Pageant Avenue Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Pageant Avenue Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2025-05-26.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	6% 4 1 4 2 3 3 3 4 6% 64%	118679
	Night	8% 8% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 6% 57%	119639
Transparency	Day	21% 4 8% 17% 25% 25%	118451
	Night	28% 5% 9% 15% 20% 23%	119458
Seeing	Day	7% 5% 21% 38% 23% 6%	16513
	Night	9% 2 10% 31% 36% 11%	26922

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	7% 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 5% 70%	4098
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 4 6% 67%	4394
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 4 7% 9% 49%	5016
February	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 5% 4 3 4 3 3 5% 58%	2000
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 1 4 3 4 4 3 5% 7% 53%	1950
	21st to end	Day	11% 6% 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 5% 7% 50%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 3 3 5% 4 8% 10% 45%	4518
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 7% 56%	4770
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 54%	5788
April	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 1 4 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 57%	2400
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 63%	2369
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 1 3 2 2 2 2 5% 7% 62%	2400
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 3 5% 68%	4101
	11th to 20th	Day	4 8% 2 5% 2 2 3 2 4 7% 61%	4201
	21st to end	Day	5% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 7% 61%	4544
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 8% 2 4 3 3 2 2 4 7% 59%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 1 4 2 2 2 2 3 6% 69%	2470
	21st to end	Day	2 5% 2 4 2 2 2 2 4 5% 69%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 77%	4110
	11th to 20th	Day	1 4 2 4 2 2 3 2 4 6% 69%	4110
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 6% 76%	4226
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 77%	3783
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 5% 79%	3724
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 6% 77%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 6% 70%	2266
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 1 3 1 2 2 2 4 6% 72%	2090
	21st to end	Day	3 4 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 5% 73%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 78%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 5% 70%	3469
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 7% 71%	3299
November	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 1 3 2 3 3 2 5% 6% 67%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 1 3 2 2 2 3 4 6% 67%	1800
	21st to end	Day	7% 4 2 4 3 3 3 4 4 7% 60%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 2 2 3 2 5% 8% 68%	2950
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 1 4 3 4 5% 4 6% 8% 52%	3409
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 7% 9% 44%	4510
January	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 1 3 2 3 3 2 4 6% 66%	5867
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 61%	5596
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 49%	5984
February	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 3 5% 3 3 2 2 5% 5% 57%	2400
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 7% 2 5% 3 3 4 2 4 4 54%	2338
	21st to end	Night	12% 6% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 51%	1980
March	1st to 10th	Night	21% 9% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 7% 41%	5376
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 11% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 48%	5230
	21st to end	Night	14% 14% 2 6% 2 3 2 2 4 5% 46%	5182
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 8% 3 5% 4 3 2 3 5% 7% 50%	2000
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 11% 2 5% 3 2 1 2 3 5% 53%	1979
	21st to end	Night	11% 10% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 50%	2000
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 11% 3 4 2 2 2 2 3 5% 59%	3092
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 23% 5% 6% 3 2 2 2 3 6% 40%	2924
	21st to end	Night	11% 17% 3 5% 2 2 2 2 3 5% 48%	3159
June	1st to 10th	Night	7% 14% 4 9% 4 3 3 2 5% 8% 41%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 11% 3 6% 3 2 2 2 5% 9% 51%	1710
	21st to end	Night	4 9% 4 7% 3 2 2 2 5% 8% 53%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	2 6% 2 5% 3 2 2 2 3 5% 68%	2860
	11th to 20th	Night	1 7% 4 6% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 60%	2860
	21st to end	Night	2 4 2 5% 3 2 2 2 3 6% 67%	3328
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 4 7% 71%	3166
	11th to 20th	Night	2 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 4 7% 70%	3126
	21st to end	Night	2 5% 2 4 2 2 2 1 3 5% 72%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 6% 2 6% 3 2 3 3 4 7% 60%	1913
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 6% 1 3 2 2 2 2 5% 6% 65%	2090
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 3 4 2 1 2 2 4 6% 66%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 74%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 14% 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 5% 59%	3469
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 1 3 2 2 2 2 4 6% 67%	4258
November	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 2 4 2 2 3 2 3 5% 65%	2535
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 2 4 3 3 3 2 3 5% 65%	2600
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 2 4 4 3 5% 3 5% 7% 55%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 5% 64%	4240
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 2 5% 3 3 5% 3 6% 8% 50%	4811
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 46%	6468

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	19% 3 6% 18% 23% 32%	4099
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 5% 10% 17% 20% 28%	4394
	21st to end	Day	30% 4 8% 12% 26% 21%	5016
February	1st to 10th	Day	28% 4 7% 14% 20% 26%	2000
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 6% 8% 14% 25% 18%	1960
	21st to end	Day	32% 6% 10% 13% 21% 18%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Day	28% 7% 11% 22% 19% 13%	4518
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 6% 10% 27% 21% 10%	4770
	21st to end	Day	29% 6% 11% 31% 15% 9%	5788
April	1st to 10th	Day	27% 5% 11% 21% 25% 11%	2400
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 6% 10% 18% 27% 18%	2372
	21st to end	Day	21% 5% 11% 24% 28% 11%	2400
May	1st to 10th	Day	19% 6% 9% 17% 40% 9%	4101
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 7% 11% 18% 34% 8%	4204
	21st to end	Day	23% 7% 11% 19% 36% 5%	4544
June	1st to 10th	Day	26% 6% 10% 21% 24% 13%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 3 8% 13% 29% 28%	2470
	21st to end	Day	20% 3 7% 10% 22% 38%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	13% 2 6% 9% 12% 58%	4046
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 9% 13% 30% 27%	4041
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 9% 24% 21% 29%	4093
August	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 8% 21% 37% 21%	3770
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 2 7% 15% 25% 41%	3760
	21st to end	Day	12% 2 6% 9% 28% 43%	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	16% 4 7% 12% 30% 31%	2266
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 8% 10% 31% 33%	2090
	21st to end	Day	15% 4 6% 13% 31% 31%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	12% 2 4 11% 15% 56%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 3 6% 12% 25% 36%	3469
	21st to end	Day	15% 2 4 11% 32% 36%	3299
November	1st to 10th	Day	20% 3 7% 18% 18% 34%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 4 7% 15% 18% 37%	1800
	21st to end	Day	24% 4 10% 14% 19% 30%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 3 7% 16% 23% 34%	2950
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 6% 8% 15% 24% 18%	3408
	21st to end	Day	34% 6% 12% 23% 18% 8%	4510
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 4 6% 15% 28% 26%	5867
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 6% 9% 16% 15% 29%	5596
	21st to end	Night	34% 5% 8% 10% 20% 23%	5984
February	1st to 10th	Night	30% 4 9% 13% 19% 25%	2400
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 5% 7% 14% 20% 20%	2339
	21st to end	Night	33% 4 7% 13% 22% 19%	1980
March	1st to 10th	Night	40% 7% 10% 14% 16% 12%	5376
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 7% 9% 22% 18% 8%	5230
	21st to end	Night	38% 9% 12% 17% 16% 8%	5182
April	1st to 10th	Night	33% 6% 10% 20% 19% 12%	2000
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 5% 9% 16% 22% 16%	1979
	21st to end	Night	37% 6% 11% 18% 18% 10%	2000
May	1st to 10th	Night	29% 6% 10% 20% 27% 8%	3092
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 9% 10% 13% 18% 7%	2925
	21st to end	Night	41% 7% 11% 14% 22% 5%	3159
June	1st to 10th	Night	40% 10% 15% 10% 15% 10%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 4 13% 12% 20% 21%	1710
	21st to end	Night	30% 3 11% 11% 16% 28%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	18% 3 8% 10% 10% 51%	2815
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 3 10% 12% 31% 19%	2806
	21st to end	Night	19% 4 10% 24% 22% 21%	3224
August	1st to 10th	Night	14% 3 13% 20% 35% 15%	3156
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 3 10% 16% 22% 33%	3156
	21st to end	Night	16% 2 8% 10% 23% 41%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	26% 4 8% 13% 21% 28%	1913
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 3 9% 10% 30% 28%	2090
	21st to end	Night	21% 3 8% 14% 32% 23%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	15% 3 5% 15% 17% 46%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 3 8% 10% 15% 34%	3469
	21st to end	Night	20% 2 5% 10% 27% 36%	4258
November	1st to 10th	Night	21% 5% 8% 15% 17% 34%	2535
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 3 6% 12% 18% 38%	2600
	21st to end	Night	29% 4 9% 15% 15% 28%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	23% 3 6% 14% 22% 32%	4240
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 5% 8% 12% 22% 22%	4811
	21st to end	Night	32% 10% 15% 20% 14% 10%	6468

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	14% 6% 15% 38% 24% 3	300
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 22% 39% 18% 5%	425
	21st to end	Day	11% 9% 27% 33% 17% 4	550
February	1st to 10th	Day	11% 8% 26% 33% 17% 4	500
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 8% 31% 34% 15% 2	495
	21st to end	Day	10% 10% 35% 31% 11% 2	414
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 10% 32% 31% 11% 2	500
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 7% 29% 34% 14% 3	500
	21st to end	Day	7% 13% 34% 32% 12% 2	550
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 7% 29% 33% 16% 5%	500
	11th to 20th	Day	4 10% 35% 34% 13% 4	492
	21st to end	Day	7% 9% 25% 35% 17% 7%	500
May	1st to 10th	Day	10% 8% 28% 33% 15% 6%	503
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 7% 27% 38% 19% 2	528
	21st to end	Day	6% 8% 25% 39% 18% 4	550
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 18% 37% 30% 6%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 17% 40% 28% 8%	490
	21st to end	Day	5% 1 12% 42% 31% 8%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 6% 41% 37% 10%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 38% 38% 17%	484
	21st to end	Day	3 1 3 39% 40% 14%	531
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 8% 42% 34% 13%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	3 6% 44% 33% 14%	477
	21st to end	Day	3 9% 41% 36% 10%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 11% 48% 29% 7%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 2 19% 47% 22% 5%	490
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 22% 39% 27% 6%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 6% 23% 39% 22% 6%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 23% 40% 21% 5%	490
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 21% 37% 26% 8%	452
November	1st to 10th	Day	6% 6% 17% 37% 27% 8%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 19% 36% 29% 6%	300
	21st to end	Day	7% 8% 20% 39% 22% 5%	300
December	1st to 10th	Day	9% 3 20% 37% 25% 6%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 18% 37% 27% 9%	300
	21st to end	Day	11% 8% 21% 38% 16% 5%	330
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 14% 39% 27% 9%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 3 12% 42% 29% 7%	800
	21st to end	Night	13% 2 15% 42% 24% 4	880
February	1st to 10th	Night	11% 3 11% 38% 29% 7%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 4 15% 38% 26% 5%	784
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 14% 42% 23% 4	660
March	1st to 10th	Night	14% 4 14% 41% 24% 4	800
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 4 11% 35% 27% 8%	800
	21st to end	Night	11% 4 13% 38% 30% 5%	880
April	1st to 10th	Night	12% 4 11% 40% 28% 6%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 13% 36% 29% 6%	791
	21st to end	Night	12% 4 11% 32% 33% 8%	800
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 4 13% 33% 34% 6%	690
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 2 14% 28% 35% 7%	591
	21st to end	Night	14% 2 16% 27% 36% 4	634
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 13% 29% 38% 8%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 9% 30% 47% 5%	570
	21st to end	Night	6% 1 7% 28% 49% 8%	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 6% 17% 55% 16%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 13% 60% 21%	552
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 11% 55% 24%	755
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 3 14% 53% 23%	756
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 4 12% 51% 26%	752
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 11% 53% 27%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 5% 15% 56% 17%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 1 5% 24% 49% 12%	760
	21st to end	Night	4 1 7% 30% 43% 15%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 7% 34% 43% 9%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 9% 33% 37% 10%	760
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 10% 32% 35% 15%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	7% 2 9% 36% 35% 11%	780
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 8% 37% 35% 12%	800
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 10% 43% 29% 10%	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 11% 41% 29% 8%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 3 13% 38% 26% 7%	800
	21st to end	Night	10% 4 15% 38% 25% 8%	880

Page generated at 2025-05-23 06:20:59. Version ac07

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