Goat Hill Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Goat Hill Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-04-25.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	10% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 54%	83774
	Night	9% 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 58%	85410
Transparency	Day	31% 4 9% 23% 24% 10%	83499
	Night	28% 3 8% 22% 25% 13%	85205
Seeing	Day	10% 7% 23% 30% 23% 8%	14277
	Night	10% 6% 30% 37% 15% 1	24363

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 4 4 1 2 2 3 5% 60%	2847
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 1 2 3 2 2 3 4 5% 63%	2850
	21st to end	Day	19% 8% 2 4 3 1 2 2 3 5% 51%	3203
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 2 5% 4 2 4 3 3 6% 53%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 3 5% 3 2 4 3 3 5% 52%	1849
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 4 56%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 5% 1 4 3 2 3 4 4 6% 53%	3363
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 3 4 5% 2 4 4 5% 6% 47%	3480
	21st to end	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 9% 48%	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 2 4 4 3 5% 5% 5% 7% 51%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 4 2 5% 4 2 4 4 4 6% 52%	2140
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 55%	2394
May	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 51%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 47%	2302
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 6% 6% 7% 9% 43%	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 1 3 4 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 55%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 4 3 5% 5% 7% 9% 57%	2340
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 2 3 4 3 4 5% 5% 8% 57%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 5% 6% 4 6% 7% 7% 9% 44%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 3 3 4 5% 5% 8% 64%	2340
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 3 4 3 6% 6% 7% 10% 55%	2546
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 5% 3 4 4 5% 9% 62%	2328
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 5% 4 4 5% 6% 6% 8% 50%	2219
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 3 4 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 55%	2316
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 54%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 2 5% 6% 3 5% 5% 6% 5% 48%	1980
	21st to end	Day	8% 3 1 3 4 3 4 4 4 7% 59%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 6% 64%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 3 1 3 3 2 2 3 4 5% 64%	1832
	21st to end	Day	14% 4 1 3 2 1 2 2 3 4 63%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 6% 59%	1834
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 1 3 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 63%	1710
	21st to end	Day	14% 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 3 5% 55%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 4 3 2 3 4 4 6% 53%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 4 4 5% 50%	2161
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 1 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 54%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 2 2 3 1 2 2 3 6% 62%	4108
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 2 3 2 1 2 2 3 4 65%	4120
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 2 4 3 2 2 3 3 5% 52%	4491
February	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 4 4 3 3 3 3 5% 57%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 2 4 6% 54%	2218
	21st to end	Night	15% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 3 5% 56%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	11% 7% 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 4 5% 51%	3493
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 6% 7% 50%	3480
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 5% 5% 6% 52%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 7% 57%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 2 3 4 2 3 4 5% 6% 55%	1982
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 1 4 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 61%	1665
May	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 5% 9% 54%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 4 2 5% 4 2 5% 4 6% 9% 50%	1593
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 2 3 3 2 4 4 6% 11% 54%	1745
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 3 4 2 3 4 6% 10% 62%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 3 2 3 5% 6% 11% 64%	1620
	21st to end	Night	3 2 1 3 3 3 4 5% 4 8% 64%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 2 1 4 3 2 5% 4 7% 13% 53%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 9% 72%	1620
	21st to end	Night	2 2 1 2 3 2 4 4 7% 12% 62%	1772
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 5% 9% 73%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 1 3 3 3 4 4 6% 10% 56%	1677
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 2 4 2 4 4 6% 10% 59%	2038
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 3 1 4 4 2 4 4 5% 9% 57%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 2 4 5% 2 5% 4 5% 7% 51%	1980
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 1 3 3 1 3 4 5% 7% 63%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 1 3 2 2 4 3 6% 6% 66%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 3 2 3 3 1 3 3 4 5% 65%	2110
	21st to end	Night	13% 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 5% 62%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 1 4 3 2 3 3 3 4 64%	2242
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 4 4 2 3 4 4 6% 64%	2470
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 2 3 3 2 4 3 4 6% 55%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 58%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 2 4 5% 2 4 4 5% 6% 53%	3036
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 4 4 2 3 3 4 5% 57%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	30% 2 4 17% 35% 12%	2848
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 2 7% 20% 33% 12%	2850
	21st to end	Day	40% 2 4 17% 26% 11%	3203
February	1st to 10th	Day	34% 4 5% 19% 23% 15%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 3 6% 19% 22% 13%	1859
	21st to end	Day	35% 2 4 14% 26% 19%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	33% 3 6% 14% 28% 16%	3363
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 3 15% 18% 18% 6%	3480
	21st to end	Day	34% 4 13% 21% 19% 9%	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	33% 4 9% 20% 19% 14%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 4 8% 20% 21% 12%	2140
	21st to end	Day	32% 3 9% 21% 27% 8%	2394
May	1st to 10th	Day	33% 3 10% 23% 21% 9%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 5% 12% 22% 20% 4	2306
	21st to end	Day	35% 5% 15% 26% 17% 2	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	26% 6% 14% 30% 20% 4	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 5% 13% 31% 21% 7%	2340
	21st to end	Day	25% 5% 11% 25% 26% 7%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	35% 6% 16% 27% 14% 2	2276
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 4 13% 34% 26% 6%	2271
	21st to end	Day	21% 5% 16% 36% 20% 1	2405
August	1st to 10th	Day	18% 4 14% 34% 26% 4	2314
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 5% 14% 28% 20% 3	2219
	21st to end	Day	25% 5% 14% 30% 22% 4	2316
September	1st to 10th	Day	30% 6% 8% 21% 26% 10%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 5% 9% 21% 21% 9%	1980
	21st to end	Day	27% 3 8% 20% 29% 14%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	23% 3 11% 24% 23% 17%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 3 6% 17% 29% 20%	1832
	21st to end	Day	28% 2 5% 19% 26% 19%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	28% 3 6% 24% 26% 13%	1834
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 3 9% 23% 28% 14%	1710
	21st to end	Day	34% 3 4 21% 24% 14%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	33% 3 7% 22% 27% 9%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 2 6% 15% 26% 12%	2159
	21st to end	Day	36% 2 4 21% 24% 14%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	28% 2 4 18% 34% 14%	4108
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 2 4 20% 29% 20%	4120
	21st to end	Night	38% 2 5% 16% 27% 12%	4491
February	1st to 10th	Night	33% 3 7% 16% 24% 17%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 3 6% 15% 27% 15%	2218
	21st to end	Night	33% 2 5% 16% 22% 21%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	36% 4 5% 14% 24% 17%	3493
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 4 11% 24% 17% 9%	3480
	21st to end	Night	33% 3 9% 22% 26% 7%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	28% 4 8% 23% 19% 18%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 3 11% 18% 21% 16%	1982
	21st to end	Night	26% 3 11% 22% 30% 8%	1665
May	1st to 10th	Night	30% 5% 10% 24% 22% 10%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 5% 15% 23% 21% 5%	1594
	21st to end	Night	26% 5% 17% 29% 21% 3	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	20% 5% 15% 36% 19% 6%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 14% 35% 23% 7%	1620
	21st to end	Night	20% 5% 11% 27% 29% 8%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	22% 6% 15% 34% 18% 4	1575
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 11% 37% 29% 8%	1566
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 16% 37% 25% 2	1673
August	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 12% 38% 31% 7%	1601
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 4 13% 31% 23% 6%	1677
	21st to end	Night	19% 5% 14% 31% 25% 5%	2038
September	1st to 10th	Night	27% 4 9% 24% 26% 10%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 3 12% 19% 21% 11%	1980
	21st to end	Night	21% 4 8% 23% 28% 17%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	20% 3 10% 27% 21% 19%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 3 8% 16% 26% 24%	2110
	21st to end	Night	28% 2 4 17% 27% 21%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	26% 3 6% 22% 26% 17%	2242
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 3 6% 23% 28% 17%	2470
	21st to end	Night	33% 2 6% 17% 26% 16%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	28% 3 7% 23% 25% 14%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 2 5% 16% 29% 16%	3037
	21st to end	Night	32% 2 4 17% 26% 18%	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	14% 15% 34% 31% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 15% 30% 28% 9% 2	270
	21st to end	Day	16% 12% 37% 26% 8% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	17% 16% 36% 24% 6%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 14% 40% 20% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	25% 15% 38% 20% 3	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	16% 16% 36% 26% 6%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 15% 34% 27% 4 2	270
	21st to end	Day	13% 14% 44% 22% 7%	297
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 16% 36% 25% 7%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 15% 44% 19% 6%	338
	21st to end	Day	13% 14% 39% 24% 9% 1	622
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 9% 36% 33% 9%	603
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 29% 33% 15% 3	625
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 30% 34% 16% 4	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	5% 1 15% 42% 28% 8%	630
	11th to 20th	Day	4 19% 47% 24% 6%	630
	21st to end	Day	3 2 13% 37% 33% 11%	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 1 6% 34% 38% 15%	621
	11th to 20th	Day	2 5% 33% 45% 16%	618
	21st to end	Day	2 1 5% 29% 47% 17%	684
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 33% 45% 15%	626
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 2 5% 31% 45% 12%	533
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 5% 27% 35% 27%	435
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 1 20% 38% 31%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 25% 44% 23%	270
	21st to end	Day	13% 2 3 27% 34% 20%	270
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 15% 36% 33% 11%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 30% 30% 21% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 8% 26% 23% 20% 2	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 33% 29% 14% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 9% 31% 31% 16% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	18% 15% 33% 21% 11% 1	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 9% 30% 30% 11% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 8% 43% 27% 9% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	20% 12% 35% 23% 10%	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	12% 7% 38% 34% 9%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 11% 32% 36% 6%	950
	21st to end	Night	14% 11% 35% 34% 7%	1017
February	1st to 10th	Night	14% 9% 40% 31% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 12% 42% 30% 2	744
	21st to end	Night	17% 13% 46% 21% 2	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	14% 12% 40% 28% 5%	622
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 9% 40% 30% 5%	570
	21st to end	Night	9% 12% 43% 32% 4	627
April	1st to 10th	Night	10% 13% 46% 26% 5%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 11% 45% 27% 4	563
	21st to end	Night	10% 10% 46% 28% 7%	555
May	1st to 10th	Night	9% 8% 44% 34% 5%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 3 40% 34% 13% 1	531
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 33% 41% 14% 1	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 19% 51% 23% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 27% 57% 13%	540
	21st to end	Night	2 1 18% 47% 29% 3	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 11% 46% 34% 4	525
	11th to 20th	Night	2 8% 54% 33% 2	522
	21st to end	Night	2 1 6% 52% 38% 2	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 6% 52% 38% 3	537
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 7% 46% 36% 4	534
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 4 44% 41% 5%	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 9% 41% 37% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 1 10% 41% 35% 2	540
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 15% 44% 32% 2	540
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 21% 44% 26% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 28% 42% 15% 1	670
	21st to end	Night	15% 8% 28% 35% 13% 1	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 29% 42% 15% 1	762
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 8% 34% 38% 13% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 36% 30% 9% 1	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	13% 7% 35% 38% 7%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 34% 36% 6%	950
	21st to end	Night	14% 9% 38% 31% 9%	1045

Page generated at 2024-04-22 08:25:46. Version ac07

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