James Wylie Shepherd Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the James Wylie Shepherd Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-13.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	13% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 42%	74814
	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 8% 46%	74940
Transparency	Day	39% 7% 11% 19% 19% 5%	74543
	Night	36% 7% 11% 19% 20% 7%	74731
Seeing	Day	14% 10% 22% 24% 20% 10%	13418
	Night	14% 8% 23% 29% 22% 4	23469

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	19% 7% 2 4 4 2 3 4 5% 5% 44%	1706
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 9% 3 4 4 2 3 3 3 5% 43%	1747
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 3 4 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 47%	1980
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 9% 3 6% 4 3 4 4 4 5% 39%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 7% 2 4 5% 2 4 4 4 5% 40%	1748
	21st to end	Day	20% 8% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 4 5% 38%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	16% 7% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 47%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 3 6% 6% 3 4 5% 5% 6% 38%	1890
	21st to end	Day	15% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 5% 4 4 8% 42%	2294
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 4 5% 7% 48%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 2 5% 4 3 5% 4 5% 7% 46%	2134
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 2 4 4 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 50%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 5% 4 8% 48%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 44%	2301
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 3 6% 6% 3 6% 5% 5% 9% 43%	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	10% 7% 3 6% 6% 4 6% 7% 7% 11% 34%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 2 5% 6% 3 6% 7% 7% 10% 44%	2340
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 6% 6% 4 7% 7% 7% 10% 40%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 3 6% 7% 5% 7% 8% 7% 11% 31%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 3 6% 8% 5% 8% 9% 8% 11% 30%	2340
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 6% 7% 5% 9% 8% 9% 11% 34%	2455
August	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 1 5% 7% 5% 8% 8% 11% 11% 34%	2148
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 2 7% 8% 4 7% 7% 6% 10% 33%	2125
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 3 6% 8% 5% 7% 7% 7% 8% 33%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 3 6% 7% 4 5% 5% 7% 8% 41%	2120
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 3 5% 6% 3 5% 5% 5% 7% 42%	1980
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 1 4 6% 3 5% 4 4 6% 53%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 53%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 2 4 5% 2 3 3 5% 7% 55%	1980
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 1 5% 4 2 3 4 4 6% 53%	1880
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 3 4 3 2 4 3 3 5% 55%	1672
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 2 4 4 2 4 4 4 5% 53%	1710
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 2 4 5% 2 4 4 5% 6% 47%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	19% 7% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 40%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 8% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 4 4 43%	2153
	21st to end	Day	18% 9% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 4 7% 37%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 3 4 3 2 3 3 4 6% 46%	2459
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 9% 4 6% 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 40%	2273
	21st to end	Night	17% 7% 3 5% 4 3 4 4 3 5% 45%	2376
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 3 6% 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 42%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 7% 3 5% 4 2 3 3 4 5% 44%	2098
	21st to end	Night	19% 7% 2 5% 5% 2 3 5% 4 7% 40%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 4 3 2 3 4 6% 7% 47%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 2 4 5% 3 4 6% 5% 7% 42%	2068
	21st to end	Night	13% 5% 2 4 5% 2 5% 4 5% 7% 47%	2075
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 5% 3 4 4 6% 8% 47%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 2 4 4 2 4 3 4 7% 50%	1775
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 54%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 2 5% 4 3 5% 4 5% 8% 53%	1679
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 3 5% 7% 4 4 5% 7% 10% 44%	1592
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 1 4 5% 3 5% 6% 8% 11% 47%	1744
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 2 7% 7% 4 6% 7% 8% 11% 37%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 1 3 5% 3 5% 5% 8% 11% 52%	1620
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 2 4 5% 3 7% 6% 7% 13% 43%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 7% 9% 10% 38%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 3 6% 6% 3 6% 6% 8% 11% 42%	1620
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 6% 6% 4 6% 7% 8% 11% 41%	1858
August	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 5% 6% 3 5% 8% 10% 14% 39%	1790
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 6% 2 5% 7% 3 6% 5% 8% 11% 40%	1776
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4 6% 5% 6% 9% 39%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 3 5% 6% 4 5% 5% 6% 8% 44%	1822
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 4 3 4 4 6% 9% 46%	1980
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 3 5% 5% 3 5% 4 6% 8% 53%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 2 4 3 2 4 4 4 6% 60%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 6% 56%	1980
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 4 3 4 55%	2469
November	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 58%	2406
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 3 4 3 2 3 3 4 6% 54%	2470
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 2 4 4 3 4 4 6% 6% 48%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 4 7% 43%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 7% 3 4 4 2 3 3 3 5% 47%	3042
	21st to end	Night	18% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 8% 35%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	43% 5% 7% 16% 25% 5%	1707
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 4 6% 17% 21% 7%	1747
	21st to end	Day	40% 3 6% 19% 25% 6%	1980
February	1st to 10th	Day	47% 4 8% 18% 18% 5%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	47% 4 5% 17% 20% 7%	1758
	21st to end	Day	49% 5% 5% 12% 20% 8%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	40% 4 8% 17% 20% 11%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	47% 6% 11% 13% 17% 6%	1890
	21st to end	Day	42% 6% 9% 19% 21% 3	2294
April	1st to 10th	Day	37% 5% 10% 20% 20% 8%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 6% 7% 19% 23% 8%	2134
	21st to end	Day	31% 7% 10% 23% 27% 3	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	34% 7% 9% 23% 24% 4	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 8% 15% 23% 15% 3	2305
	21st to end	Day	37% 8% 12% 22% 18% 3	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	43% 10% 13% 19% 14% 1	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 10% 18% 24% 14% 2	2340
	21st to end	Day	36% 10% 19% 22% 10% 4	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	41% 13% 20% 17% 8% 1	2275
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 15% 19% 15% 9% 1	2271
	21st to end	Day	38% 15% 20% 19% 9%	2318
August	1st to 10th	Day	37% 14% 20% 22% 7%	2136
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 11% 17% 16% 8% 4	2125
	21st to end	Day	44% 12% 15% 16% 9% 3	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	39% 9% 13% 15% 18% 4	2120
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 8% 11% 16% 19% 4	1980
	21st to end	Day	34% 5% 10% 21% 22% 8%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	31% 6% 10% 18% 24% 11%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 3 8% 23% 27% 9%	1980
	21st to end	Day	33% 4 5% 16% 30% 11%	1880
November	1st to 10th	Day	33% 3 6% 17% 28% 13%	1672
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 4 7% 17% 27% 11%	1710
	21st to end	Day	38% 6% 8% 16% 24% 9%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	45% 5% 8% 17% 19% 6%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 4 6% 16% 23% 5%	2150
	21st to end	Day	47% 5% 7% 19% 20% 2	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	41% 4 7% 19% 25% 5%	2459
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 4 6% 19% 20% 6%	2273
	21st to end	Night	43% 4 4 17% 25% 7%	2376
February	1st to 10th	Night	43% 4 7% 18% 20% 8%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 4 4 17% 20% 10%	2099
	21st to end	Night	43% 6% 9% 14% 18% 10%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	37% 4 8% 16% 22% 13%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 8% 11% 16% 19% 7%	2068
	21st to end	Night	36% 6% 9% 23% 21% 6%	2075
April	1st to 10th	Night	35% 6% 12% 20% 19% 8%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 7% 21% 24% 10%	1775
	21st to end	Night	29% 6% 10% 25% 23% 6%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	29% 8% 9% 23% 24% 6%	1679
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 8% 18% 20% 16% 4	1593
	21st to end	Night	29% 10% 12% 26% 18% 5%	1745
June	1st to 10th	Night	37% 13% 15% 19% 16% 1	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 9% 21% 28% 15% 3	1620
	21st to end	Night	29% 13% 19% 20% 15% 4	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	35% 13% 20% 20% 9% 2	1575
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 15% 24% 19% 10% 1	1566
	21st to end	Night	31% 14% 24% 21% 9% 1	1755
August	1st to 10th	Night	28% 15% 20% 26% 9% 1	1778
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 14% 21% 15% 10% 5%	1776
	21st to end	Night	41% 10% 14% 18% 12% 4	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	36% 10% 15% 18% 16% 6%	1822
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 10% 13% 20% 19% 6%	1980
	21st to end	Night	29% 6% 10% 23% 23% 8%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	26% 5% 10% 20% 25% 14%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 5% 7% 20% 27% 11%	1980
	21st to end	Night	33% 4 6% 14% 29% 14%	2469
November	1st to 10th	Night	28% 4 9% 18% 27% 15%	2406
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 4 6% 18% 27% 14%	2470
	21st to end	Night	36% 5% 8% 18% 23% 10%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	41% 5% 9% 19% 21% 5%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 4 7% 14% 29% 6%	3044
	21st to end	Night	45% 5% 9% 19% 20% 3	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	22% 25% 31% 17% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 22% 31% 16% 8%	248
	21st to end	Day	25% 25% 36% 13% 1 1	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	23% 25% 34% 16% 3	240
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 22% 31% 13% 1	240
	21st to end	Day	20% 24% 43% 12% 1	198
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 23% 36% 13% 6% 1	240
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 20% 34% 18% 8%	330
	21st to end	Day	22% 17% 32% 20% 9%	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	18% 15% 30% 22% 13% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 13% 33% 23% 12% 3	412
	21st to end	Day	12% 13% 29% 29% 15% 2	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 9% 26% 31% 17% 4	423
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 26% 30% 21% 11%	447
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 20% 29% 20% 17%	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 14% 32% 26% 13%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 4 12% 24% 31% 21%	450
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 14% 26% 31% 19%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 7% 22% 36% 24%	445
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 2 6% 23% 33% 31%	444
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 8% 21% 38% 26%	488
August	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 8% 22% 34% 25%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 1 7% 28% 35% 20%	439
	21st to end	Day	13% 3 9% 24% 31% 20%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 11% 32% 32% 14%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 4 13% 27% 33% 11%	450
	21st to end	Day	10% 3 15% 29% 33% 10%	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	10% 6% 21% 31% 26% 6%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 26% 32% 22% 3	450
	21st to end	Day	17% 14% 25% 27% 14% 3	315
November	1st to 10th	Day	20% 7% 29% 30% 9% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 11% 40% 24% 8%	270
	21st to end	Day	13% 17% 38% 22% 9% 1	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	26% 19% 33% 19% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 17% 37% 17% 5% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	26% 17% 33% 18% 5%	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 16% 34% 24% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 17% 27% 27% 8%	732
	21st to end	Night	19% 15% 36% 27% 3	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 14% 33% 28% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 15% 32% 25% 5%	703
	21st to end	Night	21% 15% 37% 25% 3	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	18% 13% 32% 31% 6%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 14% 35% 25% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	16% 12% 33% 28% 11%	689
April	1st to 10th	Night	13% 10% 36% 27% 15%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 10% 32% 27% 15% 2	533
	21st to end	Night	10% 8% 30% 33% 17% 2	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	6% 7% 29% 31% 23% 3	540
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 23% 34% 25% 5%	531
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 9% 36% 38% 8%	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 9% 42% 34% 6%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 10% 26% 45% 13%	540
	21st to end	Night	6% 2 7% 28% 45% 13%	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	7% 1 5% 27% 44% 16%	525
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 4 23% 43% 22%	522
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 7% 24% 48% 16%	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 24% 49% 18%	537
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 7% 29% 44% 10%	534
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 7% 25% 40% 15%	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 8% 31% 38% 11%	562
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 3 12% 28% 40% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 14% 33% 38% 4	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 21% 33% 28% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 23% 33% 24% 2	720
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 21% 34% 19% 2	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 7% 20% 36% 20% 4	740
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 10% 27% 33% 14% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 11% 27% 33% 12% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 11% 28% 29% 10% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 10% 30% 27% 10%	760
	21st to end	Night	25% 11% 29% 28% 6%	836

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