Alkali
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Alkali clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-03-23.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	2 3 1 3 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 66%	78833
	Night	2 3 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 7% 63%	81065
Transparency	Day	17% 3 8% 19% 27% 26%	78542
	Night	19% 4 9% 22% 26% 20%	80878
Seeing	Day	4 7% 19% 28% 25% 16%	14188
	Night	4 4 19% 42% 28% 3	23912

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	1 4 3 5% 4 2 4 6% 7% 9% 54%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	1 4 2 5% 5% 4 6% 5% 8% 10% 50%	2540
	21st to end	Day	4 7% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 8% 12% 44%	3128
February	1st to 10th	Day	1 4 2 4 3 2 4 4 5% 11% 59%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	1 4 2 4 4 2 3 5% 7% 10% 58%	1850
	21st to end	Day	1 5% 2 3 3 3 4 5% 5% 8% 61%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	1 4 2 5% 5% 3 3 5% 6% 10% 57%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 2 4 4 2 3 5% 5% 10% 59%	1965
	21st to end	Day	2 3 2 3 4 3 4 5% 5% 8% 61%	2357
April	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 8% 61%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 2 3 3 2 4 4 4 6% 67%	2129
	21st to end	Day	2 3 1 2 3 1 3 4 5% 9% 66%	2204
May	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 1 3 4 2 3 4 5% 7% 67%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 66%	2301
	21st to end	Day	2 3 1 3 4 3 4 5% 6% 7% 61%	2565
June	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 4 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 67%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 3 3 2 2 3 4 6% 74%	2520
	21st to end	Day	1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 79%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 3 1 3 3 4 6% 74%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 72%	2520
	21st to end	Day	2 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 5% 7% 65%	2661
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 2 2 1 3 3 3 5% 77%	2241
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 6% 78%	2122
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 1 2 2 4 4 80%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 4 5% 78%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 3 4 82%	2008
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5% 82%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 4 6% 76%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 78%	1864
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 4 4 6% 77%	1814
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 3 3 2 4 3 4 8% 68%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 8% 73%	1710
	21st to end	Day	3 3 1 3 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 65%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 2 4 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 63%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	3 6% 3 6% 6% 4 5% 6% 7% 10% 45%	1981
	21st to end	Day	2 5% 2 4 5% 4 5% 7% 9% 11% 46%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 3 6% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 9% 54%	4406
	11th to 20th	Night	1 5% 2 6% 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 9% 51%	4420
	21st to end	Night	5% 7% 2 5% 4 3 5% 5% 7% 10% 47%	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 2 5% 3 2 3 4 5% 9% 61%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 2 3 3 3 4 6% 9% 63%	2218
	21st to end	Night	1 4 4 4 4 2 3 4 5% 8% 61%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 1 4 4 3 4 5% 6% 8% 60%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	2 4 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 8% 57%	2214
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 6% 7% 63%	2041
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 2 3 4 2 3 4 5% 7% 66%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 6% 70%	1779
	21st to end	Night	4 4 1 4 3 2 3 4 4 6% 66%	1755
May	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 2 4 3 2 3 4 5% 9% 63%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 6% 65%	1594
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 4 4 2 4 4 4 7% 59%	1707
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 3 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 68%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 2 4 2 3 3 3 6% 72%	1440
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 5% 78%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 4 4 2 3 3 3 6% 70%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 2 4 3 3 5% 4 5% 7% 64%	1440
	21st to end	Night	3 3 2 4 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 6% 57%	1654
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 5% 70%	1694
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 5% 75%	1780
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 2 1 3 3 3 6% 77%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 1 1 3 3 6% 79%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 4 80%	1951
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 3 4 81%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 6% 74%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 3 1 2 2 3 5% 78%	2092
	21st to end	Night	1 1 2 2 1 3 3 3 4 79%	2539
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 7% 74%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 4 7% 73%	2470
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 3 4 2 4 3 5% 7% 67%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 2 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 7% 61%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	2 8% 3 5% 4 3 5% 5% 6% 12% 46%	3219
	21st to end	Night	1 5% 3 6% 6% 4 7% 8% 8% 11% 41%	4862

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 5% 19% 33% 21% 1	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 6% 18% 29% 16% 5%	2540
	21st to end	Day	27% 7% 17% 27% 19% 3	3128
February	1st to 10th	Day	21% 4 11% 29% 26% 9%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 4 10% 27% 31% 8%	1860
	21st to end	Day	22% 4 11% 28% 28% 8%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 4 9% 28% 29% 8%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 3 9% 27% 28% 12%	1965
	21st to end	Day	20% 4 13% 29% 27% 8%	2357
April	1st to 10th	Day	20% 4 7% 26% 25% 17%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 4 7% 19% 31% 20%	2132
	21st to end	Day	15% 3 8% 25% 35% 14%	2204
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 3 6% 18% 38% 18%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 5% 19% 38% 18%	2304
	21st to end	Day	20% 4 7% 20% 33% 16%	2565
June	1st to 10th	Day	16% 4 7% 13% 28% 32%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 2 5% 8% 27% 46%	2520
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 3 5% 20% 61%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	13% 2 3 7% 14% 61%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 3 4 9% 20% 51%	2445
	21st to end	Day	18% 3 6% 14% 20% 39%	2513
August	1st to 10th	Day	12% 3 3 7% 17% 58%	2226
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 3 7% 22% 57%	2122
	21st to end	Day	9% 1 2 7% 24% 57%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 3 7% 22% 57%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 3 11% 29% 47%	2008
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 2 11% 35% 42%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	12% 2 5% 15% 35% 32%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 2 2 16% 36% 33%	1864
	21st to end	Day	9% 4 5% 21% 40% 21%	1814
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 2 9% 24% 33% 15%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 3 9% 29% 38% 10%	1710
	21st to end	Day	18% 3 8% 26% 31% 13%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	20% 5% 12% 27% 26% 9%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 6% 10% 26% 20% 5%	1981
	21st to end	Day	27% 7% 20% 23% 20% 3	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	23% 5% 16% 33% 21% 2	4406
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 6% 16% 29% 18% 6%	4420
	21st to end	Night	30% 6% 15% 29% 16% 4	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	22% 3 11% 28% 25% 10%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 3 9% 26% 33% 10%	2219
	21st to end	Night	22% 4 10% 30% 27% 7%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	20% 5% 9% 30% 26% 10%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 5% 9% 25% 27% 11%	2214
	21st to end	Night	20% 4 11% 33% 25% 7%	2041
April	1st to 10th	Night	19% 4 8% 29% 27% 13%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 4 6% 23% 32% 18%	1779
	21st to end	Night	19% 3 6% 25% 35% 12%	1755
May	1st to 10th	Night	19% 4 6% 19% 37% 16%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 4 6% 17% 36% 18%	1595
	21st to end	Night	24% 4 9% 19% 31% 14%	1707
June	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 8% 12% 31% 30%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 3 3 10% 26% 43%	1440
	21st to end	Night	9% 3 3 6% 23% 57%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 5% 8% 11% 58%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 4 7% 11% 15% 45%	1392
	21st to end	Night	24% 5% 7% 14% 15% 36%	1562
August	1st to 10th	Night	16% 4 4 7% 17% 52%	1685
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 5% 7% 21% 52%	1780
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 3 11% 20% 55%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 3 10% 21% 55%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 4 11% 27% 47%	1951
	21st to end	Night	10% 1 3 11% 31% 44%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	14% 2 4 16% 31% 32%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 2 4 17% 33% 34%	2092
	21st to end	Night	9% 3 5% 19% 39% 25%	2539
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 2 7% 26% 35% 18%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 3 8% 26% 35% 15%	2470
	21st to end	Night	19% 3 6% 23% 36% 13%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 5% 10% 26% 26% 10%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 5% 12% 27% 22% 4	3219
	21st to end	Night	30% 7% 14% 25% 20% 4	4862

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 25% 35% 22% 7%	180
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 23% 35% 21% 13%	180
	21st to end	Day	5% 7% 20% 28% 26% 14%	364
February	1st to 10th	Day	6% 11% 26% 29% 18% 10%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 11% 30% 27% 18% 9%	455
	21st to end	Day	5% 11% 26% 34% 18% 5%	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	4 16% 29% 28% 17% 7%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 11% 26% 29% 19% 7%	460
	21st to end	Day	7% 14% 33% 27% 14% 5%	471
April	1st to 10th	Day	6% 15% 25% 25% 18% 11%	420
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 15% 30% 26% 17% 5%	412
	21st to end	Day	6% 12% 28% 25% 16% 13%	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	5% 8% 29% 30% 16% 12%	423
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 11% 22% 27% 23% 13%	448
	21st to end	Day	5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 18%	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 6% 18% 23% 28% 21%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	4 8% 18% 25% 25% 20%	450
	21st to end	Day	2 4 17% 25% 32% 21%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 13% 29% 28% 24%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 8% 27% 35% 27%	444
	21st to end	Day	3 1 8% 30% 31% 26%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 11% 34% 30% 18%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 11% 25% 30% 30%	437
	21st to end	Day	3 1 12% 28% 29% 27%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 14% 25% 27% 27%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	2 5% 19% 28% 27% 18%	450
	21st to end	Day	2 4 15% 26% 32% 20%	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 18% 26% 26% 20%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	2 6% 16% 27% 31% 17%	450
	21st to end	Day	3 6% 13% 29% 28% 21%	329
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 13% 32% 29% 18%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	3 5% 14% 32% 27% 19%	270
	21st to end	Day	5% 6% 16% 29% 30% 16%	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 16% 41% 25% 10%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 19% 34% 27% 9%	205
	21st to end	Day	4 9% 26% 27% 23% 12%	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 20% 40% 25% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 21% 49% 21% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 22% 42% 22% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 26% 40% 23% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	4 6% 24% 42% 22% 3	744
	21st to end	Night	4 6% 26% 46% 16% 2	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	3 7% 26% 45% 17% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	4 7% 21% 42% 24% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	5% 8% 29% 40% 17% 1	800
April	1st to 10th	Night	3 10% 26% 39% 21%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 9% 28% 38% 17% 3	711
	21st to end	Night	5% 8% 26% 38% 20% 3	675
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 9% 27% 40% 18% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 9% 24% 37% 24% 1	531
	21st to end	Night	7% 9% 23% 35% 23% 2	545
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 4 19% 43% 29% 3	360
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 22% 47% 25% 1	360
	21st to end	Night	1 1 14% 51% 30% 3	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 6% 53% 35% 1	350
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 7% 43% 43% 3	348
	21st to end	Night	2 2 4 47% 42% 2	472
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 2 12% 47% 33% 1	620
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 8% 41% 45% 3	712
	21st to end	Night	2 1 7% 42% 45% 3	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 10% 36% 44% 6%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 11% 42% 38% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	2 2 13% 36% 40% 7%	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 18% 38% 31% 6%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 15% 40% 36% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	1 4 19% 36% 33% 8%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 15% 38% 35% 6%	740
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 16% 48% 27% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	3 2 18% 44% 29% 4	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 19% 49% 21% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 18% 46% 22% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	4 4 25% 46% 19% 2	836

Page generated at 2024-03-19 20:31:03. Version ac07

Copyright © 2024 Attilla Danko.