Mahogany Flat Campground
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Mahogany Flat Campground clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-14.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 6% 73%	75005
	Night	2 2 1 2 3 2 3 3 4 6% 71%	74772
Transparency	Day	15% 3 3 15% 28% 37%	74720
	Night	16% 3 4 16% 28% 34%	74578
Seeing	Day	8% 16% 36% 30% 9% 2	14141
	Night	5% 10% 25% 35% 22% 4	23987

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 3 4 2 4 4 5% 7% 64%	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 1 3 3 2 3 4 6% 8% 64%	1471
	21st to end	Day	3 4 2 5% 4 3 4 4 4 7% 62%	1948
February	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 1 3 3 2 2 3 4 6% 70%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 1 3 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 65%	1750
	21st to end	Day	4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 7% 65%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 2 4 3 2 3 5% 6% 6% 64%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 2 4 3 2 4 4 7% 10% 58%	1876
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 8% 67%	2308
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 2 3 4 2 4 4 5% 7% 66%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 3 2 3 3 3 6% 74%	2129
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 2 3 1 3 4 4 5% 74%	2180
May	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 1 2 4 4 6% 74%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 7% 73%	2301
	21st to end	Day	1 4 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 5% 72%	2530
June	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 3 1 2 4 4 5% 77%	2398
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 84%	2520
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 85%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 78%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 2 3 2 4 3 4 5% 73%	2515
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 2 3 2 4 4 5% 7% 68%	2545
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 2 1 2 3 4 4 79%	2195
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 83%	2122
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 4 83%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 4 81%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 89%	1986
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 86%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 4 78%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 2 4 81%	1914
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 5% 80%	1828
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 4 3 6% 77%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 1 3 3 4 5% 77%	1710
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 2 3 1 3 4 5% 6% 71%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 2 3 3 3 5% 4 4 6% 65%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 2 5% 4 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 53%	2169
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 5% 6% 7% 53%	2881
January	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 1 4 4 3 3 3 5% 8% 62%	2646
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 3 3 2 3 3 5% 9% 66%	2561
	21st to end	Night	4 4 2 4 4 2 3 4 5% 6% 62%	2403
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 3 3 3 1 3 4 5% 6% 66%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 2 3 4 2 4 4 4 7% 67%	2098
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 3 3 2 2 4 5% 6% 67%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 1 3 4 2 4 5% 7% 8% 62%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 1 4 3 2 4 5% 6% 8% 62%	2083
	21st to end	Night	2 5% 2 3 3 2 3 4 3 6% 67%	2045
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 3 2 4 4 4 6% 69%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 4 3 2 3 3 5% 4 72%	1779
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 5% 75%	1778
May	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 2 3 2 2 3 5% 5% 74%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 1 2 1 3 2 3 5% 78%	1594
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 76%	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 5% 79%	1557
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 83%	1440
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 83%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 4 83%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 5% 74%	1443
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 2 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 69%	1773
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 78%	1740
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 5% 82%	1780
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 84%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 80%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 85%	1973
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 87%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 2 1 2 3 3 5% 79%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 4 81%	2042
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 5% 79%	2526
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 2 2 1 2 2 4 6% 77%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 6% 74%	2470
	21st to end	Night	3 2 1 3 3 1 3 3 4 6% 72%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 2 3 4 2 3 4 5% 6% 65%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	3 5% 2 4 3 2 4 5% 6% 11% 55%	3041
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 3 6% 4 5% 7% 6% 8% 53%	4773

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	20% 3 7% 31% 31% 7%	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 3 7% 29% 27% 14%	1471
	21st to end	Day	25% 3 5% 25% 30% 13%	1948
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 2 6% 19% 36% 19%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 3 4 19% 34% 21%	1760
	21st to end	Day	21% 4 7% 20% 30% 18%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	19% 4 5% 22% 34% 16%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 4 5% 20% 30% 21%	1876
	21st to end	Day	17% 4 6% 26% 30% 17%	2308
April	1st to 10th	Day	19% 3 3 21% 31% 23%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 2 3 15% 34% 30%	2132
	21st to end	Day	13% 3 3 19% 37% 25%	2180
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 2 2 16% 34% 33%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 2 2 13% 36% 34%	2304
	21st to end	Day	16% 4 2 12% 38% 29%	2530
June	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 2 10% 25% 49%	2398
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 2 1 7% 21% 62%	2520
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 1 3 14% 72%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	12% 2 1 5% 13% 68%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 2 8% 18% 54%	2440
	21st to end	Day	17% 3 3 11% 21% 44%	2404
August	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 2 7% 15% 64%	2180
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 5% 21% 63%	2122
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 5% 21% 63%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 1 5% 20% 62%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 1 7% 26% 59%	1986
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 1 8% 32% 52%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	12% 3 2 11% 29% 43%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 2 2 8% 33% 44%	1914
	21st to end	Day	10% 2 2 13% 35% 39%	1828
November	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 3 15% 43% 26%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 2 5% 21% 36% 25%	1710
	21st to end	Day	15% 3 4 20% 32% 26%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	20% 4 8% 24% 27% 17%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 5% 11% 20% 27% 10%	2168
	21st to end	Day	31% 4 9% 25% 23% 8%	2881
January	1st to 10th	Night	22% 3 6% 28% 32% 9%	2646
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 2 6% 27% 32% 15%	2561
	21st to end	Night	24% 3 6% 21% 31% 14%	2403
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 2 7% 20% 31% 20%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 3 2 21% 30% 26%	2099
	21st to end	Night	19% 3 4 21% 34% 19%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 4 4 22% 33% 19%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 3 4 19% 33% 21%	2083
	21st to end	Night	19% 4 3 24% 34% 16%	2045
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 3 4 20% 34% 22%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 3 2 16% 34% 28%	1779
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 2 16% 40% 28%	1778
May	1st to 10th	Night	14% 2 2 16% 33% 33%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 3 1 14% 35% 36%	1595
	21st to end	Night	10% 4 2 13% 38% 33%	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 1 1 11% 22% 54%	1557
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 1 8% 18% 63%	1440
	21st to end	Night	8% 1 4 13% 74%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 1 4 11% 75%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 3 2 7% 17% 58%	1395
	21st to end	Night	15% 3 3 11% 21% 47%	1674
August	1st to 10th	Night	12% 2 1 6% 14% 64%	1731
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 1 5% 20% 64%	1780
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 4 18% 67%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 1 4 18% 63%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 1 6% 22% 62%	1973
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 6% 29% 58%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 2 11% 27% 48%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 2 1 8% 33% 45%	2042
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 3 9% 33% 44%	2526
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 2 16% 40% 29%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 3 4 17% 32% 31%	2470
	21st to end	Night	16% 2 3 17% 32% 30%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 4 7% 19% 29% 20%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 5% 10% 23% 27% 11%	3041
	21st to end	Night	28% 4 10% 25% 25% 9%	4773

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	12% 22% 44% 18% 3 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 20% 38% 21% 6% 1	170
	21st to end	Day	11% 18% 33% 28% 10% 1	430
February	1st to 10th	Day	9% 22% 37% 22% 9% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 25% 37% 20% 3	415
	21st to end	Day	16% 27% 34% 18% 5%	346
March	1st to 10th	Day	14% 29% 32% 20% 5%	420
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 26% 32% 19% 6%	420
	21st to end	Day	15% 29% 36% 16% 3	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 24% 36% 20% 6% 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 28% 34% 16% 8% 1	412
	21st to end	Day	10% 25% 36% 21% 5% 3	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	13% 21% 38% 20% 6% 2	423
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 18% 41% 27% 5% 2	448
	21st to end	Day	8% 17% 36% 32% 6% 2	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 11% 40% 32% 10% 2	450
	11th to 20th	Day	4 12% 38% 32% 11% 3	450
	21st to end	Day	4 11% 36% 38% 9% 2	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 37% 42% 10% 4	446
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 32% 46% 11% 6%	444
	21st to end	Day	3 1 32% 44% 13% 5%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 9% 38% 34% 10% 5%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 35% 42% 10% 6%	437
	21st to end	Day	2 4 39% 38% 12% 4	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	1 7% 37% 40% 12% 4	450
	11th to 20th	Day	4 11% 39% 35% 9% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	6% 13% 32% 37% 10% 2	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	7% 16% 35% 33% 8% 2	450
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 12% 34% 34% 13% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	7% 12% 32% 33% 13% 3	343
November	1st to 10th	Day	6% 16% 31% 32% 15% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 11% 39% 27% 13% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	6% 14% 37% 30% 13%	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	8% 18% 38% 24% 11%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 15% 36% 28% 11% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	15% 22% 36% 18% 7% 2	221
January	1st to 10th	Night	10% 9% 24% 31% 21% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 8% 31% 35% 17% 3	736
	21st to end	Night	9% 14% 25% 31% 18% 3	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	5% 14% 24% 37% 17% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 11% 30% 33% 15% 4	704
	21st to end	Night	10% 15% 31% 29% 14% 2	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	7% 14% 33% 28% 15% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 16% 25% 27% 19% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	8% 16% 33% 28% 13% 2	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 14% 30% 33% 15% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 17% 33% 27% 14% 4	711
	21st to end	Night	5% 13% 31% 29% 18% 4	698
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 13% 35% 32% 14% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	4 13% 22% 38% 21% 2	531
	21st to end	Night	4 12% 28% 34% 21% 2	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 7% 27% 39% 21% 3	477
	11th to 20th	Night	3 7% 26% 41% 19% 3	360
	21st to end	Night	2 4 25% 38% 27% 4	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 23% 42% 25% 5%	350
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 21% 43% 30% 2	351
	21st to end	Night	3 1 22% 42% 30% 2	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 28% 42% 22% 3	666
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 16% 47% 31% 2	712
	21st to end	Night	2 1 20% 41% 31% 5%	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 18% 35% 34% 6%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	1 7% 21% 40% 25% 6%	720
	21st to end	Night	1 7% 19% 35% 29% 8%	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 9% 24% 37% 22% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	4 6% 19% 35% 27% 8%	720
	21st to end	Night	4 11% 20% 31% 26% 9%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	3 9% 22% 36% 24% 7%	740
	11th to 20th	Night	4 7% 23% 35% 26% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 12% 25% 31% 23% 4	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	6% 10% 26% 33% 21% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 13% 24% 34% 18% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	8% 14% 24% 33% 18% 3	836

Page generated at 2024-01-11 10:31:59. Version ac07

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