San Ignacio Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the San Ignacio Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-16.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	4 3 1 3 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 63%	74777
	Night	4 3 2 3 3 2 4 4 5% 7% 63%	75031
Transparency	Day	21% 3 7% 21% 28% 21%	74496
	Night	22% 3 7% 20% 28% 20%	74835
Seeing	Day	8% 9% 27% 30% 20% 6%	14000
	Night	7% 10% 34% 34% 14% 1	24197

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 8% 65%	1603
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 5% 73%	1665
	21st to end	Day	3 5% 1 3 3 2 3 2 5% 6% 66%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 1 3 4 2 2 4 4 6% 66%	1757
	11th to 20th	Day	3 5% 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 63%	1749
	21st to end	Day	2 4 2 4 3 2 3 4 3 6% 69%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 2 4 4 2 4 3 5% 7% 61%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	4 6% 2 3 4 2 3 3 4 6% 64%	1980
	21st to end	Day	3 4 1 3 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 66%	2307
April	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 3 3 2 3 3 4 7% 69%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 2 3 2 2 3 4 4 6% 64%	2131
	21st to end	Day	3 3 1 2 3 1 3 4 4 7% 71%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 3 1 3 4 5% 7% 66%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 5% 7% 59%	2236
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 1 2 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 66%	2641
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 2 3 2 4 5% 7% 9% 62%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 7% 71%	2520
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 1 3 3 3 4 5% 6% 8% 59%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 5% 3 5% 6% 8% 10% 51%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 2 3 3 3 5% 6% 6% 11% 57%	2404
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 2 4 5% 3 6% 7% 8% 12% 46%	2545
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 2 1 4 5% 3 5% 7% 8% 12% 49%	2159
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 4 4 3 5% 6% 8% 10% 49%	2123
	21st to end	Day	4 2 1 4 4 3 5% 5% 7% 10% 55%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 2 4 4 2 4 6% 6% 8% 54%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 1 4 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 59%	2123
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 5% 72%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 4 5% 63%	1868
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 77%	1800
	21st to end	Day	4 4 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 75%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 5% 76%	1727
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 1 3 3 1 3 3 5% 6% 71%	1710
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 4 2 1 3 2 4 6% 65%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 5% 4 1 2 4 5% 8% 64%	1701
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 1 2 2 2 3 4 5% 10% 65%	1926
	21st to end	Day	4 4 2 2 3 1 2 3 5% 6% 69%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 66%	2576
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 5% 67%	2405
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 67%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 5% 2 4 3 2 2 4 5% 7% 64%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 62%	2098
	21st to end	Night	2 5% 1 3 2 2 3 4 4 6% 69%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 63%	2157
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 6% 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 61%	1980
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 66%	2048
April	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 2 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 69%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 7% 65%	1777
	21st to end	Night	4 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 6% 70%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 3 3 2 4 4 4 6% 66%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 3 1 3 4 2 4 4 5% 7% 58%	1657
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 1 3 3 2 3 4 4 5% 67%	1631
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 2 4 4 3 5% 6% 9% 10% 50%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 2 3 2 4 4 6% 8% 68%	1440
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 2 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 11% 51%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 2 5% 5% 3 7% 6% 7% 11% 46%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 2 4 4 3 5% 7% 8% 11% 51%	1551
	21st to end	Night	4 3 3 5% 5% 3 6% 7% 8% 13% 43%	1773
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 2 5% 6% 4 6% 8% 10% 12% 38%	1780
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 2 4 4 4 6% 7% 8% 10% 45%	1778
	21st to end	Night	4 3 1 4 5% 3 6% 6% 9% 11% 49%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 2 5% 4 3 5% 5% 7% 8% 53%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 1 4 4 4 5% 3 4 7% 57%	1836
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 1 2 3 1 3 3 4 6% 67%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 2 4 2 2 3 4 4 5% 61%	2088
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 78%	2160
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 73%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 6% 75%	2332
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 3 3 2 2 3 3 6% 73%	2470
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 6% 65%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 4 3 1 3 4 4 6% 66%	2474
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 1 3 4 2 4 4 5% 8% 63%	3271
	21st to end	Night	3 4 1 4 3 2 4 4 5% 6% 65%	4873

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	20% 3 4 22% 37% 14%	1604
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 1 3 23% 38% 18%	1665
	21st to end	Day	20% 2 4 16% 37% 20%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	20% 2 6% 19% 32% 21%	1757
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 3 3 20% 29% 21%	1759
	21st to end	Day	20% 2 1 12% 36% 30%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	23% 3 3 16% 31% 24%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 2 4 17% 30% 23%	1980
	21st to end	Day	20% 2 5% 18% 32% 24%	2307
April	1st to 10th	Day	17% 3 3 17% 33% 27%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 2 3 19% 27% 27%	2134
	21st to end	Day	16% 2 6% 20% 35% 21%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 3 5% 20% 24% 29%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 3 8% 21% 21% 21%	2240
	21st to end	Day	18% 3 7% 21% 22% 29%	2641
June	1st to 10th	Day	18% 4 12% 23% 21% 22%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 2 4 15% 25% 39%	2520
	21st to end	Day	22% 4 9% 21% 24% 20%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	27% 6% 14% 18% 20% 16%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 4 13% 30% 22% 10%	2331
	21st to end	Day	27% 4 20% 32% 15% 2	2404
August	1st to 10th	Day	25% 5% 18% 27% 17% 7%	2145
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 4 14% 25% 18% 9%	2123
	21st to end	Day	23% 4 15% 26% 25% 7%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	27% 4 10% 23% 24% 13%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 3 8% 21% 25% 18%	2123
	21st to end	Day	18% 1 3 23% 36% 18%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	25% 2 7% 18% 27% 20%	1868
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 2 4 12% 33% 34%	1800
	21st to end	Day	17% 2 3 21% 32% 25%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 2 4 18% 34% 29%	1727
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 2 3 21% 37% 21%	1710
	21st to end	Day	23% 2 3 16% 30% 27%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	21% 2 4 28% 31% 14%	1701
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 2 5% 26% 29% 20%	1924
	21st to end	Day	18% 2 3 20% 35% 23%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 2 6% 24% 35% 13%	2576
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 2 4 19% 35% 18%	2405
	21st to end	Night	20% 2 5% 19% 37% 17%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 3 5% 23% 29% 21%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 4 4 20% 29% 21%	2098
	21st to end	Night	18% 2 2 15% 33% 30%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	20% 3 4 21% 29% 23%	2157
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 2 4 18% 30% 21%	1980
	21st to end	Night	20% 3 5% 19% 30% 24%	2048
April	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 4 16% 34% 27%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 3 5% 16% 25% 29%	1777
	21st to end	Night	18% 3 7% 21% 29% 23%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	21% 2 6% 16% 26% 29%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 3 9% 20% 22% 20%	1658
	21st to end	Night	20% 3 8% 18% 18% 34%	1632
June	1st to 10th	Night	26% 5% 14% 18% 16% 21%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 3 8% 15% 20% 40%	1440
	21st to end	Night	26% 4 13% 19% 18% 20%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	30% 6% 16% 20% 18% 12%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 6% 17% 27% 17% 9%	1501
	21st to end	Night	30% 6% 23% 27% 12% 2	1674
August	1st to 10th	Night	33% 7% 18% 23% 13% 7%	1770
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 4 16% 25% 16% 8%	1778
	21st to end	Night	27% 4 17% 26% 18% 8%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	27% 5% 13% 25% 20% 11%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 4 11% 17% 21% 19%	1836
	21st to end	Night	20% 2 6% 22% 30% 20%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	26% 3 6% 18% 23% 23%	2088
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 1 4 12% 32% 36%	2160
	21st to end	Night	18% 2 4 17% 35% 24%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 1 3 18% 36% 28%	2332
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 1 3 20% 39% 23%	2470
	21st to end	Night	23% 2 3 19% 29% 26%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 2 5% 26% 29% 16%	2474
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 2 5% 21% 35% 16%	3272
	21st to end	Night	21% 2 4 21% 34% 17%	4873

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	11% 15% 36% 24% 11% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 15% 37% 24% 5% 3	255
	21st to end	Day	8% 17% 39% 25% 9% 3	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	5% 19% 37% 28% 10%	240
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 16% 42% 21% 5% 1	240
	21st to end	Day	14% 25% 39% 19% 3 1	198
March	1st to 10th	Day	10% 14% 43% 24% 9% 1	240
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 17% 37% 22% 6% 2	420
	21st to end	Day	15% 24% 37% 18% 5% 1	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	8% 19% 42% 23% 6% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 16% 45% 18% 8%	412
	21st to end	Day	11% 15% 41% 25% 6% 1	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 15% 41% 26% 10% 2	423
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 8% 28% 33% 17% 4	559
	21st to end	Day	8% 9% 32% 35% 15% 1	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 22% 35% 28% 6%	630
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 30% 37% 23% 4	630
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 18% 37% 28% 7%	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	4 10% 32% 41% 13%	621
	11th to 20th	Day	3 5% 30% 42% 20%	504
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 29% 38% 23%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 2 7% 32% 38% 17%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 8% 36% 35% 14%	437
	21st to end	Day	4 10% 36% 35% 15%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 12% 38% 30% 11%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 14% 41% 28% 10%	413
	21st to end	Day	8% 3 20% 33% 29% 6%	270
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 4 23% 26% 25% 6%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 7% 29% 32% 18% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	11% 6% 32% 29% 17% 4	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	9% 15% 37% 22% 14% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 9% 32% 33% 14% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 14% 36% 22% 11% 3	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	10% 13% 37% 28% 9% 2	270
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 13% 45% 25% 4 1	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 24% 35% 20% 6% 1	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	6% 19% 38% 27% 10% 1	879
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 16% 43% 27% 6% 1	740
	21st to end	Night	7% 18% 40% 29% 6% 1	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	7% 15% 44% 28% 6% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 17% 46% 26% 3	704
	21st to end	Night	8% 16% 54% 19% 2	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	7% 14% 44% 28% 6%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 11% 36% 32% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	8% 15% 46% 26% 5%	662
April	1st to 10th	Night	5% 17% 50% 26% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 14% 44% 28% 5%	533
	21st to end	Night	8% 12% 44% 29% 7%	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	6% 9% 44% 36% 6%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 31% 40% 13% 1	531
	21st to end	Night	6% 6% 38% 39% 10% 1	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 29% 44% 18%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 40% 43% 11%	540
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 22% 50% 18% 1	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 10% 48% 34% 2	525
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 7% 47% 38% 3	522
	21st to end	Night	6% 1 6% 41% 43% 3	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 6% 38% 44% 5%	537
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 7% 43% 39% 3	534
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 8% 46% 38% 3	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	7% 1 13% 47% 31% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 1 14% 50% 22% 1	540
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 26% 43% 20% 1	540
October	1st to 10th	Night	12% 3 27% 40% 19%	648
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 6% 36% 35% 15% 2	720
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 32% 32% 17% 1	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	5% 8% 35% 38% 13% 1	852
	11th to 20th	Night	4 11% 38% 35% 12% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	9% 13% 36% 30% 11% 2	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 15% 41% 29% 7%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 18% 42% 27% 5% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	9% 19% 45% 23% 4	1045

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