Horseappleacres Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Horseappleacres Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-17.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	4 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 52%	74810
	Night	3 4 2 4 5% 3 4 5% 6% 8% 57%	75035
Transparency	Day	26% 7% 12% 23% 22% 10%	74518
	Night	24% 6% 12% 25% 24% 9%	74850
Seeing	Day	8% 11% 30% 29% 18% 5%	14390
	Night	6% 6% 34% 38% 14% 2	24558

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	1 4 2 3 3 2 4 4 6% 8% 63%	1518
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 3 5% 4 3 4 3 4 8% 60%	1542
	21st to end	Day	1 4 3 6% 4 2 3 3 5% 7% 60%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	1 6% 3 6% 4 3 4 4 6% 7% 57%	1633
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 2 4 4 3 5% 6% 7% 8% 56%	1749
	21st to end	Day	1 6% 3 6% 4 3 5% 4 5% 6% 57%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	2 4 2 5% 5% 3 6% 5% 5% 7% 56%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 7% 3 4 4 3 4 4 5% 9% 52%	1935
	21st to end	Day	3 7% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 8% 49%	2323
April	1st to 10th	Day	4 6% 3 5% 4 3 5% 6% 5% 8% 51%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 7% 3 6% 5% 4 6% 5% 6% 7% 46%	2131
	21st to end	Day	6% 8% 3 5% 5% 3 6% 6% 6% 8% 45%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	8% 7% 3 6% 6% 4 6% 7% 8% 8% 37%	2268
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 7% 3 6% 6% 4 5% 6% 8% 9% 37%	2418
	21st to end	Day	6% 6% 2 5% 4 4 7% 7% 8% 8% 44%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 2 4 5% 4 5% 8% 7% 9% 48%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 2 4 5% 3 5% 7% 7% 10% 50%	2520
	21st to end	Day	3 3 2 4 6% 4 6% 6% 9% 10% 46%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 6% 3 6% 7% 8% 10% 43%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 2 6% 5% 4 6% 6% 7% 10% 47%	2520
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 3 6% 7% 5% 7% 7% 8% 11% 36%	2688
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 5% 6% 4 8% 8% 9% 11% 36%	2293
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 2 4 5% 3 6% 7% 7% 9% 49%	2123
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 2 4 5% 4 6% 6% 7% 9% 51%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 2 4 5% 3 4 5% 6% 7% 56%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 4 4 3 4 5% 4 8% 58%	2124
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 3 5% 3 4 4 4 5% 64%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 2 4 4 2 4 5% 5% 6% 60%	1842
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 70%	1800
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 2 3 3 1 2 3 4 7% 64%	1911
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 2 3 3 2 3 4 6% 8% 66%	1673
	11th to 20th	Day	1 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 64%	1710
	21st to end	Day	1 5% 3 4 3 2 4 4 5% 6% 63%	1667
December	1st to 10th	Day	1 4 3 5% 4 2 3 4 6% 8% 60%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	1 4 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 59%	1926
	21st to end	Day	1 5% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 59%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 2 4 4 2 3 3 5% 7% 64%	2647
	11th to 20th	Night	2 4 2 3 4 2 3 4 4 7% 65%	2580
	21st to end	Night	1 3 2 5% 5% 2 4 5% 5% 7% 61%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 3 6% 4 2 4 4 4 8% 59%	2326
	11th to 20th	Night	1 5% 3 6% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 53%	2098
	21st to end	Night	1 6% 2 6% 3 3 4 3 4 5% 62%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 2 4 5% 3 4 6% 6% 8% 57%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 3 4 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 7% 54%	2021
	21st to end	Night	3 6% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 4 6% 8% 53%	2032
April	1st to 10th	Night	4 5% 3 4 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 57%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 9% 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 49%	1777
	21st to end	Night	7% 8% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 4 4 7% 49%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 6% 2 6% 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 8% 44%	1688
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 7% 2 6% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 9% 42%	1473
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 8% 48%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 2 3 3 3 4 5% 7% 12% 54%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 2 3 4 2 4 5% 6% 10% 60%	1440
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 3 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 8% 53%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 3 4 6% 4 6% 6% 8% 8% 46%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 2 4 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 10% 53%	1440
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 2 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 9% 13% 40%	1626
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 2 5% 8% 4 6% 6% 8% 11% 42%	1644
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 2 4 5% 4 5% 6% 8% 9% 49%	1778
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 4 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 11% 50%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 4 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 9% 51%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 1 4 3 3 4 4 5% 7% 60%	1834
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 3 4 2 4 4 4 6% 62%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 2 4 4 2 5% 4 5% 6% 57%	2114
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 3 3 2 3 4 4 6% 69%	2160
	21st to end	Night	4 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 4 6% 63%	2425
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 4 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 66%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 2 5% 4 2 3 4 4 6% 67%	2470
	21st to end	Night	2 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 5% 62%	2511
December	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 2 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 8% 61%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	1 4 2 4 5% 3 4 4 6% 8% 58%	3271
	21st to end	Night	2 5% 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 9% 57%	4873

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 12% 31% 26% 8%	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 3 11% 28% 26% 10%	1542
	21st to end	Day	22% 4 9% 30% 25% 9%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	24% 5% 13% 28% 21% 9%	1633
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 6% 10% 26% 28% 8%	1759
	21st to end	Day	26% 5% 8% 23% 23% 15%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	24% 6% 11% 23% 25% 11%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 5% 11% 26% 25% 6%	1935
	21st to end	Day	28% 6% 12% 25% 22% 7%	2323
April	1st to 10th	Day	27% 7% 13% 24% 20% 10%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 7% 12% 21% 18% 9%	2134
	21st to end	Day	33% 7% 13% 24% 19% 4	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	39% 8% 12% 23% 15% 3	2268
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 10% 15% 20% 14% 3	2422
	21st to end	Day	32% 10% 14% 21% 15% 7%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	27% 9% 15% 23% 17% 10%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 8% 12% 18% 23% 15%	2520
	21st to end	Day	27% 8% 12% 20% 22% 10%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	31% 10% 13% 16% 20% 10%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 8% 12% 25% 19% 8%	2445
	21st to end	Day	36% 10% 18% 20% 12% 4	2539
August	1st to 10th	Day	35% 11% 17% 19% 12% 6%	2278
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 9% 10% 21% 21% 11%	2123
	21st to end	Day	26% 7% 12% 23% 24% 8%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	25% 5% 10% 22% 24% 14%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 6% 10% 16% 28% 16%	2124
	21st to end	Day	22% 4 8% 22% 33% 12%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	22% 5% 12% 21% 27% 11%	1842
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 7% 23% 34% 16%	1800
	21st to end	Day	21% 3 8% 27% 25% 15%	1911
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 12% 23% 28% 18%	1673
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 5% 8% 29% 31% 11%	1710
	21st to end	Day	21% 4 9% 21% 29% 16%	1667
December	1st to 10th	Day	21% 5% 14% 27% 25% 8%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 5% 10% 23% 29% 9%	1924
	21st to end	Day	23% 6% 10% 27% 23% 12%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 3 11% 30% 28% 8%	2647
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 4 11% 27% 29% 9%	2580
	21st to end	Night	21% 6% 10% 29% 26% 9%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	23% 5% 11% 29% 23% 9%	2326
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 5% 10% 28% 21% 8%	2098
	21st to end	Night	22% 4 7% 28% 26% 13%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	21% 6% 12% 23% 29% 9%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 6% 11% 24% 27% 5%	2021
	21st to end	Night	26% 6% 12% 24% 26% 6%	2032
April	1st to 10th	Night	26% 4 13% 23% 23% 10%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 5% 12% 25% 18% 7%	1777
	21st to end	Night	31% 7% 13% 26% 16% 5%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	33% 8% 14% 24% 17% 4	1688
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 10% 21% 20% 11% 4	1474
	21st to end	Night	31% 8% 17% 22% 15% 7%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	22% 8% 21% 25% 14% 10%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 7% 15% 23% 19% 16%	1440
	21st to end	Night	24% 10% 10% 23% 22% 11%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	31% 11% 17% 19% 17% 6%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 8% 14% 33% 17% 6%	1392
	21st to end	Night	29% 15% 21% 21% 13% 1	1536
August	1st to 10th	Night	32% 12% 19% 20% 12% 6%	1635
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 7% 13% 27% 19% 6%	1778
	21st to end	Night	25% 9% 14% 28% 18% 6%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	28% 7% 11% 21% 22% 11%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 4 12% 22% 26% 15%	1834
	21st to end	Night	23% 5% 8% 25% 31% 9%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	25% 5% 13% 21% 24% 11%	2114
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 4 8% 24% 32% 16%	2160
	21st to end	Night	21% 4 10% 25% 27% 13%	2425
November	1st to 10th	Night	16% 4 12% 24% 28% 17%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 4 9% 29% 31% 10%	2470
	21st to end	Night	21% 4 11% 21% 31% 12%	2511
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 5% 13% 26% 26% 9%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 5% 10% 25% 31% 7%	3272
	21st to end	Night	23% 7% 13% 22% 25% 10%	4873

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	6% 8% 35% 35% 13% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 12% 34% 34% 11% 1	258
	21st to end	Day	14% 45% 30% 9% 2	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	3 15% 50% 24% 6% 2	240
	11th to 20th	Day	3 16% 46% 24% 10% 1	240
	21st to end	Day	1 23% 45% 26% 5% 1	198
March	1st to 10th	Day	5% 15% 42% 27% 10% 1	240
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 17% 39% 22% 9% 2	375
	21st to end	Day	13% 23% 38% 20% 5% 1	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 18% 41% 21% 9% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 27% 32% 19% 6% 1	412
	21st to end	Day	15% 20% 34% 24% 7% 1	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	13% 17% 36% 23% 8% 2	531
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 11% 30% 28% 14% 4	625
	21st to end	Day	9% 13% 30% 25% 18% 4	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 11% 24% 30% 22% 7%	630
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 11% 30% 32% 17% 4	630
	21st to end	Day	5% 7% 27% 31% 23% 6%	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 4 18% 29% 33% 8%	621
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 1 16% 34% 33% 10%	618
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 15% 29% 36% 11%	630
August	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 18% 35% 26% 7%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 22% 32% 25% 9%	437
	21st to end	Day	6% 3 24% 38% 21% 7%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 26% 36% 17% 9%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 6% 30% 29% 23% 7%	414
	21st to end	Day	8% 8% 21% 26% 29% 8%	270
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 14% 20% 26% 21% 11%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	3 9% 34% 32% 17% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	7% 12% 35% 26% 18% 3	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 14% 35% 29% 15% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	4 10% 36% 36% 11% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	6% 12% 37% 30% 11% 3	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	4 16% 41% 24% 13% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	4 9% 42% 31% 13% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	4 13% 44% 27% 9% 1	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	3 6% 39% 37% 12% 3	950
	11th to 20th	Night	4 6% 43% 37% 9% 2	898
	21st to end	Night	2 4 41% 43% 9% 1	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	3 5% 53% 33% 5% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 51% 33% 7%	704
	21st to end	Night	5% 9% 51% 32% 4	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	3 6% 48% 34% 8% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 7% 37% 41% 8% 1	720
	21st to end	Night	5% 10% 45% 33% 7%	646
April	1st to 10th	Night	7% 10% 47% 32% 5%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 11% 36% 32% 7% 1	533
	21st to end	Night	13% 11% 35% 32% 8% 1	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 9% 31% 39% 10% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 6% 31% 35% 12% 2	531
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 34% 32% 15% 2	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	5% 5% 24% 43% 20% 3	540
	11th to 20th	Night	4 6% 29% 48% 14%	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 21% 48% 22% 1	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 15% 44% 28% 3	525
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 13% 45% 33% 4	522
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 9% 39% 38% 3	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 2 12% 41% 33% 3	537
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 12% 50% 27% 2	534
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 13% 47% 29% 4	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 17% 45% 26% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 19% 46% 21% 4	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 27% 42% 19% 4	540
October	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 29% 37% 16% 3	674
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 35% 38% 16% 3	720
	21st to end	Night	6% 6% 33% 36% 17% 3	841
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 5% 36% 41% 14% 2	925
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 39% 41% 10% 2	950
	21st to end	Night	5% 7% 36% 38% 12% 2	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	2 6% 44% 38% 9% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 43% 35% 11% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	4 10% 44% 34% 7% 1	1045

Page generated at 2024-01-14 07:55:02. Version ac07

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