Moondance
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Moondance clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-12.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	3 6% 4 7% 6% 4 6% 6% 6% 8% 44%	74736
	Night	2 6% 3 6% 6% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 49%	74990
Transparency	Day	34% 9% 14% 22% 16% 5%	74448
	Night	31% 9% 15% 24% 16% 5%	74801
Seeing	Day	9% 16% 28% 28% 16% 3	14400
	Night	5% 9% 27% 41% 17% 1	24595

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	5% 6% 10% 9% 5% 6% 5% 6% 11% 36%	1518
	11th to 20th	Day	1 7% 7% 11% 8% 5% 7% 5% 6% 8% 36%	1569
	21st to end	Day	1 6% 6% 12% 10% 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 36%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	1 9% 5% 12% 9% 5% 7% 4 6% 8% 35%	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 6% 11% 8% 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 37%	1643
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 12% 9% 5% 7% 6% 6% 8% 34%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	2 7% 5% 10% 8% 4 5% 4 4 8% 43%	1867
	11th to 20th	Day	2 8% 4 7% 6% 4 7% 7% 5% 9% 42%	1980
	21st to end	Day	2 8% 5% 8% 7% 5% 7% 6% 7% 10% 35%	2250
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 8% 4 8% 7% 4 5% 5% 7% 8% 41%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	3 9% 4 9% 8% 4 6% 6% 7% 8% 36%	2131
	21st to end	Day	3 8% 4 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 8% 8% 39%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 9% 4 7% 7% 4 6% 7% 6% 9% 35%	2304
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 7% 3 6% 8% 4 6% 6% 6% 10% 38%	2478
	21st to end	Day	5% 6% 3 7% 7% 5% 7% 6% 7% 9% 39%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 2 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 9% 50%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 1 4 4 3 5% 5% 6% 7% 57%	2520
	21st to end	Day	3 3 2 4 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 8% 57%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 2 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 8% 10% 47%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 3 5% 6% 4 7% 6% 8% 9% 47%	2520
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 3 7% 7% 4 7% 7% 8% 8% 39%	2598
August	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 3 7% 7% 4 7% 7% 8% 10% 35%	2328
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 2 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 7% 9% 48%	2210
	21st to end	Day	4 5% 2 6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 46%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 2 4 5% 3 4 5% 6% 7% 56%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 54%	2160
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 2 4 3 2 3 4 4 6% 62%	1930
October	1st to 10th	Day	5% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 4 6% 53%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	4 6% 2 5% 4 2 3 4 6% 7% 58%	1800
	21st to end	Day	4 8% 4 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 51%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 6% 4 5% 4 2 4 5% 6% 8% 56%	1681
	11th to 20th	Day	2 8% 5% 6% 6% 3 3 4 5% 8% 51%	1687
	21st to end	Day	1 5% 3 9% 5% 3 5% 4 5% 7% 52%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	1 7% 4 13% 8% 4 6% 6% 8% 8% 35%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	1 8% 4 8% 6% 4 6% 7% 7% 9% 39%	1926
	21st to end	Day	1 8% 5% 13% 10% 5% 7% 6% 6% 8% 32%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 9% 8% 4 6% 6% 6% 7% 41%	2647
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 9% 9% 4 6% 6% 6% 8% 41%	2431
	21st to end	Night	1 7% 6% 10% 8% 5% 6% 5% 6% 8% 39%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	1 7% 5% 11% 8% 4 6% 6% 6% 8% 38%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	1 7% 5% 8% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 40%	2204
	21st to end	Night	1 7% 5% 10% 8% 4 6% 6% 6% 7% 40%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 6% 3 8% 7% 4 6% 6% 6% 9% 46%	2089
	11th to 20th	Night	2 6% 4 6% 6% 2 4 4 5% 8% 53%	1980
	21st to end	Night	2 7% 4 6% 6% 4 5% 5% 7% 9% 45%	2106
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 7% 4 6% 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 7% 48%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	3 8% 4 6% 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 9% 45%	1777
	21st to end	Night	4 8% 3 5% 4 3 4 4 6% 8% 51%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	5% 7% 3 5% 6% 3 6% 6% 7% 8% 42%	1649
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 8% 10% 44%	1417
	21st to end	Night	4 5% 2 5% 5% 3 6% 5% 6% 10% 48%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 3 4 2 3 5% 6% 11% 60%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 2 3 4 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 61%	1440
	21st to end	Night	3 1 1 2 4 2 3 5% 6% 9% 64%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 2 3 4 2 4 6% 8% 11% 53%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 4 3 4 5% 5% 8% 9% 57%	1440
	21st to end	Night	3 4 1 5% 6% 3 6% 5% 7% 10% 49%	1716
August	1st to 10th	Night	4 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 50%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 2 4 3 3 5% 5% 7% 9% 55%	1689
	21st to end	Night	4 4 2 4 4 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 55%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 2 5% 4 2 4 5% 5% 7% 59%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 8% 63%	1800
	21st to end	Night	4 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 65%	2026
October	1st to 10th	Night	5% 5% 3 4 4 2 3 4 5% 7% 57%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 4 4 2 3 4 4 6% 64%	2160
	21st to end	Night	4 7% 3 6% 4 2 4 4 4 6% 55%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 6% 2 4 4 3 3 4 5% 8% 59%	2377
	11th to 20th	Night	1 7% 3 6% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 54%	2489
	21st to end	Night	2 5% 3 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 50%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	1 7% 3 8% 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 45%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	1 7% 5% 8% 7% 4 7% 7% 9% 10% 35%	3271
	21st to end	Night	1 8% 5% 11% 10% 6% 6% 8% 7% 8% 30%	4873

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	42% 10% 18% 22% 7% 2	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 9% 18% 20% 8% 1	1569
	21st to end	Day	45% 10% 19% 17% 8% 2	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	48% 8% 17% 15% 10% 1	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 10% 15% 22% 9% 2	1652
	21st to end	Day	45% 9% 17% 15% 13% 2	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	40% 8% 14% 26% 12%	1867
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 9% 17% 23% 12% 1	1980
	21st to end	Day	42% 10% 15% 22% 9% 2	2250
April	1st to 10th	Day	37% 10% 16% 20% 13% 4	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 10% 16% 17% 14% 1	2134
	21st to end	Day	37% 10% 13% 27% 11% 1	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	42% 11% 13% 20% 13% 1	2304
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 9% 16% 25% 9% 1	2482
	21st to end	Day	36% 10% 15% 20% 16% 3	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	26% 8% 15% 20% 22% 8%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 7% 11% 18% 24% 17%	2520
	21st to end	Day	21% 6% 10% 21% 25% 17%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	27% 9% 12% 19% 22% 12%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 9% 16% 20% 16% 12%	2445
	21st to end	Day	35% 10% 16% 18% 15% 6%	2454
August	1st to 10th	Day	37% 11% 16% 18% 12% 6%	2313
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 8% 13% 22% 21% 9%	2210
	21st to end	Day	31% 8% 14% 19% 19% 9%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	26% 5% 10% 17% 26% 16%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 7% 13% 21% 24% 10%	2160
	21st to end	Day	23% 5% 9% 29% 28% 6%	1930
October	1st to 10th	Day	32% 7% 11% 24% 21% 6%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 5% 12% 31% 23% 4	1800
	21st to end	Day	32% 7% 14% 28% 16% 3	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	25% 7% 16% 26% 24% 1	1681
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 7% 19% 25% 15% 2	1687
	21st to end	Day	32% 6% 16% 32% 13% 2	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	45% 10% 18% 18% 9% 1	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 8% 18% 28% 7%	1924
	21st to end	Day	45% 11% 11% 20% 12% 1	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	41% 11% 17% 22% 8% 1	2647
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 9% 14% 22% 11% 1	2431
	21st to end	Night	45% 8% 17% 20% 8% 2	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	44% 13% 16% 18% 9% 1	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 11% 14% 25% 10% 1	2205
	21st to end	Night	41% 10% 14% 20% 13% 2	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	33% 10% 13% 29% 14%	2089
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 7% 17% 28% 16% 2	1980
	21st to end	Night	34% 12% 17% 28% 9% 1	2106
April	1st to 10th	Night	32% 10% 16% 21% 17% 3	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 10% 15% 23% 16% 1	1777
	21st to end	Night	31% 9% 14% 27% 18%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	35% 11% 15% 24% 14% 1	1649
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 10% 21% 29% 9% 1	1418
	21st to end	Night	27% 11% 16% 25% 17% 4	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 18% 28% 21% 8%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 7% 12% 18% 23% 21%	1440
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 10% 25% 26% 19%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	20% 11% 16% 19% 19% 15%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 7% 21% 23% 16% 14%	1392
	21st to end	Night	24% 12% 22% 19% 16% 7%	1621
August	1st to 10th	Night	29% 9% 17% 22% 15% 8%	1602
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 9% 15% 20% 22% 12%	1689
	21st to end	Night	25% 8% 13% 20% 24% 11%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	23% 7% 11% 17% 25% 17%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 5% 13% 23% 24% 14%	1800
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 9% 28% 30% 8%	2026
October	1st to 10th	Night	25% 8% 11% 28% 20% 8%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 5% 11% 31% 25% 5%	2160
	21st to end	Night	31% 6% 14% 27% 18% 3	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	26% 6% 14% 28% 23% 3	2377
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 7% 17% 30% 15% 2	2489
	21st to end	Night	30% 8% 15% 30% 15% 2	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	38% 10% 18% 22% 11% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 11% 16% 28% 8%	3272
	21st to end	Night	42% 14% 14% 18% 12% 1	4873

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	9% 16% 24% 32% 15% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 17% 35% 33% 9% 1	243
	21st to end	Day	4 17% 41% 31% 8%	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 28% 32% 22% 3 1	240
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 24% 32% 28% 5%	240
	21st to end	Day	15% 24% 33% 22% 6%	198
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 27% 32% 22% 6% 1	307
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 25% 34% 22% 8% 1	420
	21st to end	Day	12% 35% 34% 14% 6%	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 25% 33% 15% 8% 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 37% 27% 15% 5% 1	412
	21st to end	Day	14% 27% 34% 16% 7% 2	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	15% 24% 31% 21% 8% 1	455
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 12% 27% 30% 16% 2	625
	21st to end	Day	9% 14% 29% 28% 17% 3	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	5% 13% 23% 32% 23% 4	630
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 13% 31% 31% 17% 2	630
	21st to end	Day	4 11% 24% 34% 24% 2	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 18% 35% 33% 4	621
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 20% 34% 31% 6%	618
	21st to end	Day	5% 5% 21% 34% 28% 7%	540
August	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 27% 34% 20% 6%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 27% 34% 22% 7%	437
	21st to end	Day	5% 6% 27% 35% 23% 4	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 11% 26% 28% 20% 8%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 11% 30% 30% 17% 6%	450
	21st to end	Day	8% 13% 25% 25% 22% 8%	313
October	1st to 10th	Day	11% 10% 23% 23% 22% 11%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 17% 23% 29% 17% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	12% 19% 28% 24% 13% 3	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	10% 23% 24% 25% 13% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 16% 27% 30% 12% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	6% 14% 32% 31% 15% 1	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	10% 16% 31% 28% 12% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 17% 29% 37% 10%	270
	21st to end	Day	10% 16% 38% 27% 8% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	4 17% 26% 40% 12%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	3 15% 35% 37% 9% 1	802
	21st to end	Night	3 12% 35% 40% 9% 1	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	4 13% 40% 35% 8%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	4 12% 39% 37% 7%	704
	21st to end	Night	4 10% 42% 40% 4	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	4 10% 36% 40% 9%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	4 7% 30% 46% 13%	720
	21st to end	Night	4 8% 36% 42% 10%	720
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 14% 37% 38% 6%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 12% 32% 39% 8%	533
	21st to end	Night	9% 11% 29% 39% 11% 1	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 32% 41% 11% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 3 21% 42% 23% 1	531
	21st to end	Night	7% 7% 25% 38% 22% 1	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 18% 45% 26% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	3 5% 25% 49% 17% 1	540
	21st to end	Night	3 3 18% 46% 30% 1	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 5% 43% 43% 2	525
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 7% 46% 42% 3	522
	21st to end	Night	4 1 6% 41% 45% 3	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 9% 42% 41% 1	537
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 8% 51% 33% 3	534
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 7% 44% 42% 2	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 11% 50% 28% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 12% 49% 30% 2	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 19% 41% 27% 4	630
October	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 25% 42% 20% 2	720
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 8% 28% 42% 16% 1	720
	21st to end	Night	8% 10% 24% 41% 14% 2	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	6% 9% 32% 38% 14% 1	897
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 12% 31% 40% 9% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	4 11% 31% 41% 13%	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	6% 12% 34% 39% 9%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 13% 34% 38% 9%	950
	21st to end	Night	6% 16% 34% 35% 8% 1	1045

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