Walgrove Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Walgrove Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-15.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	14% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 41%	74713
	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 43%	75058
Transparency	Day	40% 7% 13% 22% 15% 3	74423
	Night	39% 7% 12% 23% 16% 3	74867
Seeing	Day	19% 15% 29% 22% 11% 3	13822
	Night	18% 13% 30% 26% 11% 1	23382

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 6% 42%	1517
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 8% 4 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 41%	1646
	21st to end	Day	15% 7% 3 7% 6% 3 4 6% 4 5% 39%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	14% 7% 4 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 7% 6% 37%	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 2 5% 6% 3 4 5% 6% 7% 39%	1635
	21st to end	Day	19% 9% 3 5% 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 39%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 4 5% 3 4 3 4 7% 47%	1912
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 7% 3 5% 5% 3 4 5% 4 7% 42%	1980
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 3 7% 6% 3 4 4 4 6% 38%	2232
April	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 3 5% 5% 3 4 5% 7% 8% 40%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 4 5% 6% 46%	2134
	21st to end	Day	18% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 4 6% 7% 40%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 3 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 37%	2286
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 6% 3 4 6% 3 5% 4 6% 8% 36%	2460
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 3 5% 6% 3 5% 4 6% 8% 40%	2725
June	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 11% 40%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 2 6% 6% 4 6% 5% 5% 9% 40%	2520
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 2 4 4 4 5% 5% 7% 10% 45%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 3 5% 6% 3 6% 6% 6% 9% 42%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 2 4 6% 4 6% 7% 8% 9% 44%	2511
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 2 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 7% 10% 36%	2547
August	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 6% 7% 4 6% 8% 7% 8% 37%	2327
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 7% 4 5% 6% 6% 8% 40%	2200
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 3 5% 6% 3 5% 6% 6% 9% 41%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 44%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 9% 47%	2160
	21st to end	Day	19% 7% 2 5% 5% 3 3 5% 5% 7% 38%	1907
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 5% 5% 7% 44%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 4 2 4 5% 2 4 5% 4 5% 47%	1800
	21st to end	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 5% 3 4 4 4 5% 47%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 5% 3 4 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 51%	1718
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 2 3 4 3 3 5% 6% 6% 48%	1696
	21st to end	Day	15% 5% 3 5% 4 3 5% 4 4 5% 47%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 4 5% 5% 8% 39%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 42%	1910
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 8% 37%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 44%	2649
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 6% 3 4 5% 2 4 5% 6% 7% 40%	2398
	21st to end	Night	15% 7% 2 4 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 44%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 39%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 7% 3 6% 4 2 4 4 4 6% 42%	2210
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 3 5% 6% 3 4 4 4 6% 41%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	13% 5% 2 4 4 3 5% 5% 5% 7% 47%	2045
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 7% 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 43%	1980
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 3 5% 5% 2 3 4 4 7% 43%	2124
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 4 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 40%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 3 6% 5% 3 3 4 6% 6% 47%	1775
	21st to end	Night	18% 6% 2 3 4 2 4 4 5% 8% 43%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 3 5% 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 41%	1688
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 39%	1430
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 2 4 6% 4 5% 5% 6% 10% 41%	1550
June	1st to 10th	Night	12% 4 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 45%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 7% 10% 40%	1440
	21st to end	Night	10% 4 2 4 4 3 5% 5% 6% 12% 43%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 3 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 6% 9% 37%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 4 1 4 5% 4 6% 6% 6% 12% 45%	1445
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 3 4 5% 3 7% 5% 6% 12% 44%	1771
August	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 4 7% 8% 9% 40%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 3 6% 6% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 40%	1682
	21st to end	Night	11% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 10% 43%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	14% 6% 3 5% 4 2 3 5% 5% 8% 46%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 8% 52%	1800
	21st to end	Night	17% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 4 5% 6% 41%	2049
October	1st to 10th	Night	21% 5% 3 4 4 3 4 4 5% 5% 44%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 5% 2 3 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 51%	2160
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 1 4 4 2 3 4 5% 7% 47%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 2 4 4 2 4 3 5% 6% 53%	2357
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 3 5% 4 2 4 4 3 6% 49%	2479
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 2 4 5% 2 5% 5% 5% 7% 47%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 6% 40%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 5% 2 4 5% 3 5% 4 5% 6% 43%	3285
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 9% 35%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	41% 6% 12% 23% 14% 3	1518
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 6% 13% 23% 12% 3	1646
	21st to end	Day	45% 6% 12% 22% 12% 4	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	44% 6% 14% 24% 10% 2	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 5% 11% 25% 12% 3	1644
	21st to end	Day	47% 5% 11% 20% 13% 4	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	37% 5% 12% 25% 18% 2	1912
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 6% 12% 17% 17% 6%	1980
	21st to end	Day	48% 5% 9% 18% 17% 3	2232
April	1st to 10th	Day	40% 7% 13% 19% 16% 5%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 6% 11% 22% 18% 6%	2134
	21st to end	Day	42% 6% 11% 19% 18% 3	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	43% 8% 12% 20% 15% 2	2286
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 8% 13% 18% 13% 3	2464
	21st to end	Day	41% 9% 15% 22% 12% 2	2725
June	1st to 10th	Day	38% 9% 14% 23% 15% 2	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 9% 12% 22% 13% 2	2520
	21st to end	Day	33% 9% 16% 23% 17% 1	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	36% 11% 14% 19% 16% 3	2450
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 10% 16% 26% 15% 2	2436
	21st to end	Day	39% 11% 14% 19% 15% 2	2405
August	1st to 10th	Day	39% 11% 14% 23% 12% 1	2314
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 9% 14% 21% 15% 2	2200
	21st to end	Day	38% 9% 14% 22% 14% 3	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	39% 8% 12% 19% 18% 4	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 6% 11% 25% 20% 4	2160
	21st to end	Day	44% 6% 9% 19% 19% 2	1907
October	1st to 10th	Day	39% 7% 11% 23% 18% 3	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 6% 12% 22% 21% 2	1800
	21st to end	Day	39% 6% 9% 25% 19% 2	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	33% 5% 13% 25% 20% 4	1718
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 5% 12% 22% 22% 3	1696
	21st to end	Day	39% 5% 11% 29% 14% 2	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	43% 6% 15% 23% 11% 2	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 6% 11% 30% 11% 2	1906
	21st to end	Day	43% 9% 16% 20% 11% 1	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	40% 6% 10% 23% 16% 4	2649
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 7% 13% 24% 13% 1	2398
	21st to end	Night	39% 5% 11% 26% 16% 3	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	44% 5% 14% 22% 13% 2	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 5% 10% 20% 17% 4	2212
	21st to end	Night	44% 5% 9% 21% 16% 5%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	36% 7% 11% 26% 18% 3	2045
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 6% 11% 22% 16% 4	1980
	21st to end	Night	42% 6% 11% 20% 16% 5%	2124
April	1st to 10th	Night	42% 7% 11% 19% 18% 4	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 6% 11% 21% 19% 6%	1775
	21st to end	Night	40% 7% 11% 21% 16% 5%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	43% 7% 11% 21% 14% 4	1688
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 8% 11% 16% 17% 3	1431
	21st to end	Night	38% 11% 16% 21% 12% 3	1551
June	1st to 10th	Night	34% 8% 12% 26% 17% 2	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 10% 14% 23% 14% 2	1440
	21st to end	Night	33% 9% 15% 24% 16% 2	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	40% 12% 17% 16% 12% 3	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 11% 17% 24% 15% 3	1397
	21st to end	Night	31% 10% 17% 23% 17% 1	1672
August	1st to 10th	Night	35% 12% 17% 21% 14% 1	1600
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 10% 12% 20% 15% 2	1682
	21st to end	Night	36% 8% 14% 23% 15% 4	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	38% 6% 12% 21% 19% 5%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 6% 10% 25% 23% 4	1800
	21st to end	Night	42% 7% 10% 19% 19% 3	2049
October	1st to 10th	Night	42% 6% 11% 21% 17% 3	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 5% 11% 27% 19% 3	2160
	21st to end	Night	37% 5% 10% 25% 20% 3	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	33% 5% 10% 26% 21% 5%	2357
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 5% 9% 23% 20% 5%	2479
	21st to end	Night	36% 6% 12% 25% 19% 2	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	44% 5% 12% 24% 14% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 6% 11% 22% 18% 3	3288
	21st to end	Night	41% 10% 16% 22% 10% 1	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	29% 27% 30% 10% 4	180
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 27% 34% 12% 1	247
	21st to end	Day	24% 34% 27% 12% 3	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	27% 30% 32% 8% 3	240
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 25% 38% 4	302
	21st to end	Day	30% 27% 29% 12% 1	346
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 28% 31% 17% 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 23% 31% 14% 3 1	420
	21st to end	Day	24% 24% 31% 15% 5% 1	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	22% 23% 36% 14% 4 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 20% 31% 18% 9% 2	412
	21st to end	Day	26% 18% 36% 13% 6% 1	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	26% 19% 30% 15% 8% 2	423
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 13% 32% 22% 8% 2	447
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 26% 27% 19% 2	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	13% 12% 31% 24% 15% 4	450
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 9% 30% 28% 13% 3	450
	21st to end	Day	12% 9% 30% 31% 14% 4	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 23% 30% 20% 10%	445
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 25% 35% 25% 8%	444
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 28% 31% 20% 3	488
August	1st to 10th	Day	11% 6% 22% 32% 22% 7%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 4 21% 33% 20% 9%	439
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 25% 31% 20% 9%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	18% 8% 19% 25% 20% 11%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 23% 31% 19% 9%	450
	21st to end	Day	22% 13% 22% 28% 12% 3	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	25% 8% 24% 24% 14% 6%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 16% 28% 24% 13% 1	450
	21st to end	Day	18% 16% 38% 20% 6% 2	495
November	1st to 10th	Day	17% 14% 33% 22% 11% 3	388
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 20% 33% 16% 10%	356
	21st to end	Day	27% 17% 32% 19% 6%	180
December	1st to 10th	Day	25% 23% 36% 13% 2 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 23% 31% 14% 3	180
	21st to end	Day	26% 21% 31% 16% 6%	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 22% 37% 18% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 19% 33% 21% 4	737
	21st to end	Night	19% 22% 39% 19% 1	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 21% 35% 22% 2	720
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 24% 36% 14% 1	703
	21st to end	Night	24% 21% 38% 14% 2	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	20% 19% 38% 20% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 20% 34% 18% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	20% 16% 43% 16% 4 1	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	20% 24% 34% 18% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 18% 35% 24% 7%	711
	21st to end	Night	23% 16% 32% 23% 7%	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	22% 10% 30% 28% 9% 1	608
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 11% 29% 29% 9% 1	369
	21st to end	Night	17% 5% 23% 36% 17% 2	389
June	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 29% 34% 21%	360
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 26% 38% 17% 1	360
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 24% 48% 15%	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 1 19% 41% 25% 4	350
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 3 16% 42% 29% 2	353
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 20% 40% 25% 3	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	12% 2 16% 42% 26% 2	537
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 3 18% 37% 26% 3	618
	21st to end	Night	13% 4 18% 36% 25% 4	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	17% 4 20% 33% 23% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 18% 36% 25% 4	720
	21st to end	Night	21% 5% 23% 32% 18% 1	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	23% 8% 21% 27% 17% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 12% 27% 30% 13% 1	720
	21st to end	Night	20% 15% 31% 24% 11%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 12% 33% 30% 10% 1	740
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 20% 30% 25% 7% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 18% 34% 24% 7% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	23% 16% 36% 18% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 16% 40% 21% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	21% 17% 35% 24% 2	836

Page generated at 2024-01-11 22:33:48. Version ac07

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