Murillo Family Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Murillo Family Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-14.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	5% 3 1 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 68%	75261
	Night	6% 5% 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 5% 66%	74519
Transparency	Day	18% 3 7% 15% 26% 30%	74987
	Night	20% 4 7% 15% 25% 29%	74316
Seeing	Day	7% 9% 28% 36% 15% 5%	14546
	Night	7% 4 15% 34% 32% 8%	24532

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 58%	1708
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 1 3 3 2 3 4 4 7% 61%	1719
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 4 4 3 3 3 5% 4 59%	1980
February	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 5% 64%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 2 3 4 2 3 3 3 6% 59%	1750
	21st to end	Day	10% 8% 2 4 4 2 3 3 3 7% 55%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	11% 7% 2 3 3 2 4 5% 6% 7% 50%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 2 3 3 2 3 3 5% 8% 58%	1867
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 57%	2322
April	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 3 2 2 4 3 4 8% 60%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 6% 65%	2129
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 3 2 1 2 3 3 6% 67%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	5% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 3 4 6% 62%	2283
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 2 3 3 2 2 2 4 7% 67%	2301
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 2 3 2 3 4 4 7% 64%	2530
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 3 2 1 3 2 4 8% 71%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 5% 79%	2381
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 83%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 5% 78%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 4 5% 77%	2354
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 2 3 2 4 3 4 7% 69%	2466
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 5% 81%	2149
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 3 5% 82%	2122
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 80%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 6% 78%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 4 83%	1985
	21st to end	Day	2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 80%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 3 2 2 3 3 5% 71%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 78%	1936
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 4 75%	1884
November	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 2 2 2 4 3 4 5% 71%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 1 2 3 1 3 4 4 5% 69%	1710
	21st to end	Day	6% 3 2 3 3 2 4 4 5% 8% 61%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 8% 60%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 2 5% 4 2 3 4 6% 8% 45%	2169
	21st to end	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 6% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 46%	3146
January	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 7% 57%	2457
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 62%	2309
	21st to end	Night	10% 5% 2 4 3 2 2 3 3 6% 59%	2376
February	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 1 4 3 2 3 3 4 5% 62%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 2 3 3 1 2 4 3 5% 63%	2098
	21st to end	Night	12% 8% 1 3 3 2 3 3 5% 5% 53%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	9% 9% 3 5% 4 3 4 4 4 7% 49%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 7% 56%	2092
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 6% 55%	2030
April	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 3 3 3 2 4 4 5% 9% 55%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 7% 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 6% 63%	1779
	21st to end	Night	8% 6% 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 6% 63%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 2 3 3 1 2 2 3 6% 64%	1674
	11th to 20th	Night	4 6% 2 3 3 1 3 3 3 6% 66%	1594
	21st to end	Night	4 7% 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 6% 65%	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 6% 74%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 80%	1569
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 85%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 86%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 1 2 1 2 3 3 5% 79%	1600
	21st to end	Night	3 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 6% 72%	1849
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 4 82%	1790
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 86%	1780
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 84%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 3 4 80%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 83%	1973
	21st to end	Night	3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 81%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 2 3 1 3 3 3 4 73%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 1 3 2 1 2 1 3 3 77%	2020
	21st to end	Night	4 4 1 2 3 1 3 3 3 4 73%	2470
November	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 5% 71%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 3 2 2 3 3 4 6% 69%	2470
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 1 4 3 2 4 4 5% 6% 59%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 8% 57%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 3 4 4 2 3 4 6% 7% 46%	3041
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 6% 47%	4521

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	26% 4 7% 19% 25% 20%	1709
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 4 7% 15% 29% 23%	1719
	21st to end	Day	29% 3 7% 15% 21% 25%	1980
February	1st to 10th	Day	24% 3 5% 13% 26% 29%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 3 4 15% 26% 25%	1760
	21st to end	Day	31% 4 8% 16% 22% 21%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	30% 4 9% 17% 21% 19%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 4 9% 17% 25% 19%	1867
	21st to end	Day	25% 5% 10% 21% 24% 14%	2322
April	1st to 10th	Day	25% 4 10% 22% 25% 14%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 4 7% 19% 28% 22%	2132
	21st to end	Day	19% 4 9% 19% 34% 15%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	21% 4 10% 19% 27% 19%	2283
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 2 9% 21% 33% 17%	2304
	21st to end	Day	18% 4 11% 24% 32% 12%	2530
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 3 8% 20% 33% 22%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 5% 13% 28% 43%	2381
	21st to end	Day	9% 1 4 8% 24% 54%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 4 9% 20% 56%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 3 8% 16% 27% 36%	2284
	21st to end	Day	14% 4 9% 19% 29% 25%	2329
August	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 5% 10% 25% 50%	2135
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 4 13% 30% 44%	2122
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 5% 9% 32% 42%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 5% 10% 29% 44%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 1 4 11% 30% 47%	1985
	21st to end	Day	10% 1 4 12% 31% 42%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 2 6% 16% 24% 35%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 2 6% 10% 29% 41%	1936
	21st to end	Day	13% 3 5% 10% 24% 46%	1884
November	1st to 10th	Day	17% 2 6% 14% 29% 33%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 6% 12% 22% 39%	1710
	21st to end	Day	22% 3 8% 12% 23% 32%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	24% 3 9% 16% 22% 26%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 8% 10% 14% 20% 16%	2168
	21st to end	Day	34% 8% 10% 18% 18% 12%	3146
January	1st to 10th	Night	28% 3 7% 15% 27% 21%	2457
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 5% 7% 15% 24% 26%	2309
	21st to end	Night	29% 4 8% 13% 20% 27%	2376
February	1st to 10th	Night	25% 3 7% 15% 22% 28%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 4 7% 14% 24% 26%	2099
	21st to end	Night	32% 5% 6% 14% 21% 22%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	34% 5% 7% 17% 19% 18%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 5% 10% 15% 25% 18%	2092
	21st to end	Night	29% 4 10% 21% 22% 13%	2030
April	1st to 10th	Night	26% 5% 11% 24% 18% 16%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 4 9% 21% 25% 20%	1779
	21st to end	Night	23% 2 8% 21% 33% 13%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	21% 3 10% 24% 23% 19%	1674
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 4 10% 24% 29% 14%	1595
	21st to end	Night	17% 5% 12% 24% 31% 10%	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	12% 3 8% 21% 32% 24%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 6% 14% 29% 41%	1569
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 4 7% 26% 55%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 2 9% 25% 57%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 6% 18% 28% 36%	1548
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 8% 19% 32% 24%	1746
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 2 5% 11% 31% 44%	1780
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 4 13% 33% 43%	1780
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 4 11% 34% 43%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 4 10% 29% 45%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 1 4 12% 32% 44%	1973
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 4 14% 29% 42%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 6% 16% 27% 32%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 2 4 11% 31% 37%	2020
	21st to end	Night	16% 2 5% 9% 22% 46%	2470
November	1st to 10th	Night	17% 3 7% 12% 28% 34%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 2 6% 14% 22% 39%	2470
	21st to end	Night	25% 3 7% 14% 18% 32%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	27% 4 7% 14% 20% 28%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 6% 9% 13% 22% 16%	3041
	21st to end	Night	32% 7% 10% 20% 19% 12%	4521

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	17% 8% 27% 36% 11% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 10% 27% 34% 14% 2	321
	21st to end	Day	12% 17% 29% 30% 10% 2	462
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 13% 32% 27% 12% 3	420
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 16% 35% 28% 7% 1	415
	21st to end	Day	16% 19% 30% 28% 7%	346
March	1st to 10th	Day	19% 17% 31% 24% 9% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 13% 35% 26% 8% 2	420
	21st to end	Day	12% 22% 35% 24% 7% 1	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 14% 32% 27% 13% 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 23% 36% 22% 10% 3	412
	21st to end	Day	7% 18% 32% 27% 9% 7%	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	9% 14% 34% 28% 10% 4	423
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 12% 33% 33% 11% 4	448
	21st to end	Day	10% 9% 33% 31% 13% 4	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 9% 27% 35% 19% 7%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	1 5% 30% 38% 19% 7%	450
	21st to end	Day	2 5% 24% 43% 18% 9%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 17% 50% 21% 10%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	1 15% 49% 22% 13%	444
	21st to end	Day	1 2 14% 47% 21% 14%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 25% 45% 17% 10%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 17% 46% 21% 13%	437
	21st to end	Day	1 18% 48% 20% 12%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 27% 43% 20% 7%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 28% 46% 17% 3	450
	21st to end	Day	4 7% 27% 36% 20% 5%	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 9% 33% 35% 18% 2	450
	11th to 20th	Day	3 8% 30% 37% 19% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	5% 9% 27% 36% 20% 4	399
November	1st to 10th	Day	5% 8% 23% 43% 19% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	4 9% 25% 40% 18% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	6% 11% 28% 34% 17% 4	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	10% 10% 26% 37% 16% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 8% 28% 34% 18% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	16% 14% 28% 27% 12% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	12% 7% 21% 34% 19% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 22% 38% 20% 5%	734
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 25% 35% 18% 4	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 21% 36% 20% 6%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 24% 37% 20% 5%	704
	21st to end	Night	15% 8% 21% 34% 18% 4	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 23% 36% 19% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 19% 34% 23% 7%	720
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 23% 37% 21% 3	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 17% 41% 23% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 6% 23% 35% 25% 4	711
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 19% 36% 25% 8%	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 19% 38% 26% 4	594
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 3 16% 33% 35% 7%	531
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 18% 38% 28% 6%	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 13% 39% 39% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 11% 42% 39% 5%	489
	21st to end	Night	2 4 33% 53% 8%	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 24% 60% 15%	350
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 33% 53% 8%	504
	21st to end	Night	2 1 3 25% 57% 13%	667
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 5% 30% 47% 16%	716
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 22% 55% 19%	712
	21st to end	Night	2 2 23% 54% 19%	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 5% 26% 50% 17%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	2 7% 32% 45% 14%	720
	21st to end	Night	3 9% 32% 44% 11%	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 11% 43% 33% 6%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 13% 36% 35% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 17% 33% 27% 13%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 13% 40% 30% 9%	740
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 17% 39% 27% 9%	760
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 19% 37% 25% 6%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 19% 37% 23% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 23% 35% 21% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	11% 9% 24% 33% 18% 4	836

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