Mesa Vista Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Mesa Vista Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-03-06.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	4 4 2 4 4 3 4 5% 6% 7% 58%	78731
	Night	4 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 60%	80843
Transparency	Day	23% 6% 11% 21% 26% 14%	78451
	Night	21% 7% 11% 21% 26% 14%	80645
Seeing	Day	10% 19% 30% 26% 13% 2	14168
	Night	6% 14% 31% 32% 15% 2	24442

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	1 6% 4 4 2 2 4 3 5% 8% 61%	2730
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 5% 68%	2860
	21st to end	Day	3 7% 3 5% 4 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 53%	3146
February	1st to 10th	Day	2 6% 2 5% 4 2 3 4 5% 7% 60%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	2 5% 2 5% 3 2 4 4 6% 7% 61%	1849
	21st to end	Day	2 9% 1 4 3 2 2 3 5% 6% 62%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 2 4 4 2 4 4 7% 8% 59%	1906
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 7% 3 5% 4 2 3 3 4 6% 58%	1980
	21st to end	Day	4 5% 2 3 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 59%	2270
April	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 2 3 3 2 3 5% 6% 7% 63%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 5% 61%	2131
	21st to end	Day	3 5% 2 3 4 2 4 4 4 8% 62%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 2 3 4 2 3 4 5% 6% 62%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 4 5% 3 4 5% 6% 7% 56%	2223
	21st to end	Day	4 2 1 3 3 2 4 5% 6% 8% 62%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 3 4 2 5% 6% 6% 10% 60%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 1 2 3 2 3 4 5% 6% 69%	2520
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 54%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 2 5% 6% 4 8% 8% 8% 10% 41%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 1 5% 6% 4 7% 8% 8% 10% 42%	2364
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 6% 8% 5% 8% 8% 10% 10% 33%	2545
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 1 5% 7% 5% 7% 7% 8% 10% 41%	2240
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 2 5% 7% 4 7% 7% 8% 10% 40%	2123
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 2 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 8% 10% 45%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 7% 7% 48%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 3 4 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 54%	2160
	21st to end	Day	4 2 1 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 6% 66%	1974
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 1 5% 4 2 3 4 4 5% 57%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 76%	1800
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 3 5% 71%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 8% 71%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 2 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 69%	1710
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 6% 63%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 2 3 4 2 3 4 5% 6% 64%	1592
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 2 4 6% 3 4 4 5% 8% 57%	1926
	21st to end	Day	3 6% 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 7% 65%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 59%	4253
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5% 68%	4110
	21st to end	Night	2 6% 2 4 4 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 55%	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 7% 2 5% 3 2 3 3 4 7% 63%	2413
	11th to 20th	Night	4 6% 2 4 3 3 4 4 3 7% 61%	2218
	21st to end	Night	4 6% 2 2 3 2 2 4 4 7% 64%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 5% 7% 63%	2168
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 58%	1980
	21st to end	Night	4 5% 2 4 3 2 4 3 4 5% 64%	2084
April	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 2 2 1 3 4 6% 8% 66%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 2 4 3 2 4 3 4 6% 63%	1777
	21st to end	Night	4 3 1 4 3 2 3 3 4 6% 67%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 65%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 2 4 5% 3 5% 4 6% 7% 54%	1667
	21st to end	Night	4 3 1 3 4 2 4 4 3 7% 66%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 1 4 5% 3 6% 5% 7% 9% 55%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 2 3 2 4 4 4 8% 67%	1440
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 1 3 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 8% 53%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 2 6% 6% 3 6% 7% 6% 8% 46%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 1 4 5% 3 7% 7% 10% 13% 44%	1591
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 3 5% 5% 3 6% 8% 9% 14% 38%	1773
August	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 2 4 6% 4 7% 8% 9% 12% 42%	1695
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 2 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 9% 12% 40%	1778
	21st to end	Night	4 3 1 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 9% 11% 47%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 4 5% 2 5% 5% 9% 9% 52%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 2 4 5% 3 5% 4 5% 7% 56%	1800
	21st to end	Night	4 2 1 4 3 2 4 4 4 7% 64%	1981
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 5% 61%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 76%	2160
	21st to end	Night	4 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 4 6% 71%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 6% 73%	2292
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 6% 73%	2470
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 6% 64%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 4 3 2 3 4 3 7% 66%	2586
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 1 4 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 57%	3271
	21st to end	Night	4 5% 3 4 4 2 3 2 3 5% 64%	4873

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	20% 5% 10% 29% 29% 7%	2731
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 7% 11% 35% 27% 6%	2860
	21st to end	Day	25% 8% 10% 22% 28% 8%	3146
February	1st to 10th	Day	23% 5% 10% 22% 28% 12%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 5% 8% 27% 25% 14%	1859
	21st to end	Day	22% 3 6% 18% 34% 17%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	20% 6% 8% 21% 30% 15%	1906
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 4 10% 18% 30% 12%	1980
	21st to end	Day	21% 5% 10% 21% 30% 11%	2270
April	1st to 10th	Day	19% 4 8% 22% 31% 17%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 5% 6% 20% 29% 17%	2134
	21st to end	Day	20% 4 9% 23% 31% 12%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	21% 5% 9% 19% 29% 18%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 7% 11% 19% 24% 13%	2227
	21st to end	Day	19% 7% 10% 18% 22% 24%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	17% 7% 13% 20% 24% 19%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 4 8% 14% 23% 35%	2520
	21st to end	Day	25% 6% 12% 18% 21% 18%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	33% 11% 15% 14% 14% 13%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 11% 19% 23% 12% 7%	2293
	21st to end	Day	37% 14% 22% 20% 7%	2404
August	1st to 10th	Day	31% 13% 17% 19% 11% 8%	2225
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 12% 14% 21% 15% 7%	2123
	21st to end	Day	30% 10% 15% 22% 19% 4	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	31% 8% 12% 20% 20% 9%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 6% 11% 19% 23% 16%	2160
	21st to end	Day	17% 4 9% 22% 33% 15%	1974
October	1st to 10th	Day	28% 5% 8% 19% 24% 16%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 3 5% 14% 36% 29%	1800
	21st to end	Day	18% 2 8% 20% 35% 17%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 8% 18% 41% 17%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 4 8% 24% 37% 13%	1710
	21st to end	Day	22% 4 6% 19% 30% 19%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	19% 5% 12% 28% 25% 12%	1592
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 6% 10% 20% 29% 12%	1924
	21st to end	Day	19% 3 10% 20% 32% 16%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	23% 7% 10% 25% 26% 9%	4253
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 10% 33% 26% 8%	4110
	21st to end	Night	22% 8% 11% 25% 27% 8%	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	22% 4 10% 23% 27% 13%	2413
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 3 10% 24% 25% 14%	2218
	21st to end	Night	20% 4 5% 18% 32% 20%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 6% 7% 23% 28% 16%	2168
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 6% 9% 19% 31% 11%	1980
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 9% 19% 34% 12%	2084
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 5% 8% 22% 30% 18%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 5% 9% 18% 28% 19%	1777
	21st to end	Night	19% 6% 10% 20% 33% 12%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 9% 17% 31% 19%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 8% 13% 18% 21% 13%	1668
	21st to end	Night	17% 7% 13% 17% 22% 23%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	22% 10% 14% 18% 18% 18%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 4 8% 15% 21% 36%	1440
	21st to end	Night	27% 7% 14% 16% 17% 19%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	32% 11% 15% 18% 12% 12%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 13% 24% 20% 12% 7%	1539
	21st to end	Night	31% 15% 28% 18% 7% 1	1674
August	1st to 10th	Night	29% 14% 20% 17% 11% 8%	1686
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 14% 21% 18% 11% 6%	1778
	21st to end	Night	25% 11% 18% 26% 14% 6%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	25% 9% 19% 22% 18% 8%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 8% 13% 16% 23% 16%	1800
	21st to end	Night	19% 5% 10% 20% 30% 15%	1981
October	1st to 10th	Night	25% 6% 8% 19% 22% 19%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 3 6% 16% 34% 29%	2160
	21st to end	Night	16% 3 7% 21% 36% 17%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 2 6% 24% 37% 18%	2292
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 3 9% 23% 38% 14%	2470
	21st to end	Night	22% 4 6% 19% 30% 19%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	19% 5% 9% 29% 26% 11%	2586
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 5% 11% 20% 29% 12%	3272
	21st to end	Night	22% 5% 9% 20% 30% 14%	4873

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	14% 29% 33% 19% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 29% 30% 16% 5% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	5% 29% 37% 19% 9% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	11% 37% 33% 17% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 41% 31% 16% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	23% 39% 27% 11%	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	14% 34% 34% 16% 3	311
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 29% 31% 16% 4 1	420
	21st to end	Day	21% 36% 31% 10% 2	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	14% 33% 38% 11% 4	420
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 38% 32% 11% 2	412
	21st to end	Day	15% 34% 39% 10% 2	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	9% 35% 40% 13% 3 1	423
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 16% 39% 25% 8% 1	522
	21st to end	Day	8% 17% 39% 28% 8% 1	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 32% 38% 17% 2	630
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 12% 29% 36% 17% 1	630
	21st to end	Day	7% 9% 27% 35% 19% 4	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 2 22% 35% 31% 6%	621
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 11% 43% 32% 8%	466
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 10% 40% 34% 9%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 18% 44% 26% 4	447
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 24% 41% 23% 4	437
	21st to end	Day	4 3 22% 43% 23% 4	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 3 25% 42% 20% 3	450
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 6% 36% 37% 13% 3	450
	21st to end	Day	5% 12% 34% 30% 15% 4	270
October	1st to 10th	Day	11% 21% 29% 24% 12% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 20% 33% 24% 9% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	12% 20% 35% 21% 9% 2	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	10% 31% 36% 16% 6%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 21% 38% 24% 8% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 28% 30% 18% 9%	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	13% 31% 31% 18% 7%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 33% 36% 19% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	18% 35% 30% 13% 4	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	5% 21% 35% 26% 11% 1	851
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 17% 38% 26% 9% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 18% 38% 26% 10% 1	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	6% 19% 43% 25% 6% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 24% 40% 23% 5%	744
	21st to end	Night	10% 23% 47% 17% 2	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	8% 23% 38% 26% 5% 1	742
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 18% 32% 33% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	8% 18% 43% 26% 5%	698
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 24% 42% 24% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 23% 33% 29% 6%	533
	21st to end	Night	7% 19% 41% 27% 6%	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 14% 41% 31% 10%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 10% 32% 34% 15% 1	531
	21st to end	Night	5% 13% 34% 38% 9% 1	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 6% 27% 44% 20%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	2 6% 31% 44% 15% 1	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 21% 42% 25% 2	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 11% 43% 36% 4	525
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 7% 37% 46% 6%	522
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 6% 29% 50% 6%	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 9% 32% 45% 8%	537
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 13% 41% 37% 4	534
	21st to end	Night	4 1 10% 44% 35% 6%	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 2 13% 47% 29% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 15% 47% 27% 2	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 6% 24% 42% 21% 2	543
October	1st to 10th	Night	9% 8% 23% 40% 19% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 10% 35% 34% 13% 3	720
	21st to end	Night	6% 13% 30% 32% 15% 4	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	4 13% 35% 33% 13% 2	812
	11th to 20th	Night	3 15% 36% 33% 10% 3	950
	21st to end	Night	9% 16% 34% 28% 11% 2	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	9% 20% 37% 27% 7% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 22% 37% 26% 8%	950
	21st to end	Night	11% 21% 42% 22% 4	1045

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