The Mad Professor's Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the The Mad Professor's Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-13.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	2 3 1 3 4 3 4 5% 6% 9% 59%	74729
	Night	2 3 1 3 3 2 4 4 5% 8% 64%	75034
Transparency	Day	20% 8% 14% 25% 25% 9%	74445
	Night	18% 6% 14% 26% 27% 9%	74840
Seeing	Day	5% 11% 26% 31% 20% 7%	14190
	Night	3 5% 29% 42% 19% 2	24404

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 3 5% 2 4 4 6% 11% 60%	1559
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 2 3 3 2 4 4 7% 8% 65%	1642
	21st to end	Day	3 2 4 5% 2 4 4 6% 9% 61%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 4 4 3 4 4 6% 7% 64%	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 3 3 2 3 5% 5% 8% 65%	1716
	21st to end	Day	3 2 4 4 3 4 5% 5% 8% 62%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 2 3 4 2 4 4 5% 9% 64%	1867
	11th to 20th	Day	3 5% 2 3 5% 3 5% 4 5% 8% 58%	1980
	21st to end	Day	2 3 2 4 4 3 4 5% 5% 9% 58%	2255
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 4 1 3 3 2 4 3 6% 8% 64%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	3 5% 2 3 3 3 4 5% 7% 8% 58%	2131
	21st to end	Day	3 4 1 4 5% 3 4 5% 6% 9% 55%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 2 3 4 3 4 5% 6% 9% 58%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 2 4 5% 3 5% 6% 7% 8% 51%	2410
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 3 4 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 59%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 3 2 5% 6% 7% 10% 58%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 3 3 2 4 5% 6% 8% 67%	2520
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 3 4 3 6% 7% 8% 8% 55%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 3 5% 4 7% 8% 9% 9% 48%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 1 3 5% 3 7% 8% 9% 11% 46%	2455
	21st to end	Day	4 4 2 6% 7% 5% 7% 9% 10% 13% 35%	2545
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 5% 2 5% 6% 4 6% 8% 9% 10% 41%	2328
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 2 4 6% 4 6% 6% 8% 9% 49%	2126
	21st to end	Day	3 4 1 4 5% 4 5% 6% 7% 11% 50%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 5% 5% 3 5% 4 7% 9% 54%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 1 4 3 3 4 5% 6% 8% 60%	2160
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 3 3 2 3 4 4 6% 68%	1950
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 3 3 2 3 4 6% 8% 63%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 6% 76%	1800
	21st to end	Day	3 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 3 6% 72%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 3 7% 77%	1732
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 7% 78%	1710
	21st to end	Day	1 3 1 4 2 1 3 3 4 7% 69%	1641
December	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 3 3 2 2 4 5% 7% 69%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 1 2 3 2 4 6% 8% 11% 59%	1926
	21st to end	Day	1 3 2 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 9% 59%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 3 2 2 2 3 5% 8% 71%	2623
	11th to 20th	Night	2 5% 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 6% 71%	2379
	21st to end	Night	2 2 4 3 2 3 4 5% 8% 67%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	1 4 2 3 4 2 2 3 4 7% 69%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 1 4 4 2 4 4 4 7% 66%	2130
	21st to end	Night	4 2 4 2 1 4 3 5% 6% 69%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 4 1 2 2 2 3 3 5% 7% 69%	2088
	11th to 20th	Night	2 5% 2 4 4 2 3 3 5% 7% 62%	1980
	21st to end	Night	2 4 2 2 3 2 4 3 6% 8% 64%	2099
April	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 1 3 3 2 3 4 5% 6% 68%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 62%	1777
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 1 3 3 2 4 3 4 6% 63%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 1 4 4 3 4 4 4 7% 61%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 2 3 4 3 5% 4 7% 7% 55%	1481
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 1 3 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 61%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 4 2 3 5% 5% 8% 66%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 3 2 3 4 4 7% 73%	1440
	21st to end	Night	3 2 2 3 4 3 4 5% 6% 9% 59%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 2 4 6% 4 6% 7% 9% 11% 45%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 1 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 7% 12% 49%	1501
	21st to end	Night	4 4 2 5% 6% 4 7% 7% 10% 12% 39%	1773
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 2 4 5% 3 6% 6% 9% 10% 48%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 1 5% 5% 3 6% 7% 9% 10% 45%	1773
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 8% 10% 47%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 2 5% 4 3 5% 6% 7% 10% 51%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 1 2 3 2 4 4 5% 8% 62%	1800
	21st to end	Night	4 3 1 3 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 67%	2005
October	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 2 3 2 3 4 4 8% 67%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 4 5% 79%	2160
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 3 3 1 2 2 4 5% 73%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 7% 77%	2326
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 5% 79%	2470
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 2 3 1 3 3 4 6% 70%	2536
December	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 3 2 2 3 3 5% 7% 72%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 2 3 4 2 3 4 6% 10% 61%	3271
	21st to end	Night	1 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 6% 8% 60%	4873

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	14% 6% 18% 38% 22% 3	1560
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 4 16% 34% 27% 3	1642
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 15% 33% 22% 6%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 17% 31% 22% 7%	1620
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 7% 13% 30% 28% 7%	1726
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 11% 23% 29% 13%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 13% 25% 32% 8%	1867
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 6% 12% 28% 27% 5%	1980
	21st to end	Day	21% 7% 13% 30% 24% 6%	2255
April	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 12% 27% 26% 12%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 7% 11% 24% 27% 10%	2134
	21st to end	Day	23% 7% 14% 25% 25% 6%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	21% 8% 12% 26% 27% 7%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 9% 16% 23% 19% 6%	2414
	21st to end	Day	20% 9% 13% 17% 27% 14%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	18% 8% 14% 22% 23% 15%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 10% 18% 26% 27%	2520
	21st to end	Day	21% 8% 13% 20% 23% 16%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	27% 12% 14% 16% 18% 13%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 14% 20% 24% 11% 7%	2380
	21st to end	Day	35% 18% 25% 16% 6% 1	2404
August	1st to 10th	Day	33% 16% 16% 15% 12% 7%	2313
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 12% 15% 20% 16% 8%	2126
	21st to end	Day	25% 13% 17% 20% 21% 5%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	25% 10% 13% 20% 22% 10%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 8% 12% 18% 28% 12%	2160
	21st to end	Day	16% 6% 10% 22% 37% 8%	1950
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 9% 10% 27% 26% 11%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 7% 24% 41% 14%	1800
	21st to end	Day	15% 4 8% 30% 35% 7%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	8% 4 10% 30% 38% 10%	1732
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 11% 38% 33% 6%	1710
	21st to end	Day	15% 5% 9% 29% 33% 9%	1641
December	1st to 10th	Day	14% 4 18% 35% 21% 8%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 7% 20% 30% 23% 4	1924
	21st to end	Day	16% 4 18% 24% 27% 11%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	12% 3 17% 35% 29% 4	2623
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 3 13% 32% 32% 4	2379
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 14% 35% 26% 5%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 15% 33% 24% 9%	2340
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 4 12% 32% 27% 8%	2130
	21st to end	Night	15% 3 11% 23% 36% 11%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	14% 4 12% 28% 33% 9%	2088
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 4 11% 31% 27% 9%	1980
	21st to end	Night	18% 6% 11% 29% 30% 6%	2099
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 13% 29% 26% 13%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 5% 12% 24% 29% 11%	1777
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 13% 26% 27% 8%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	22% 5% 11% 27% 25% 11%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 8% 15% 22% 22% 7%	1482
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 13% 20% 25% 16%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 15% 21% 24% 18%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 8% 19% 29% 28%	1440
	21st to end	Night	21% 8% 14% 18% 21% 18%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	30% 13% 16% 12% 14% 14%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 11% 22% 22% 13% 8%	1453
	21st to end	Night	29% 19% 29% 17% 5% 1	1674
August	1st to 10th	Night	24% 18% 23% 15% 11% 10%	1602
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 12% 20% 19% 12% 7%	1773
	21st to end	Night	27% 12% 19% 20% 17% 5%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	26% 9% 16% 19% 20% 10%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 12% 19% 27% 15%	1800
	21st to end	Night	17% 6% 8% 22% 36% 10%	2005
October	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 13% 22% 28% 14%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 3 8% 19% 43% 16%	2160
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 7% 29% 35% 11%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	8% 3 9% 32% 38% 10%	2326
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 3 9% 36% 34% 10%	2470
	21st to end	Night	15% 4 9% 28% 34% 9%	2536
December	1st to 10th	Night	12% 4 17% 35% 26% 6%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 4 17% 32% 24% 3	3272
	21st to end	Night	19% 5% 17% 29% 22% 8%	4873

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	4 6% 31% 40% 17% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	4 10% 33% 40% 12% 1	248
	21st to end	Day	2 2 38% 44% 14% 1	264
February	1st to 10th	Day	1 13% 37% 38% 9% 1	240
	11th to 20th	Day	4 14% 40% 30% 11%	240
	21st to end	Day	10% 18% 37% 31% 4 1	198
March	1st to 10th	Day	7% 20% 36% 29% 8%	307
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 20% 33% 28% 9% 2	420
	21st to end	Day	12% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	9% 26% 31% 22% 10% 2	420
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 31% 31% 19% 7% 1	412
	21st to end	Day	10% 25% 35% 21% 9%	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	7% 23% 35% 24% 9% 2	423
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 12% 26% 34% 16% 5%	579
	21st to end	Day	6% 12% 27% 34% 17% 5%	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 25% 31% 27% 6%	630
	11th to 20th	Day	2 8% 29% 33% 21% 7%	630
	21st to end	Day	3 8% 22% 32% 28% 8%	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 15% 28% 37% 13%	621
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 10% 30% 38% 16%	553
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 14% 27% 33% 19%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 15% 29% 32% 15%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 2 19% 32% 28% 14%	437
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 17% 32% 28% 15%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 18% 30% 29% 14%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	3 5% 26% 31% 26% 8%	450
	21st to end	Day	4 8% 18% 27% 28% 15%	294
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 12% 20% 25% 24% 15%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	3 11% 21% 29% 27% 9%	270
	21st to end	Day	8% 10% 23% 30% 23% 5%	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	2 12% 25% 36% 22% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	2 7% 26% 39% 22% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	4 7% 27% 40% 17% 4	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	4 5% 33% 43% 11% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	2 6% 37% 36% 16% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	6% 7% 37% 38% 10% 1	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 32% 47% 14% 2	926
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 35% 43% 14% 1	732
	21st to end	Night	1 2 35% 48% 12% 1	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 42% 43% 9% 1	720
	11th to 20th	Night	2 5% 43% 41% 9%	704
	21st to end	Night	2 8% 48% 38% 4	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	3 9% 43% 36% 9%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 34% 45% 12% 1	720
	21st to end	Night	4 9% 45% 36% 6%	713
April	1st to 10th	Night	3 10% 47% 35% 5%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 12% 40% 34% 8%	533
	21st to end	Night	6% 9% 43% 35% 7% 1	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 36% 42% 11% 1	540
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 27% 44% 15% 2	531
	21st to end	Night	5% 7% 30% 39% 18% 1	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 23% 47% 25% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 26% 51% 17% 1	540
	21st to end	Night	3 2 18% 45% 31% 2	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 2 11% 40% 39% 4	525
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 6% 36% 46% 7%	522
	21st to end	Night	4 1 7% 25% 54% 8%	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 10% 29% 49% 6%	537
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 10% 41% 38% 5%	534
	21st to end	Night	4 1 10% 42% 38% 5%	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 12% 45% 31% 5%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 15% 49% 27% 3	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 20% 43% 28% 2	591
October	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 27% 43% 22% 2	720
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 32% 42% 19% 3	720
	21st to end	Night	4 5% 28% 40% 20% 3	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 5% 27% 48% 17% 1	846
	11th to 20th	Night	1 6% 31% 44% 17% 2	950
	21st to end	Night	4 6% 31% 41% 17% 1	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 35% 46% 12% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 33% 44% 14%	950
	21st to end	Night	3 8% 34% 45% 11%	1045

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