The Lair
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the The Lair clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-27.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	11% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 52%	75013
	Night	10% 4 2 4 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 56%	75061
Transparency	Day	32% 5% 10% 21% 22% 10%	74738
	Night	29% 5% 11% 21% 22% 13%	74856
Seeing	Day	12% 7% 24% 30% 21% 6%	13851
	Night	12% 7% 31% 36% 14% 1	23926

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 6% 57%	1707
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 5% 6% 52%	1710
	21st to end	Day	13% 4 3 4 4 2 3 3 3 5% 56%	1935
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 6% 2 5% 3 2 3 3 3 5% 53%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 6% 2 4 4 2 4 3 5% 6% 49%	1749
	21st to end	Day	17% 6% 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 6% 52%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 2 5% 5% 2 4 4 4 6% 45%	1935
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 3 5% 5% 4 5% 48%	1980
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 3 2 2 4 5% 6% 53%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 7% 3 4 5% 2 5% 4 5% 7% 46%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 4 3 5% 6% 47%	1994
	21st to end	Day	13% 4 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 51%	2310
May	1st to 10th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 4 6% 7% 45%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 43%	2302
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 3 5% 6% 4 5% 6% 7% 8% 37%	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 1 4 4 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 55%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 1 3 4 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 54%	2340
	21st to end	Day	8% 3 2 4 5% 3 6% 6% 7% 10% 46%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 4 3 5% 6% 4 6% 5% 7% 9% 42%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 2 1 2 4 2 4 5% 7% 9% 60%	2340
	21st to end	Day	3 2 2 3 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 11% 55%	2546
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 3 3 2 4 3 5% 9% 66%	2328
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 4 5% 4 4 5% 6% 8% 51%	2149
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 6% 3 6% 6% 7% 8% 50%	2303
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 1 4 5% 4 4 6% 5% 7% 50%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 3 5% 6% 3 3 5% 4 7% 47%	1980
	21st to end	Day	8% 3 1 3 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 56%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 1 4 4 3 4 4 4 8% 59%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 2 4 4 2 3 4 4 5% 59%	1854
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 1 4 3 2 3 2 3 4 61%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 2 4 4 2 4 4 4 5% 54%	1858
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 4 2 5% 4 2 4 4 5% 7% 56%	1728
	21st to end	Day	16% 6% 2 4 4 2 4 3 3 5% 51%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 4 3 5% 53%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 3 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 48%	2161
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 5% 57%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 5% 5% 58%	2458
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 4 4 2 2 2 3 6% 57%	2470
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 3 4 3 2 4 3 3 6% 53%	2579
February	1st to 10th	Night	13% 5% 3 5% 4 2 3 3 4 6% 53%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 5% 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 6% 52%	2098
	21st to end	Night	16% 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 5% 5% 52%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 5% 2 4 4 2 3 4 5% 8% 48%	2023
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 4 4 3 5% 4 5% 6% 49%	1980
	21st to end	Night	10% 3 3 4 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 56%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 1 4 5% 2 4 5% 5% 7% 53%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 4 7% 49%	1911
	21st to end	Night	10% 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 54%	1648
May	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 2 4 4 3 4 3 5% 8% 53%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 1 3 4 2 4 5% 6% 9% 50%	1593
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 2 5% 4 2 5% 5% 6% 9% 50%	1745
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 3 4 2 4 5% 7% 9% 61%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	4 2 2 2 3 2 3 5% 5% 10% 63%	1620
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 2 2 3 3 5% 4 6% 8% 58%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 2 4 4 2 4 4 7% 11% 54%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 1 1 2 1 3 4 6% 10% 68%	1620
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 3 3 2 4 4 6% 12% 64%	1772
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 2 1 1 3 3 4 9% 75%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 1 4 4 2 4 4 5% 10% 56%	1747
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 1 4 4 2 4 4 6% 10% 56%	2052
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 1 3 4 3 5% 4 6% 8% 55%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 5% 2 4 4 6% 8% 50%	1980
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 1 3 3 2 4 4 6% 6% 60%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	5% 2 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 6% 67%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 6% 59%	2086
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 61%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 5% 60%	2220
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 6% 2 4 3 2 3 4 4 6% 60%	2450
	21st to end	Night	15% 5% 2 4 3 2 4 4 4 6% 50%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	11% 4 2 4 3 2 3 4 4 7% 55%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 7% 3 5% 4 2 3 4 4 6% 50%	3036
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 57%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	31% 3 5% 20% 28% 14%	1708
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 3 6% 17% 25% 14%	1710
	21st to end	Day	33% 3 6% 16% 26% 16%	1935
February	1st to 10th	Day	37% 4 6% 15% 22% 17%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 3 6% 19% 21% 13%	1759
	21st to end	Day	36% 4 5% 15% 23% 18%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	41% 5% 8% 14% 21% 11%	1935
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 5% 8% 12% 20% 15%	1980
	21st to end	Day	34% 4 9% 18% 22% 12%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Day	38% 4 8% 19% 17% 14%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 5% 8% 17% 20% 12%	1994
	21st to end	Day	34% 5% 7% 21% 24% 10%	2310
May	1st to 10th	Day	38% 5% 11% 17% 20% 8%	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 7% 10% 21% 18% 4	2306
	21st to end	Day	43% 8% 11% 22% 15% 2	2531
June	1st to 10th	Day	25% 6% 13% 29% 22% 4	2340
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 5% 14% 29% 19% 7%	2340
	21st to end	Day	31% 8% 13% 21% 22% 5%	2340
July	1st to 10th	Day	35% 8% 16% 27% 13% 2	2276
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 7% 15% 28% 25% 4	2271
	21st to end	Day	19% 7% 20% 36% 17% 1	2405
August	1st to 10th	Day	15% 5% 16% 36% 25% 2	2314
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 7% 15% 29% 15% 4	2149
	21st to end	Day	28% 7% 14% 29% 17% 4	2303
September	1st to 10th	Day	32% 6% 11% 23% 20% 9%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 6% 11% 19% 20% 6%	1980
	21st to end	Day	27% 5% 10% 22% 23% 13%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	24% 5% 11% 22% 24% 14%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 4 6% 17% 24% 19%	1854
	21st to end	Day	28% 4 4 17% 26% 21%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	33% 4 9% 20% 24% 11%	1858
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 4 10% 18% 23% 16%	1728
	21st to end	Day	38% 3 4 18% 22% 15%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	35% 3 8% 21% 23% 10%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 5% 9% 12% 23% 14%	2159
	21st to end	Day	32% 3 5% 15% 29% 16%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	29% 2 5% 19% 26% 18%	2458
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 2 6% 18% 26% 17%	2470
	21st to end	Night	35% 3 5% 15% 23% 19%	2579
February	1st to 10th	Night	34% 4 7% 13% 22% 19%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 2 6% 18% 22% 16%	2098
	21st to end	Night	36% 4 6% 14% 20% 21%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	35% 4 9% 15% 25% 11%	2023
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 5% 8% 15% 20% 15%	1980
	21st to end	Night	29% 6% 11% 19% 21% 13%	2178
April	1st to 10th	Night	31% 6% 9% 21% 19% 15%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 5% 10% 15% 20% 16%	1911
	21st to end	Night	31% 5% 11% 21% 22% 10%	1648
May	1st to 10th	Night	30% 6% 12% 23% 22% 9%	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 6% 16% 26% 17% 4	1594
	21st to end	Night	30% 6% 16% 31% 15% 2	1746
June	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 17% 31% 22% 4	1620
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 5% 16% 33% 21% 7%	1620
	21st to end	Night	23% 8% 13% 29% 22% 5%	1620
July	1st to 10th	Night	25% 8% 20% 32% 14% 1	1575
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 21% 33% 25% 4	1566
	21st to end	Night	13% 7% 24% 39% 17% 1	1673
August	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 17% 41% 25% 4	1601
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 7% 18% 31% 15% 5%	1747
	21st to end	Night	22% 7% 19% 30% 16% 5%	2052
September	1st to 10th	Night	28% 8% 12% 23% 20% 9%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 6% 15% 23% 17% 6%	1980
	21st to end	Night	24% 4 12% 25% 20% 14%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	19% 4 13% 26% 22% 17%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 4 9% 16% 22% 22%	2086
	21st to end	Night	28% 3 6% 17% 23% 23%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	28% 5% 8% 20% 26% 14%	2220
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 4 8% 21% 23% 17%	2450
	21st to end	Night	36% 4 7% 15% 22% 16%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	31% 3 10% 21% 23% 13%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 4 6% 12% 23% 18%	3037
	21st to end	Night	33% 3 4 15% 28% 18%	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	16% 18% 36% 24% 6%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 13% 38% 20% 7% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	17% 17% 41% 18% 6%	282
February	1st to 10th	Day	22% 15% 36% 23% 3	240
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 18% 40% 18% 3	240
	21st to end	Day	26% 20% 36% 17% 1	198
March	1st to 10th	Day	21% 15% 45% 15% 3	240
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 18% 38% 19% 5%	240
	21st to end	Day	17% 16% 43% 19% 5%	264
April	1st to 10th	Day	18% 19% 47% 13% 3	240
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 19% 38% 21% 4	272
	21st to end	Day	15% 18% 41% 18% 7% 1	570
May	1st to 10th	Day	11% 13% 38% 31% 7%	603
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 8% 31% 32% 11% 2	625
	21st to end	Day	15% 5% 29% 36% 14% 3	679
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 20% 41% 24% 7%	630
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 21% 51% 20% 3	630
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 16% 37% 31% 8%	630
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 1 11% 37% 33% 11%	621
	11th to 20th	Day	2 6% 36% 47% 9%	618
	21st to end	Day	3 1 4 35% 46% 12%	684
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 4 38% 44% 11%	626
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 34% 42% 11%	463
	21st to end	Day	5% 7% 27% 40% 21%	422
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 6% 17% 45% 22%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 8% 22% 46% 18%	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 2 6% 30% 33% 15%	270
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 16% 33% 35% 8%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 30% 33% 21% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 10% 25% 23% 20% 1	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	19% 6% 34% 29% 9% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 11% 28% 31% 11% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	23% 15% 36% 15% 10% 1	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	16% 7% 34% 30% 10% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 15% 39% 22% 7%	270
	21st to end	Day	16% 14% 40% 23% 5% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	15% 9% 39% 28% 8%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 11% 34% 31% 7%	950
	21st to end	Night	17% 11% 38% 28% 6%	939
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 13% 39% 28% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 13% 41% 24% 3	704
	21st to end	Night	20% 14% 46% 18% 2	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	17% 14% 39% 27% 2	583
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 12% 39% 29% 5%	540
	21st to end	Night	11% 13% 49% 24% 4	594
April	1st to 10th	Night	9% 11% 51% 26% 3	540
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 13% 46% 25% 3	533
	21st to end	Night	10% 12% 46% 24% 7%	540
May	1st to 10th	Night	12% 10% 46% 29% 3	540
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 39% 34% 10% 1	531
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 39% 35% 12%	584
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 29% 47% 18% 2	540
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 33% 51% 11% 1	540
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 20% 49% 22% 2	540
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 12% 52% 27% 2	525
	11th to 20th	Night	4 11% 54% 30% 1	522
	21st to end	Night	1 11% 53% 32% 3	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 7% 56% 32% 3	537
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 1 7% 48% 34% 4	534
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 6% 47% 36% 6%	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 13% 41% 33% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 1 8% 43% 34% 3	540
	21st to end	Night	9% 13% 42% 32% 4	540
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 18% 48% 24% 3	540
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 28% 39% 15% 2	646
	21st to end	Night	14% 9% 30% 30% 15% 1	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 4 30% 39% 14% 1	740
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 8% 33% 36% 13% 1	930
	21st to end	Night	17% 11% 31% 30% 10% 1	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	13% 9% 32% 37% 9%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 9% 33% 33% 6%	950
	21st to end	Night	17% 10% 34% 32% 7%	1045

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