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 27% 39% 21% 7%	240
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 23% 36% 29% 3	321
March	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 32% 37% 22% 3	420
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 23% 37% 26% 4	420
	21st to end	Day	2 4 20% 44% 27% 3	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	4 5% 25% 39% 21% 6%	420
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 5% 20% 39% 25% 6%	412
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 19% 34% 31% 8%	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	4 1 13% 37% 31% 15%	423
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 1 14% 29% 30% 17%	447
	21st to end	Day	8% 1 8% 21% 34% 28%	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	16% 1 7% 20% 31% 25%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 1 6% 17% 27% 41%	450
	21st to end	Day	4 1 4 10% 26% 55%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 2 2 8% 26% 58%	445
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 6% 33% 53%	444
	21st to end	Day	7% 1 5% 11% 26% 49%	488
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 8% 27% 56%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 2 8% 32% 52%	439
	21st to end	Day	10% 1 7% 16% 28% 39%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 1 3 13% 32% 45%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 1 6% 12% 33% 41%	450
	21st to end	Day	8% 1 6% 15% 35% 35%	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	6% 2 13% 29% 36% 14%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 11% 31% 31% 14%	450
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 15% 31% 33% 10%	495
November	1st to 10th	Day	8% 3 18% 30% 30% 10%	455
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 3 21% 35% 24% 7%	460
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 21% 37% 30% 4	451
December	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 20% 36% 23% 8%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 26% 33% 23% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	6% 7% 23% 35% 23% 6%	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 23% 41% 20% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 24% 43% 18%	725
	21st to end	Night	9% 6% 29% 41% 15% 1	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 26% 43% 17%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 23% 42% 20% 1	703
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 19% 52% 20%	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 27% 47% 17% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 22% 47% 20%	720
	21st to end	Night	4 3 25% 47% 20% 1	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 21% 48% 23% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	3 5% 22% 50% 19% 1	711
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 22% 47% 22% 2	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 14% 47% 31% 3	684
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 10% 41% 36% 4	531
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 7% 36% 42% 8%	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	13% 1 5% 21% 46% 14%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 6% 11% 48% 29%	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 2 12% 43% 38%	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 2 7% 41% 44%	525
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 2 8% 42% 43%	522
	21st to end	Night	4 2 9% 38% 47%	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 9% 45% 39%	537
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 7% 40% 43%	601
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 6% 15% 41% 27%	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 14% 45% 29%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 1 6% 15% 44% 24%	720
	21st to end	Night	13% 2 6% 20% 39% 20%	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 11% 36% 33% 8%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 13% 36% 34% 8%	720
	21st to end	Night	9% 1 18% 37% 29% 6%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	8% 2 21% 38% 28% 3	740
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 22% 41% 24% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 18% 45% 25% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 19% 42% 27% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 22% 38% 25% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 20% 41% 24% 2	836

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