Mahoning Valley Cortese Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Mahoning Valley Cortese Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2026-06-01.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.
Observation TypeMinimum conditions for hour to be usableOut of hours
Clear of CloudsTransparencySeeingSky Brightness
Planetary:50%(no limit)Average(no limit)Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:70%Average(no limit)5.9Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:70%Below AveragePoor(no limit)Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

PlanetaryData
Pts
Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Both Planetary and Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Either Planetary or Deep SkyData
Pts
CCD ImagingData
Pts
Night
31%
26186
11%
126987
9%
25631
38%
25631
11%
91115

By Month

MonthDays of MonthPlanetaryData
Pts
Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Both Planetary and Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Either Planetary or Deep SkyData
Pts
CCD ImagingData
Pts
January1st to 10thNight
9%
830
4%
7495
2%
776
17%
776
2%
6478
January11th to 20thNight
12%
838
3%
7396
4%
784
17%
784
2%
6367
January21st to endNight
13%
915
6%
7788
4%
857
20%
857
3%
6297
February1st to 10thNight
16%
840
9%
2730
5%
840
22%
840
9%
2170
February11th to 20thNight
13%
822
9%
2642
4%
820
19%
820
9%
2111
February21st to endNight
13%
692
12%
2076
2%
692
23%
692
11%
1621
March1st to 10thNight
19%
834
13%
4899
6%
805
27%
805
7%
3408
March11th to 20thNight
23%
833
11%
4666
8%
800
31%
800
9%
2986
March21st to endNight
21%
915
11%
5184
8%
880
28%
880
8%
3611
April1st to 10thNight
22%
840
12%
2239
5%
840
27%
840
17%
1689
April11th to 20thNight
25%
719
16%
1963
6%
719
32%
719
21%
1392
April21st to endNight
30%
630
18%
1890
7%
630
38%
630
22%
1268
May1st to 10thNight
31%
619
9%
3887
7%
599
37%
599
8%
2851
May11th to 20thNight
38%
600
11%
3713
11%
581
45%
581
11%
2391
May21st to endNight
48%
552
9%
4026
12%
533
56%
533
13%
2333
June1st to 10thNight
42%
400
15%
1600
15%
400
51%
400
22%
964
June11th to 20thNight
49%
400
17%
1600
17%
400
58%
400
22%
937
June21st to endNight
47%
400
16%
1600
16%
400
55%
400
23%
925
July1st to 10thNight
61%
498
13%
3232
17%
477
65%
477
14%
1926
July11th to 20thNight
58%
562
10%
3566
16%
543
64%
543
16%
2118
July21st to endNight
59%
624
12%
3536
14%
579
62%
579
16%
2046
August1st to 10thNight
62%
586
17%
2781
15%
575
66%
575
19%
1773
August11th to 20thNight
60%
584
17%
2630
15%
573
64%
573
19%
1687
August21st to endNight
57%
690
16%
3014
14%
689
61%
689
22%
1825
September1st to 10thNight
54%
800
23%
2057
14%
800
57%
800
35%
1306
September11th to 20thNight
64%
800
26%
2200
19%
800
67%
800
39%
1283
September21st to endNight
43%
800
20%
2200
15%
800
48%
800
25%
1492
October1st to 10thNight
44%
800
15%
2838
16%
780
49%
780
21%
1916
October11th to 20thNight
32%
800
12%
3096
10%
780
40%
780
15%
2209
October21st to endNight
26%
880
16%
3127
11%
858
36%
858
15%
2178
November1st to 10thNight
33%
820
20%
2631
14%
820
43%
820
22%
1678
November11th to 20thNight
20%
840
14%
2817
8%
840
29%
840
13%
2047
November21st to endNight
17%
840
12%
2940
6%
840
25%
840
11%
2241
December1st to 10thNight
15%
835
7%
4691
4%
820
20%
820
5%
3663
December11th to 20thNight
14%
835
5%
5276
4%
818
22%
818
4%
4171
December21st to endNight
12%
913
5%
6961
2%
883
19%
883
3%
5757

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

Occurrence of each ForecastData
Points
Cloud CoverDay
15%11%410%5%5%5%45%7%29%
131983
Night
16%12%5%10%5%4435%6%29%
131151
TransparencyDay
53%6%11%20%10%1
135615
Night
54%5%11%19%11%1
135589
SeeingDay
23%16%28%19%11%4
16586
Night
22%13%28%25%11%1
26405

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings:
Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
MonthDays in MonthOccurrence of each ForecastData
Points
January1st to 10thDay
17%21%7%23%5%4323411%
5258
11th to 20thDay
11%21%9%19%9%6%423311%
5280
21st to endDay
18%19%7%13%9%6%5%34413%
5780
February1st to 10thDay
16%19%5%12%7%4424421%
1890
11th to 20thDay
15%16%7%14%8%5%4345%20%
1864
21st to endDay
17%18%412%44445%6%22%
1730
March1st to 10thDay
18%12%5%12%5%34346%28%
4994
11th to 20thDay
12%10%5%10%5%5%4346%35%
5090
21st to endDay
19%12%5%10%5%44346%29%
5586
April1st to 10thDay
16%13%47%5%5%445%7%30%
2380
11th to 20thDay
17%11%37%5%5%5%35%6%32%
2623
21st to endDay
20%10%37%5%44346%34%
2730
May1st to 10thDay
20%9%49%5%5%5%45%6%28%
5992
11th to 20thDay
18%9%38%5%45%45%8%30%
5991
21st to endDay
18%7%26%5%5%5%46%7%34%
6846
June1st to 10thDay
14%6%37%5%6%5%5%6%7%36%
2800
11th to 20thDay
13%7%38%6%5%436%8%37%
2800
21st to endDay
12%6%26%45%6%5%7%9%39%
2800
July1st to 10thDay
7%6%36%5%5%5%5%7%10%42%
6048
11th to 20thDay
9%6%37%6%6%5%5%8%10%35%
5900
21st to endDay
10%6%27%5%5%5%47%8%40%
6424
August1st to 10thDay
14%7%37%5%5%6%5%7%9%32%
4234
11th to 20thDay
11%7%37%5%5%7%5%7%10%33%
4174
21st to endDay
8%5%37%6%6%6%46%10%39%
4550
September1st to 10thDay
13%6%36%44435%7%43%
2340
11th to 20thDay
10%5%26%5%4437%8%44%
2200
21st to endDay
19%9%37%435%446%37%
2200
October1st to 10thDay
14%6%37%5%45%46%7%40%
2040
11th to 20thDay
21%10%37%5%4435%6%33%
2000
21st to endDay
22%10%48%45%5%36%6%28%
2200
November1st to 10thDay
12%9%38%5%45%45%7%37%
1886
11th to 20thDay
18%16%47%6%4435%5%27%
1801
21st to endDay
18%17%6%10%6%45%36%5%19%
1680
December1st to 10thDay
19%17%8%12%6%5%5%44416%
2680
11th to 20thDay
23%20%6%10%6%3334417%
3070
21st to endDay
26%21%6%14%6%5%32339%
4122
January1st to 10thNight
15%19%8%23%5%4434411%
7635
11th to 20thNight
11%20%10%18%9%6%6%33412%
7680
21st to endNight
18%17%7%12%6%5%5%345%18%
8401
February1st to 10thNight
19%16%5%12%7%5%435%5%21%
2730
11th to 20thNight
16%14%7%13%7%6%4345%20%
2640
21st to endNight
20%14%412%5%44345%24%
2076
March1st to 10thNight
21%14%49%5%43345%29%
5078
11th to 20thNight
14%11%48%44445%6%37%
5090
21st to endNight
18%12%49%5%45%35%5%32%
5588
April1st to 10thNight
18%13%48%445%36%5%29%
2239
11th to 20thNight
15%10%37%445%45%7%33%
1963
21st to endNight
15%9%27%5%5%5%46%8%36%
1890
May1st to 10thNight
25%10%37%5%45%35%5%27%
4123
11th to 20thNight
16%9%36%44435%7%37%
4122
21st to endNight
17%6%26%44446%9%38%
4249
June1st to 10thNight
9%6%28%6%45%5%7%7%41%
1600
11th to 20thNight
10%6%28%5%4446%9%42%
1600
21st to endNight
10%6%26%45%5%47%9%42%
1600
July1st to 10thNight
9%6%37%445%46%8%43%
3892
11th to 20thNight
10%5%26%5%5%5%47%10%41%
4057
21st to endNight
8%5%26%44446%8%48%
4427
August1st to 10thNight
11%9%47%5%4436%7%39%
2915
11th to 20thNight
13%7%37%45%435%6%43%
2875
21st to endNight
8%5%26%5%5%6%5%6%8%44%
3313
September1st to 10thNight
12%6%25%43445%7%48%
2057
11th to 20thNight
10%5%25%44445%8%52%
2200
21st to endNight
16%7%36%5%5%435%6%39%
2200
October1st to 10thNight
15%5%26%43445%7%45%
2360
11th to 20thNight
18%7%27%5%45%45%7%37%
2400
21st to endNight
22%9%37%44345%6%33%
2640
November1st to 10thNight
13%9%36%44445%8%39%
2631
11th to 20thNight
17%15%48%5%5%4346%28%
2817
21st to endNight
20%18%48%5%5%435%5%24%
2940
December1st to 10thNight
16%19%8%11%6%5%4345%17%
4720
11th to 20thNight
19%21%8%11%5%4324419%
5345
21st to endNight
25%19%6%12%5%44345%13%
7058

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings:
Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
MonthDays in MonthOccurrence of each ForecastData
Points
January1st to 10thDay
78%48%7%3
5259
11th to 20thDay
79%36%7%4
5280
21st to endDay
75%46%11%3
5780
February1st to 10thDay
67%49%14%7%
1890
11th to 20thDay
68%47%14%7%
1873
21st to endDay
62%5%10%16%6%2
1730
March1st to 10thDay
57%411%20%7%
4994
11th to 20thDay
50%6%13%23%7%2
5090
21st to endDay
56%5%8%18%12%1
5586
April1st to 10thDay
53%412%17%12%1
2380
11th to 20thDay
52%5%11%18%12%2
2623
21st to endDay
51%5%10%21%11%2
2730
May1st to 10thDay
54%6%9%18%9%4
6027
11th to 20thDay
50%7%10%21%10%1
5995
21st to endDay
46%6%11%20%13%3
6861
June1st to 10thDay
45%6%11%25%12%1
2800
11th to 20thDay
44%5%14%21%14%1
2800
21st to endDay
39%7%14%24%15%2
2800
July1st to 10thDay
36%6%12%27%16%2
5983
11th to 20thDay
39%7%14%24%15%1
5831
21st to endDay
39%7%11%22%20%1
6240
August1st to 10thDay
45%7%15%22%11%
4221
11th to 20thDay
41%7%12%29%9%1
4213
21st to endDay
37%8%13%29%11%2
4550
September1st to 10thDay
39%5%12%24%16%3
2340
11th to 20thDay
36%6%14%26%16%1
2200
21st to endDay
47%5%10%23%13%1
2200
October1st to 10thDay
33%6%13%28%19%1
3326
11th to 20thDay
47%6%9%21%13%4
3240
21st to endDay
42%5%13%25%14%1
3538
November1st to 10thDay
46%5%12%22%14%1
1886
11th to 20thDay
57%5%10%18%7%3
1801
21st to endDay
65%7%9%14%6%
1680
December1st to 10thDay
69%6%11%11%2
2680
11th to 20thDay
72%48%13%3
3066
21st to endDay
81%38%7%2
4122
January1st to 10thNight
77%5%7%8%3
7636
11th to 20thNight
76%5%8%9%3
7680
21st to endNight
69%39%13%6%
8401
February1st to 10thNight
65%5%9%15%5%
2730
11th to 20thNight
66%5%8%16%5%
2642
21st to endNight
63%48%15%9%1
2076
March1st to 10thNight
57%412%19%9%
5078
11th to 20thNight
45%7%15%23%10%1
5090
21st to endNight
52%6%9%19%14%1
5588
April1st to 10thNight
54%7%10%17%12%2
2239
11th to 20thNight
49%5%13%18%13%2
1963
21st to endNight
45%6%11%21%14%3
1890
May1st to 10thNight
57%5%9%15%9%5%
4150
11th to 20thNight
44%7%10%24%13%2
4123
21st to endNight
41%6%13%24%14%2
4256
June1st to 10thNight
40%7%10%25%16%3
1600
11th to 20thNight
38%6%14%23%16%3
1600
21st to endNight
36%8%13%24%18%1
1600
July1st to 10thNight
37%6%12%25%19%2
3849
11th to 20thNight
36%8%14%27%14%1
4006
21st to endNight
33%6%12%20%26%1
4297
August1st to 10thNight
43%6%12%24%14%1
2904
11th to 20thNight
40%6%11%29%12%1
2902
21st to endNight
35%8%13%28%14%2
3313
September1st to 10thNight
35%5%11%28%17%4
2057
11th to 20thNight
29%6%14%28%21%2
2200
21st to endNight
44%5%11%21%18%1
2200
October1st to 10thNight
33%5%9%28%23%1
3854
11th to 20thNight
41%6%11%23%16%3
3899
21st to endNight
38%412%29%16%1
4252
November1st to 10thNight
42%6%11%24%14%3
2631
11th to 20thNight
57%410%18%8%3
2817
21st to endNight
62%5%11%17%5%1
2940
December1st to 10thNight
67%5%12%11%4
4720
11th to 20thNight
69%410%14%2
5348
21st to endNight
74%5%10%10%1
7058

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings:
Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
MonthDays in MonthOccurrence of each ForecastData
Points
January1st to 10thDay
32%27%29%8%3
330
11th to 20thDay
35%28%27%7%2
330
21st to endDay
33%31%26%9%2
363
February1st to 10thDay
30%25%34%8%2
330
11th to 20thDay
33%31%29%5%1
330
21st to endDay
30%33%31%6%
273
March1st to 10thDay
26%25%34%11%5%
513
11th to 20thDay
29%22%32%11%5%1
540
21st to endDay
33%21%28%14%3
594
April1st to 10thDay
29%22%28%14%6%1
540
11th to 20thDay
30%18%27%16%8%2
532
21st to endDay
27%18%31%18%5%2
540
May1st to 10thDay
30%18%28%16%5%3
543
11th to 20thDay
25%13%31%20%8%4
567
21st to endDay
19%12%28%22%15%5%
617
June1st to 10thDay
18%11%35%23%11%2
530
11th to 20thDay
19%11%26%27%13%4
530
21st to endDay
16%8%32%25%15%4
530
July1st to 10thDay
11%6%23%29%21%9%
525
11th to 20thDay
14%6%27%28%17%8%
524
21st to endDay
12%6%27%30%17%9%
576
August1st to 10thDay
12%8%20%31%20%10%
526
11th to 20thDay
15%7%25%25%18%9%
519
21st to endDay
10%7%23%29%22%8%
583
September1st to 10thDay
13%11%21%25%20%10%
530
11th to 20thDay
11%419%31%23%13%
530
21st to endDay
25%10%25%21%14%6%
530
October1st to 10thDay
14%11%28%22%20%4
530
11th to 20thDay
25%17%32%17%7%2
530
21st to endDay
28%19%28%19%5%
583
November1st to 10thDay
21%23%29%15%9%2
364
11th to 20thDay
34%18%29%14%5%
283
21st to endDay
33%18%38%10%1
220
December1st to 10thDay
31%25%30%11%21
220
11th to 20thDay
30%27%31%10%2
220
21st to endDay
35%23%30%10%2
261
January1st to 10thNight
27%22%36%12%3
840
11th to 20thNight
30%23%30%14%3
840
21st to endNight
26%24%30%18%3
924
February1st to 10thNight
29%19%29%21%2
840
11th to 20thNight
26%20%35%16%2
823
21st to endNight
29%18%35%15%3
692
March1st to 10thNight
25%17%33%20%4
840
11th to 20thNight
26%18%30%21%6%
840
21st to endNight
25%16%33%21%5%1
924
April1st to 10thNight
26%15%32%21%5%
840
11th to 20thNight
22%14%35%20%8%1
719
21st to endNight
18%11%36%28%7%
630
May1st to 10thNight
22%10%27%33%8%
630
11th to 20thNight
18%8%27%33%12%1
621
21st to endNight
14%427%32%20%2
567
June1st to 10thNight
10%435%38%13%1
400
11th to 20thNight
13%5%25%42%15%1
400
21st to endNight
12%6%27%34%20%1
400
July1st to 10thNight
8%316%41%27%5%
510
11th to 20thNight
9%321%36%27%3
582
21st to endNight
10%317%40%28%2
657
August1st to 10thNight
9%316%41%27%3
597
11th to 20thNight
12%414%36%29%4
594
21st to endNight
12%219%34%29%4
711
September1st to 10thNight
15%5%19%32%26%4
800
11th to 20thNight
11%415%37%29%5%
800
21st to endNight
19%8%22%28%20%4
800
October1st to 10thNight
18%7%25%26%21%3
800
11th to 20thNight
21%12%31%25%9%2
800
21st to endNight
29%12%28%24%7%
880
November1st to 10thNight
20%13%30%27%10%1
820
11th to 20thNight
26%19%30%18%6%1
840
21st to endNight
30%19%31%16%5%
840
December1st to 10thNight
30%19%30%16%5%
840
11th to 20thNight
27%23%29%18%4
840
21st to endNight
31%18%31%19%2
924
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