Mannford Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Mannford Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-16.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 49%	74964
	Night	11% 5% 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 6% 54%	74869
Transparency	Day	35% 4 10% 26% 20% 5%	74689
	Night	31% 3 10% 26% 23% 7%	74664
Seeing	Day	14% 10% 28% 28% 17% 4	14295
	Night	13% 10% 31% 32% 13% 1	24297

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	9% 8% 3 5% 5% 3 3 3 4 6% 51%	1707
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 8% 2 6% 5% 2 3 3 3 5% 51%	1665
	21st to end	Day	12% 6% 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 5% 54%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 10% 4 6% 5% 2 3 4 4 5% 43%	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 4 5% 4 3 4 4 4 7% 46%	1731
	21st to end	Day	15% 8% 3 5% 4 3 4 4 4 6% 45%	1491
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 2 5% 4 2 3 3 4 6% 50%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 2 4 5% 3 4 3 4 6% 44%	1980
	21st to end	Day	15% 10% 3 6% 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 40%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 7% 49%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 5% 5% 8% 44%	2118
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 3 5% 4 3 5% 3 4 6% 44%	2340
May	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 4 3 5% 6% 43%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 2 5% 4 3 4 5% 5% 7% 44%	2302
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 3 5% 6% 4 6% 6% 6% 9% 36%	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 2 4 6% 3 4 5% 6% 11% 50%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 4 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 50%	2340
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 1 3 3 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 59%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 3 2 3 5% 3 6% 6% 9% 9% 46%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 4 4 4 5% 4 7% 10% 57%	2340
	21st to end	Day	7% 4 2 3 4 3 5% 6% 7% 10% 49%	2546
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 2 4 5% 3 4 6% 8% 9% 52%	2328
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 4 2 5% 4 3 5% 6% 7% 8% 48%	2301
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 4 4 3 5% 6% 6% 9% 55%	2471
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 2 4 5% 3 3 4 5% 6% 54%	1983
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 2 4 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 7% 47%	1980
	21st to end	Day	9% 3 2 4 3 3 3 4 4 6% 59%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 57%	1885
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 3 1 3 4 2 2 2 3 4 64%	1800
	21st to end	Day	14% 6% 2 4 4 2 2 3 3 4 55%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 5% 6% 60%	1839
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 5% 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 6% 62%	1710
	21st to end	Day	14% 6% 2 3 3 2 2 3 5% 6% 55%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	12% 7% 3 5% 4 3 3 4 3 5% 51%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 47%	2161
	21st to end	Day	15% 10% 5% 9% 6% 4 4 4 5% 5% 34%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 3 5% 6% 54%	2458
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 53%	2418
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 2 3 4 2 3 3 4 6% 58%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	14% 8% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 48%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 7% 3 6% 4 2 3 3 4 5% 50%	2130
	21st to end	Night	13% 8% 2 5% 5% 3 3 3 3 4 51%	1763
March	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 2 5% 4 2 4 5% 5% 5% 50%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 6% 51%	1980
	21st to end	Night	16% 5% 2 5% 5% 2 3 4 4 5% 48%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 6% 56%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 1 4 4 2 4 3 4 6% 52%	1786
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 3 5% 3 2 3 4 4 5% 51%	1620
May	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 5% 2 3 4 5% 8% 48%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 4 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 49%	1593
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 2 5% 4 3 4 5% 7% 11% 46%	1745
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 2 4 3 2 5% 5% 5% 7% 58%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 1 4 3 2 4 5% 7% 9% 57%	1620
	21st to end	Night	3 2 1 2 3 2 4 4 6% 9% 64%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 1 4 4 2 4 6% 8% 10% 53%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 1 3 3 3 5% 4 5% 8% 63%	1620
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 2 4 4 2 4 4 6% 9% 58%	1772
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 3 3 3 6% 5% 8% 10% 56%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 1 4 4 3 6% 6% 5% 7% 54%	1600
	21st to end	Night	3 3 2 3 4 2 4 5% 6% 8% 62%	1885
September	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 59%	1972
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 1 5% 5% 3 4 6% 4 6% 52%	1980
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 1 4 4 2 4 4 4 6% 61%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 5% 61%	2056
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 5% 61%	2160
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 2 3 3 1 3 3 4 4 59%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 1 3 3 1 2 3 4 5% 64%	2234
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 5% 60%	2470
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 2 4 3 2 4 3 3 5% 56%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	12% 6% 2 4 3 3 4 3 4 7% 53%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 3 5% 4 3 3 4 4 5% 52%	3036
	21st to end	Night	17% 8% 2 5% 4 2 3 3 4 5% 45%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	36% 2 7% 28% 23% 4	1708
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 2 8% 25% 24% 3	1665
	21st to end	Day	34% 3 9% 29% 21% 4	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	45% 3 9% 23% 17% 4	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 3 8% 28% 18% 4	1741
	21st to end	Day	42% 2 6% 23% 19% 8%	1491
March	1st to 10th	Day	37% 3 7% 24% 19% 10%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 4 9% 22% 17% 5%	1980
	21st to end	Day	46% 3 11% 23% 14% 3	2178
April	1st to 10th	Day	35% 3 12% 25% 19% 6%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 5% 12% 23% 16% 6%	2118
	21st to end	Day	43% 4 9% 24% 18% 2	2340
May	1st to 10th	Day	44% 3 10% 23% 19% 2	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 5% 13% 26% 15% 1	2306
	21st to end	Day	43% 6% 14% 26% 11% 1	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	29% 5% 17% 30% 16% 3	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 5% 13% 29% 17% 4	2340
	21st to end	Day	24% 5% 13% 30% 23% 5%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	31% 7% 16% 28% 17% 1	2276
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 5% 13% 32% 25% 3	2271
	21st to end	Day	28% 5% 14% 34% 18% 1	2405
August	1st to 10th	Day	27% 6% 15% 29% 18% 5%	2314
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 5% 13% 27% 21% 2	2301
	21st to end	Day	25% 6% 13% 31% 19% 6%	2471
September	1st to 10th	Day	32% 3 8% 26% 22% 9%	1983
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 5% 10% 22% 22% 6%	1980
	21st to end	Day	28% 4 7% 24% 30% 7%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	29% 3 12% 23% 27% 7%	1885
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 2 6% 24% 32% 10%	1800
	21st to end	Day	34% 2 8% 25% 21% 8%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	26% 3 7% 29% 28% 8%	1839
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 2 8% 30% 26% 8%	1710
	21st to end	Day	31% 3 8% 26% 25% 7%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	37% 3 8% 29% 22% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 3 6% 23% 25% 4	2159
	21st to end	Day	48% 7% 7% 22% 13% 3	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	31% 3 9% 27% 25% 5%	2458
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 3 8% 26% 24% 5%	2418
	21st to end	Night	30% 3 7% 30% 23% 7%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	40% 2 10% 23% 19% 5%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 3 7% 28% 18% 6%	2130
	21st to end	Night	39% 2 7% 20% 22% 10%	1763
March	1st to 10th	Night	36% 4 6% 20% 22% 12%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 2 10% 24% 20% 7%	1980
	21st to end	Night	39% 4 10% 27% 17% 3	2178
April	1st to 10th	Night	29% 4 10% 24% 23% 9%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 3 10% 26% 18% 9%	1786
	21st to end	Night	36% 3 9% 25% 23% 3	1620
May	1st to 10th	Night	36% 5% 11% 22% 22% 4	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 5% 13% 26% 18% 3	1594
	21st to end	Night	32% 6% 17% 29% 14% 2	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	25% 5% 17% 32% 19% 3	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 4 16% 35% 18% 4	1620
	21st to end	Night	18% 3 13% 32% 27% 7%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	23% 7% 15% 32% 19% 3	1575
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 3 12% 31% 29% 5%	1566
	21st to end	Night	22% 4 11% 37% 24% 2	1673
August	1st to 10th	Night	20% 5% 15% 34% 21% 4	1601
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 5% 13% 21% 27% 6%	1600
	21st to end	Night	19% 6% 13% 30% 23% 9%	1885
September	1st to 10th	Night	27% 3 8% 27% 25% 10%	1972
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 5% 9% 20% 27% 7%	1980
	21st to end	Night	25% 3 6% 26% 32% 8%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	26% 3 11% 24% 25% 11%	2056
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 3 6% 21% 31% 12%	2160
	21st to end	Night	31% 2 7% 24% 26% 10%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	24% 2 8% 24% 31% 10%	2234
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 2 7% 25% 27% 10%	2470
	21st to end	Night	33% 2 7% 21% 29% 8%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	33% 3 10% 27% 22% 6%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 3 6% 22% 27% 5%	3037
	21st to end	Night	41% 4 7% 23% 20% 5%	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 19% 34% 22% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 24% 38% 13% 2	255
	21st to end	Day	17% 21% 40% 16% 6%	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	21% 18% 45% 13% 3	240
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 23% 41% 14% 1	240
	21st to end	Day	32% 25% 31% 9% 3	198
March	1st to 10th	Day	24% 21% 35% 17% 2	240
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 19% 38% 17% 2	240
	21st to end	Day	23% 27% 33% 13% 3	264
April	1st to 10th	Day	19% 25% 32% 19% 5%	240
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 19% 37% 17% 4	396
	21st to end	Day	23% 18% 33% 17% 8% 1	600
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 15% 37% 23% 5% 1	603
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 10% 33% 27% 10% 2	625
	21st to end	Day	16% 6% 33% 24% 15% 5%	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 22% 39% 22% 6%	630
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 29% 42% 15% 3	630
	21st to end	Day	4 2 26% 40% 22% 5%	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 12% 36% 31% 12%	621
	11th to 20th	Day	3 1 16% 38% 35% 6%	618
	21st to end	Day	7% 10% 38% 36% 9%	684
August	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 14% 41% 33% 4	626
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 15% 36% 33% 5%	615
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 10% 37% 39% 8%	590
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 15% 30% 35% 10%	273
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 19% 41% 27% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 3 20% 39% 19% 5%	270
October	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 37% 26% 17% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 14% 41% 23% 9% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	27% 12% 33% 20% 7% 2	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 11% 45% 20% 9% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 18% 34% 22% 8% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	24% 15% 38% 19% 4	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	19% 14% 39% 19% 8% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 16% 38% 20% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	20% 23% 38% 18% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	16% 14% 37% 27% 6% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 17% 35% 27% 5%	930
	21st to end	Night	13% 16% 38% 28% 5%	990
February	1st to 10th	Night	18% 15% 39% 25% 4	900
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 18% 37% 23% 3	736
	21st to end	Night	19% 16% 37% 25% 3	579
March	1st to 10th	Night	14% 15% 38% 29% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 13% 36% 26% 4	540
	21st to end	Night	19% 15% 38% 23% 5%	594
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 15% 41% 24% 4 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 15% 36% 26% 6%	533
	21st to end	Night	16% 13% 41% 23% 7% 1	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	16% 9% 38% 30% 6% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 32% 31% 14% 1	531
	21st to end	Night	9% 7% 31% 34% 18% 2	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 21% 41% 25% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 29% 44% 17% 1	540
	21st to end	Night	3 2 27% 47% 19% 2	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 14% 46% 31% 4	525
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 16% 44% 31% 4	522
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 10% 44% 35% 4	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 15% 47% 31% 2	537
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 12% 44% 34% 3	534
	21st to end	Night	3 1 11% 42% 39% 4	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 14% 40% 32% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 1 19% 38% 24% 5%	540
	21st to end	Night	9% 3 23% 39% 23% 4	540
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 30% 32% 22% 3	616
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 38% 31% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	18% 10% 31% 29% 11% 1	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 8% 39% 29% 12% 1	754
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 13% 34% 30% 7% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	18% 12% 36% 26% 8%	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 13% 34% 29% 6%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 12% 36% 27% 6%	950
	21st to end	Night	17% 18% 33% 27% 5%	1045

Page generated at 2024-01-13 08:37:58. Version ac07

Copyright 2024 Attilla Danko