Blackrock Ranger Station
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Blackrock Ranger Station clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-12.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	2 3 1 3 3 2 4 4 4 6% 67%	74823
	Night	1 3 1 3 3 2 4 4 5% 7% 67%	74895
Transparency	Day	15% 5% 8% 17% 27% 27%	74536
	Night	14% 5% 10% 19% 29% 24%	74704
Seeing	Day	11% 19% 35% 25% 9% 2	14169
	Night	5% 9% 26% 33% 22% 5%	23930

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 1 3 4 3 6% 4 5% 8% 59%	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 1 4 4 3 5% 6% 5% 7% 60%	1506
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 4 7% 54%	1848
February	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 2 3 4 3 5% 4 5% 8% 60%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 3 3 5% 2 4 5% 6% 7% 59%	1750
	21st to end	Day	3 5% 2 5% 5% 3 4 3 5% 6% 59%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	1 5% 2 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 7% 7% 53%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	1 6% 3 4 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 7% 53%	1849
	21st to end	Day	2 3 2 3 4 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 59%	2376
April	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 3 4 3 2 4 4 5% 8% 59%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 2 3 4 2 3 3 5% 7% 66%	2129
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 2 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 68%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 3 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 66%	2276
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 1 3 4 2 3 4 5% 7% 64%	2301
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 4 4 2 3 4 4 6% 64%	2540
June	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 3 2 4 3 6% 8% 67%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 6% 79%	2520
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 3 3 3 3 79%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 2 3 1 3 3 4 6% 73%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 1 3 4 2 3 4 3 5% 71%	2520
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 3 4 3 4 5% 5% 6% 63%	2583
August	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 3 2 1 3 3 3 4 76%	2149
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 2 4 3 3 5% 76%	2122
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 2 3 1 3 2 3 4 77%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 1 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 74%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 82%	2044
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 80%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 2 3 2 2 4 3 6% 72%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 77%	1818
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 2 3 2 3 3 4 4 75%	1904
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 71%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 3 4 2 3 3 4 7% 71%	1710
	21st to end	Day	1 3 2 3 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 65%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 2 3 2 5% 5% 5% 8% 63%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	2 8% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 6% 9% 48%	2015
	21st to end	Day	3 6% 3 4 4 3 6% 6% 7% 10% 48%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 1 4 4 3 4 6% 7% 8% 56%	2646
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 2 4 4 2 4 4 6% 10% 61%	2471
	21st to end	Night	4 5% 2 4 3 3 4 5% 5% 8% 57%	2506
February	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 2 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 7% 58%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 2 3 3 3 4 5% 7% 8% 61%	2098
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 4 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 60%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 2 4 5% 4 6% 5% 8% 8% 53%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	1 4 2 4 4 3 5% 6% 8% 9% 53%	2106
	21st to end	Night	1 4 2 3 4 3 5% 6% 6% 9% 58%	1980
April	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 1 4 5% 3 5% 6% 5% 7% 59%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 3 4 3 5% 5% 4 7% 66%	1779
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 2 2 2 3 5% 4 7% 73%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 2 4 2 3 5% 5% 9% 67%	1684
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 2 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 72%	1594
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 5% 75%	1730
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 3 2 3 4 3 7% 74%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 5% 83%	1440
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 85%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 3 2 3 4 83%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 4 5% 79%	1440
	21st to end	Night	2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 75%	1728
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 81%	1790
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 87%	1780
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 4 85%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 86%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 87%	1916
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 84%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 5% 77%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 5% 77%	2137
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 2 3 1 3 3 3 5% 77%	2452
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 2 3 2 3 5% 5% 7% 69%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 3 3 2 3 5% 5% 8% 69%	2470
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 4 3 3 4 4 6% 7% 65%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 4 4 3 5% 4 5% 9% 60%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	1 6% 3 4 6% 4 6% 7% 7% 9% 47%	3185
	21st to end	Night	2 8% 2 5% 4 3 6% 6% 7% 8% 48%	4862

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	19% 9% 12% 23% 28% 10%	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 6% 12% 22% 24% 16%	1506
	21st to end	Day	26% 5% 13% 18% 25% 14%	1848
February	1st to 10th	Day	19% 6% 12% 20% 26% 17%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 6% 13% 19% 28% 17%	1760
	21st to end	Day	22% 7% 14% 22% 25% 10%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	20% 9% 13% 23% 22% 13%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 8% 13% 21% 25% 12%	1849
	21st to end	Day	18% 8% 14% 28% 22% 9%	2376
April	1st to 10th	Day	19% 7% 13% 25% 24% 12%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 4 11% 27% 28% 14%	2132
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 11% 29% 33% 9%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	15% 4 10% 21% 35% 14%	2276
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 10% 21% 36% 13%	2304
	21st to end	Day	19% 4 8% 23% 37% 9%	2540
June	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 9% 15% 34% 26%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 5% 11% 30% 43%	2520
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 4 7% 24% 55%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 4 7% 17% 58%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 3 5% 11% 22% 44%	2445
	21st to end	Day	17% 4 8% 14% 21% 37%	2439
August	1st to 10th	Day	12% 3 3 6% 21% 55%	2135
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 4 8% 28% 47%	2122
	21st to end	Day	11% 2 3 8% 26% 51%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	13% 2 4 9% 22% 50%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 2 4 10% 30% 46%	2044
	21st to end	Day	9% 1 3 13% 36% 38%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 8% 13% 30% 35%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 2 5% 11% 38% 33%	1818
	21st to end	Day	11% 3 5% 15% 34% 31%	1904
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 8% 19% 34% 23%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 8% 20% 33% 23%	1710
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 10% 19% 26% 24%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	15% 8% 10% 23% 26% 18%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 12% 13% 18% 21% 12%	2014
	21st to end	Day	24% 13% 11% 23% 20% 9%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	19% 8% 11% 23% 28% 11%	2646
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 7% 13% 22% 27% 16%	2471
	21st to end	Night	24% 4 11% 19% 26% 15%	2506
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 12% 20% 24% 17%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 11% 18% 30% 18%	2099
	21st to end	Night	18% 7% 14% 23% 26% 12%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	18% 9% 14% 24% 23% 12%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 13% 22% 26% 12%	2106
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 18% 32% 18% 8%	1980
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 14% 25% 24% 12%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 12% 28% 28% 13%	1779
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 13% 35% 32% 8%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 14% 25% 35% 10%	1684
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 12% 26% 36% 12%	1595
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 12% 28% 37% 10%	1730
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 9% 19% 37% 21%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 6% 15% 33% 38%	1440
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 3 9% 30% 52%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	7% 2 3 7% 20% 61%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 3 4 15% 25% 45%	1392
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 7% 15% 26% 36%	1633
August	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 5% 7% 25% 51%	1780
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 3 10% 34% 48%	1780
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 2 9% 30% 51%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 3 8% 30% 51%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 3 11% 35% 43%	1916
	21st to end	Night	6% 1 4 13% 38% 39%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	10% 3 6% 16% 31% 35%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 6% 16% 35% 31%	2137
	21st to end	Night	10% 4 5% 13% 38% 31%	2452
November	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 10% 17% 36% 22%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 10% 19% 31% 25%	2470
	21st to end	Night	15% 5% 11% 18% 27% 23%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 9% 20% 26% 18%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 12% 14% 19% 20% 11%	3185
	21st to end	Night	23% 11% 12% 22% 22% 9%	4862

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 20% 37% 18% 4 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 26% 30% 15% 12% 2	220
	21st to end	Day	17% 24% 31% 21% 7% 1	404
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 24% 32% 22% 8% 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 27% 28% 20% 5% 1	415
	21st to end	Day	18% 26% 40% 12% 3 1	346
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 27% 33% 14% 3	420
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 25% 31% 18% 6% 1	420
	21st to end	Day	18% 34% 34% 12% 2	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	17% 29% 30% 17% 5% 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 30% 34% 11% 4	412
	21st to end	Day	15% 25% 34% 15% 8% 2	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	14% 27% 33% 18% 6% 2	423
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 24% 35% 22% 6% 2	448
	21st to end	Day	13% 22% 30% 23% 8% 3	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	7% 18% 35% 28% 9% 3	450
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 17% 38% 23% 11% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	5% 16% 38% 26% 11% 3	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 39% 33% 14% 4	446
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 34% 40% 15% 6%	444
	21st to end	Day	3 4 36% 37% 13% 6%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 10% 35% 35% 11% 5%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	3 8% 36% 35% 13% 5%	437
	21st to end	Day	1 6% 42% 36% 10% 4	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 12% 37% 30% 14% 1	450
	11th to 20th	Day	4 15% 41% 32% 8% 1	450
	21st to end	Day	8% 13% 39% 28% 11% 1	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 18% 35% 28% 9%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 18% 39% 28% 7% 1	450
	21st to end	Day	10% 17% 32% 29% 11% 1	419
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 14% 31% 31% 9% 2	270
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 15% 30% 27% 14% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	11% 21% 31% 26% 9% 2	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	13% 16% 37% 28% 6% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 19% 38% 19% 10% 2	221
	21st to end	Day	23% 22% 29% 19% 6% 1	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 10% 33% 26% 17% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 11% 31% 33% 15% 3	724
	21st to end	Night	11% 12% 30% 30% 13% 4	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	6% 11% 33% 28% 16% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 12% 32% 29% 15% 5%	704
	21st to end	Night	11% 14% 32% 30% 10% 4	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	9% 14% 34% 30% 11% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 14% 30% 26% 17% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	8% 15% 36% 28% 11% 2	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	7% 15% 33% 28% 14% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 13% 33% 29% 15% 3	711
	21st to end	Night	6% 12% 34% 26% 18% 4	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	7% 13% 34% 29% 14% 2	604
	11th to 20th	Night	4 13% 29% 31% 21% 2	531
	21st to end	Night	7% 11% 27% 35% 18% 2	568
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 24% 38% 29% 2	360
	11th to 20th	Night	2 6% 24% 44% 22% 3	360
	21st to end	Night	1 3 20% 44% 29% 3	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 9% 48% 36% 5%	350
	11th to 20th	Night	2 6% 40% 47% 5%	348
	21st to end	Night	2 8% 41% 43% 6%	546
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 14% 41% 35% 6%	716
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 10% 41% 38% 9%	712
	21st to end	Night	2 1 12% 39% 37% 10%	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 12% 34% 40% 9%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	1 4 17% 39% 29% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	3 5% 19% 30% 35% 8%	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 5% 25% 39% 24% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 22% 34% 27% 8%	720
	21st to end	Night	5% 8% 21% 32% 25% 9%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	6% 7% 22% 36% 20% 9%	740
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 28% 38% 20% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 10% 27% 36% 17% 4	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 10% 32% 32% 14% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 12% 33% 31% 13% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 14% 34% 28% 11% 4	836

Page generated at 2024-01-08 19:31:28. Version ac07

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