El Cariso
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the El Cariso clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-03-08.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	4 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 65%	79416
	Night	5% 4 2 4 4 2 3 4 5% 6% 61%	80193
Transparency	Day	21% 4 6% 17% 27% 26%	79148
	Night	23% 5% 6% 16% 24% 26%	79984
Seeing	Day	5% 7% 19% 34% 25% 10%	14811
	Night	5% 3 9% 34% 39% 10%	24950

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 1 3 3 2 2 3 4 7% 64%	2858
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 1 4 4 2 4 5% 5% 9% 56%	3034
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 50%	3498
February	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 2 4 4 2 4 4 4 5% 59%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 2 4 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 58%	1850
	21st to end	Day	8% 6% 3 6% 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 51%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 3 5% 5% 3 6% 5% 7% 8% 48%	1871
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 5% 2 5% 3 2 3 4 6% 10% 55%	1862
	21st to end	Day	4 4 2 3 3 3 5% 4 6% 8% 58%	2330
April	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 4 4 3 3 5% 5% 8% 56%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 64%	2129
	21st to end	Day	3 3 2 3 2 2 4 3 4 7% 66%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 6% 2 4 3 2 3 3 6% 8% 59%	2258
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 8% 63%	2301
	21st to end	Day	3 5% 2 4 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 61%	2530
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 2 2 3 2 2 3 5% 7% 67%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 1 3 3 1 3 2 4 5% 74%	2340
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 3 3 80%	2481
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 6% 77%	2462
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 6% 75%	2340
	21st to end	Day	2 1 1 2 3 2 4 3 5% 7% 70%	2427
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 4 4 81%	2149
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5% 82%	2122
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 4 5% 79%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 5% 79%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 5% 81%	1987
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 5% 78%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 3 1 3 3 5% 6% 68%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 3 5% 72%	1940
	21st to end	Day	3 3 1 3 2 1 3 3 4 5% 71%	1902
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 4 5% 70%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 3 2 4 4 4 5% 68%	1710
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 4 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 59%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 1 4 3 2 4 5% 5% 7% 56%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 7% 3 7% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 43%	2169
	21st to end	Day	8% 8% 4 6% 6% 4 6% 5% 5% 6% 41%	3146
January	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 2 4 4 2 3 3 3 6% 63%	4097
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 2 6% 6% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 51%	3925
	21st to end	Night	11% 9% 3 6% 5% 2 3 4 5% 7% 46%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 2 4 4 2 3 3 4 6% 59%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 2 4 4 3 3 3 4 6% 60%	2218
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 2 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 4 51%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 2 6% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 46%	2249
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 7% 2 4 3 2 4 5% 5% 8% 54%	2096
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 5% 6% 9% 54%	2021
April	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 3 4 5% 2 4 4 5% 9% 52%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 61%	1779
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 61%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 6% 8% 57%	1701
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 7% 8% 58%	1594
	21st to end	Night	3 5% 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 61%	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 65%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 3 2 2 3 5% 6% 73%	1620
	21st to end	Night	2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 6% 81%	1466
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 7% 78%	1484
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 5% 6% 75%	1620
	21st to end	Night	3 2 1 2 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 69%	1887
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 4 6% 76%	1790
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 7% 80%	1780
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 4 81%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 6% 74%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 4 79%	1971
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 79%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 2 3 3 2 3 4 5% 6% 67%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 6% 72%	2016
	21st to end	Night	2 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 5% 70%	2452
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 1 3 3 1 3 3 4 7% 69%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 3 3 4 2 4 3 4 6% 67%	2470
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 2 6% 4 3 3 4 6% 7% 54%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 2 4 5% 2 4 4 5% 8% 55%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 9% 2 5% 5% 2 4 4 5% 8% 45%	3041
	21st to end	Night	8% 8% 4 8% 7% 4 5% 5% 5% 6% 41%	4521

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 3 4 21% 31% 19%	2859
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 5% 11% 25% 17% 16%	3034
	21st to end	Day	35% 4 5% 14% 24% 18%	3498
February	1st to 10th	Day	28% 3 4 13% 25% 27%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 4 4 16% 27% 23%	1860
	21st to end	Day	34% 4 6% 15% 23% 18%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	31% 5% 7% 18% 18% 20%	1871
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 4 8% 19% 25% 17%	1862
	21st to end	Day	23% 5% 11% 24% 22% 15%	2330
April	1st to 10th	Day	27% 5% 9% 25% 22% 12%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 5% 5% 20% 30% 19%	2132
	21st to end	Day	19% 4 7% 23% 33% 14%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	24% 4 9% 18% 28% 17%	2258
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 4 6% 23% 32% 15%	2304
	21st to end	Day	23% 4 8% 27% 28% 9%	2530
June	1st to 10th	Day	19% 3 8% 21% 32% 18%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 2 4 13% 31% 36%	2340
	21st to end	Day	12% 2 3 9% 26% 49%	2481
July	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 4 9% 24% 48%	2396
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 3 6% 19% 30% 30%	2271
	21st to end	Day	14% 3 8% 23% 33% 20%	2292
August	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 3 13% 32% 41%	2135
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 3 15% 32% 40%	2122
	21st to end	Day	10% 3 3 11% 35% 39%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 5% 8% 33% 41%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 2 9% 37% 41%	1987
	21st to end	Day	11% 2 2 13% 35% 36%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 3 4 19% 24% 33%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 3 13% 28% 37%	1940
	21st to end	Day	15% 4 4 11% 23% 42%	1902
November	1st to 10th	Day	17% 3 5% 16% 25% 34%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 3 6% 14% 21% 38%	1710
	21st to end	Day	25% 4 5% 12% 22% 32%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	26% 4 7% 17% 18% 28%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 5% 7% 13% 19% 18%	2168
	21st to end	Day	41% 4 7% 19% 16% 13%	3146
January	1st to 10th	Night	23% 4 5% 14% 32% 23%	4097
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 6% 9% 24% 16% 17%	3925
	21st to end	Night	37% 5% 5% 12% 22% 19%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	27% 4 6% 14% 23% 27%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 4 6% 14% 23% 26%	2219
	21st to end	Night	34% 6% 3 14% 21% 21%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	31% 7% 6% 19% 16% 19%	2249
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 4 8% 17% 24% 19%	2096
	21st to end	Night	26% 6% 9% 22% 23% 14%	2021
April	1st to 10th	Night	31% 6% 7% 22% 19% 15%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 6% 6% 21% 23% 20%	1779
	21st to end	Night	23% 8% 7% 21% 26% 16%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	24% 9% 7% 21% 20% 19%	1701
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 9% 7% 21% 26% 13%	1595
	21st to end	Night	23% 9% 9% 26% 23% 11%	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	22% 7% 7% 18% 29% 17%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 6% 5% 12% 30% 34%	1620
	21st to end	Night	10% 3 5% 7% 31% 44%	1466
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 6% 3 10% 25% 47%	1442
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 6% 16% 32% 30%	1566
	21st to end	Night	16% 5% 7% 21% 32% 19%	1782
August	1st to 10th	Night	11% 3 4 12% 34% 35%	1780
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 3 15% 34% 36%	1780
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 4 11% 31% 41%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	13% 3 5% 8% 29% 41%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 3 7% 30% 44%	1971
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 2 12% 36% 36%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	18% 4 5% 18% 25% 30%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 5% 5% 12% 28% 35%	2016
	21st to end	Night	18% 5% 3 8% 22% 44%	2452
November	1st to 10th	Night	17% 3 4 15% 25% 36%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 3 4 13% 20% 40%	2470
	21st to end	Night	27% 4 5% 14% 18% 31%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	27% 4 6% 15% 18% 29%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 5% 6% 13% 21% 17%	3041
	21st to end	Night	40% 5% 8% 18% 16% 13%	4521

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 19% 39% 19% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 8% 19% 35% 22% 5%	379
	21st to end	Day	9% 11% 26% 31% 19% 3	506
February	1st to 10th	Day	10% 12% 24% 28% 18% 7%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 13% 28% 29% 17% 3	455
	21st to end	Day	9% 17% 27% 30% 14% 2	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	9% 16% 29% 31% 11% 4	449
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 12% 29% 31% 15% 5%	420
	21st to end	Day	8% 13% 33% 31% 12% 3	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	8% 9% 32% 26% 20% 5%	420
	11th to 20th	Day	3 16% 33% 31% 13% 5%	412
	21st to end	Day	3 12% 28% 31% 16% 10%	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 11% 29% 30% 18% 6%	423
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 7% 23% 38% 19% 6%	448
	21st to end	Day	6% 8% 24% 37% 19% 7%	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 18% 35% 30% 11%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 18% 34% 29% 14%	450
	21st to end	Day	2 1 13% 37% 31% 15%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 7% 35% 37% 19%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	2 6% 30% 38% 24%	444
	21st to end	Day	1 1 6% 30% 41% 21%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 7% 39% 37% 15%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 35% 38% 21%	437
	21st to end	Day	1 4 32% 43% 20%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 9% 45% 30% 14%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 12% 41% 32% 11%	450
	21st to end	Day	1 3 18% 34% 30% 15%	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 17% 39% 28% 8%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 16% 37% 30% 9%	450
	21st to end	Day	4 4 20% 31% 29% 12%	417
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 15% 33% 30% 13%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	3 5% 14% 37% 29% 11%	270
	21st to end	Day	3 10% 16% 36% 24% 10%	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 16% 34% 29% 7%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 19% 34% 27% 9%	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 11% 20% 33% 17% 5%	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 15% 40% 24% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 4 12% 43% 28% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	11% 4 14% 40% 26% 5%	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 16% 39% 26% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 14% 42% 25% 7%	744
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 16% 40% 22% 4	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 14% 48% 22% 4	750
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 9% 40% 30% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	6% 5% 11% 44% 30% 5%	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 10% 43% 32% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 14% 40% 32% 6%	711
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 10% 37% 37% 8%	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 12% 36% 39% 5%	621
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 12% 32% 45% 8%	531
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 11% 39% 39% 3	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 9% 38% 41% 7%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	1 6% 37% 51% 4	540
	21st to end	Night	2 1 3 28% 57% 10%	386
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 16% 68% 14%	392
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 16% 67% 15%	522
	21st to end	Night	2 1 2 12% 64% 19%	705
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 1 18% 61% 16%	716
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 10% 66% 22%	712
	21st to end	Night	1 1 13% 64% 21%	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 3 19% 58% 17%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 4 22% 57% 13%	720
	21st to end	Night	3 1 5% 28% 49% 13%	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 5% 39% 44% 7%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 6% 35% 41% 11%	720
	21st to end	Night	4 2 10% 32% 39% 14%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 6% 40% 37% 11%	740
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 6% 42% 35% 11%	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 12% 39% 32% 7%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 11% 41% 29% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 13% 42% 25% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 14% 39% 23% 7%	836

Page generated at 2024-03-05 04:24:00. Version ac07

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