Centreville
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Centreville clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-03-18.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	14% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 42%	78708
	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 44%	81068
Transparency	Day	39% 6% 12% 24% 16% 3	78420
	Night	39% 6% 11% 24% 17% 3	80876
Seeing	Day	18% 10% 25% 25% 16% 7%	14073
	Night	17% 9% 29% 31% 13% 1	23770

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	17% 4 2 4 4 2 4 4 5% 7% 47%	2627
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 10% 4 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 5% 40%	2840
	21st to end	Day	18% 9% 3 6% 6% 3 4 4 4 5% 38%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 3 6% 6% 3 5% 5% 5% 6% 40%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 8% 2 4 4 3 3 4 5% 8% 41%	1705
	21st to end	Day	20% 7% 2 5% 5% 3 4 4 3 7% 39%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 2 4 5% 3 5% 3 5% 6% 48%	2071
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 7% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 4 4 6% 43%	2058
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 38%	2200
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 4 4 5% 8% 44%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 48%	2134
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 40%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 2 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 8% 38%	2309
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 6% 3 5% 4 3 6% 5% 6% 8% 36%	2384
	21st to end	Day	14% 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 6% 6% 8% 41%	2725
June	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 4 4 3 5% 6% 7% 10% 43%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 3 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 7% 9% 41%	2520
	21st to end	Day	9% 3 2 4 5% 4 5% 6% 8% 10% 44%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 2 6% 5% 4 6% 6% 7% 9% 42%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 7% 12% 45%	2412
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 3 5% 6% 4 5% 7% 8% 11% 37%	2547
August	1st to 10th	Day	9% 6% 3 6% 7% 4 6% 6% 7% 9% 37%	2327
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 6% 6% 3 6% 7% 7% 9% 38%	2218
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 2 5% 6% 4 5% 5% 7% 9% 42%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 6% 5% 8% 44%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 8% 49%	2160
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 3 6% 5% 2 4 5% 6% 6% 39%	1886
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 2 5% 4 2 2 4 5% 7% 46%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 5% 2 4 3 2 4 4 4 6% 49%	1800
	21st to end	Day	15% 5% 2 5% 4 2 4 4 4 7% 49%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 8% 51%	1781
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 4 2 3 4 2 3 5% 5% 6% 51%	1682
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 2 3 4 3 5% 4 5% 5% 48%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 3 4 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 7% 41%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 5% 3 4 4 2 5% 4 4 7% 45%	1910
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 2 5% 6% 3 5% 5% 6% 8% 36%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	15% 7% 2 5% 4 2 3 4 4 6% 47%	4301
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 8% 2 4 4 2 3 3 4 5% 46%	4120
	21st to end	Night	20% 9% 3 5% 4 2 3 3 4 5% 42%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 6% 3 5% 5% 3 4 6% 5% 6% 41%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 7% 3 6% 4 2 4 3 4 6% 43%	2361
	21st to end	Night	17% 8% 3 5% 5% 2 3 4 5% 6% 42%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 48%	2106
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 3 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 43%	2068
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 6% 3 5% 4 5% 7% 41%	2156
April	1st to 10th	Night	14% 8% 3 6% 5% 2 4 5% 6% 6% 42%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 2 4 5% 3 4 4 5% 7% 47%	1775
	21st to end	Night	18% 5% 1 4 4 3 4 6% 5% 7% 43%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	17% 5% 2 6% 5% 3 5% 6% 5% 8% 39%	1666
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 6% 2 4 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 8% 38%	1505
	21st to end	Night	12% 7% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 6% 10% 41%	1550
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 4 3 4 4 2 5% 6% 6% 11% 45%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 6% 6% 9% 42%	1440
	21st to end	Night	10% 3 2 5% 5% 3 5% 4 8% 11% 43%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 6% 5% 8% 10% 41%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 2 6% 5% 3 6% 6% 7% 11% 45%	1543
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 3 4 6% 3 6% 6% 7% 11% 41%	1771
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 2 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 38%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 3 6% 6% 3 5% 6% 8% 9% 39%	1665
	21st to end	Night	9% 6% 3 6% 5% 4 4 6% 6% 10% 42%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	16% 5% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 4 8% 44%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 2 6% 4 3 4 4 5% 8% 50%	1800
	21st to end	Night	17% 7% 2 6% 5% 3 4 4 5% 6% 39%	2069
October	1st to 10th	Night	20% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 3 5% 5% 46%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 4 2 4 3 2 3 4 4 6% 51%	2160
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 49%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 5% 3 5% 4 2 3 4 3 5% 54%	2294
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 6% 2 4 3 2 4 3 5% 6% 50%	2496
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 49%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 3 5% 5% 2 4 4 4 6% 41%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 44%	3285
	21st to end	Night	18% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 6% 7% 37%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	37% 5% 8% 31% 15% 5%	2628
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 5% 9% 21% 14% 5%	2840
	21st to end	Day	49% 4 10% 23% 12% 2	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	45% 4 12% 24% 13% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 4 9% 25% 17% 3	1714
	21st to end	Day	46% 4 12% 20% 15% 3	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	37% 4 10% 26% 20% 3	2071
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 5% 10% 19% 18% 6%	2058
	21st to end	Day	46% 5% 10% 19% 16% 4	2200
April	1st to 10th	Day	38% 5% 12% 21% 19% 5%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 5% 10% 21% 21% 6%	2134
	21st to end	Day	43% 5% 11% 21% 16% 4	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	41% 7% 13% 21% 15% 2	2309
	11th to 20th	Day	45% 7% 13% 20% 13% 2	2388
	21st to end	Day	38% 8% 15% 26% 11% 2	2725
June	1st to 10th	Day	35% 8% 14% 26% 15% 2	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 9% 13% 24% 14% 2	2520
	21st to end	Day	32% 8% 17% 25% 17% 2	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	36% 8% 14% 21% 17% 3	2450
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 8% 16% 29% 14% 2	2339
	21st to end	Day	37% 10% 13% 22% 17% 1	2405
August	1st to 10th	Day	40% 8% 14% 25% 11% 1	2314
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 10% 14% 22% 15% 1	2218
	21st to end	Day	36% 8% 15% 25% 13% 4	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	37% 6% 15% 19% 18% 5%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 6% 8% 27% 21% 4	2160
	21st to end	Day	43% 5% 10% 21% 19% 2	1886
October	1st to 10th	Day	38% 5% 11% 26% 17% 3	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 4 9% 27% 21% 3	1800
	21st to end	Day	36% 4 8% 26% 23% 3	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	33% 4 11% 27% 20% 5%	1781
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 5% 10% 25% 21% 6%	1682
	21st to end	Day	37% 5% 10% 28% 18% 3	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	41% 5% 13% 25% 12% 3	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 4 9% 32% 12% 4	1906
	21st to end	Day	43% 8% 13% 25% 10% 1	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	38% 5% 8% 27% 18% 4	4301
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 4 10% 24% 19% 3	4120
	21st to end	Night	45% 4 8% 27% 16% 1	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	42% 6% 12% 24% 15% 2	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 4 8% 23% 18% 5%	2363
	21st to end	Night	43% 5% 10% 22% 16% 5%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	37% 4 11% 27% 18% 3	2106
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 5% 10% 22% 19% 4	2068
	21st to end	Night	42% 5% 10% 21% 16% 6%	2156
April	1st to 10th	Night	41% 5% 10% 19% 21% 4	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 5% 11% 22% 20% 6%	1775
	21st to end	Night	39% 6% 12% 24% 14% 5%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	41% 8% 12% 21% 13% 4	1666
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 6% 12% 19% 16% 2	1506
	21st to end	Night	37% 7% 19% 22% 13% 2	1551
June	1st to 10th	Night	33% 9% 13% 26% 16% 2	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 7% 15% 24% 13% 2	1440
	21st to end	Night	33% 8% 16% 22% 18% 3	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	38% 10% 16% 19% 13% 4	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 9% 17% 24% 17% 2	1494
	21st to end	Night	31% 8% 17% 27% 15% 1	1672
August	1st to 10th	Night	38% 9% 15% 22% 14% 1	1600
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 9% 14% 23% 12% 2	1665
	21st to end	Night	37% 7% 15% 24% 15% 3	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	40% 6% 10% 21% 18% 5%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 5% 9% 27% 22% 4	1800
	21st to end	Night	43% 7% 9% 20% 17% 3	2069
October	1st to 10th	Night	41% 4 10% 23% 18% 3	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 5% 8% 27% 22% 3	2160
	21st to end	Night	36% 4 9% 25% 21% 4	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	33% 3 9% 27% 22% 6%	2294
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 4 9% 23% 23% 6%	2496
	21st to end	Night	35% 5% 11% 26% 20% 4	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	43% 5% 11% 24% 15% 3	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 5% 10% 24% 17% 4	3288
	21st to end	Night	43% 8% 15% 22% 11% 1	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	24% 20% 35% 17% 3 1	213
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 19% 30% 19% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 22% 33% 15% 7% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	24% 19% 38% 14% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 23% 32% 11% 2	312
	21st to end	Day	28% 16% 33% 19% 4	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 19% 32% 23% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 18% 33% 17% 7% 1	449
	21st to end	Day	22% 16% 33% 21% 8% 2	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	21% 16% 32% 22% 7% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 16% 28% 22% 15% 4	412
	21st to end	Day	25% 9% 32% 21% 10% 2	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	22% 12% 29% 18% 15% 4	423
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 6% 31% 22% 16% 5%	447
	21st to end	Day	19% 4 20% 28% 21% 8%	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 3 24% 28% 21% 9%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 23% 30% 18% 10%	450
	21st to end	Day	9% 3 25% 35% 19% 9%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 13% 30% 25% 16%	445
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 15% 32% 34% 13%	444
	21st to end	Day	13% 2 18% 28% 28% 11%	488
August	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 13% 27% 32% 13%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 3 11% 30% 30% 13%	439
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 17% 31% 23% 20%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	18% 4 16% 22% 22% 18%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 16% 28% 23% 15%	450
	21st to end	Day	22% 7% 22% 28% 15% 6%	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	22% 5% 18% 25% 23% 7%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 10% 25% 28% 17% 3	450
	21st to end	Day	18% 8% 34% 26% 10% 4	495
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 10% 30% 28% 13% 3	419
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 10% 31% 25% 12% 2	342
	21st to end	Day	18% 20% 28% 23% 9% 2	180
December	1st to 10th	Day	19% 13% 38% 22% 5% 2	180
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 13% 31% 21% 9%	180
	21st to end	Day	25% 11% 33% 22% 8% 1	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 15% 42% 19% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 13% 34% 27% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	21% 14% 40% 24% 2	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 13% 38% 27% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 18% 38% 18% 2	743
	21st to end	Night	25% 16% 35% 21% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	20% 14% 39% 23% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 14% 35% 24% 5% 1	752
	21st to end	Night	18% 14% 39% 24% 4 1	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 19% 36% 23% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 10% 34% 30% 9% 1	711
	21st to end	Night	21% 8% 31% 33% 8%	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	20% 7% 30% 30% 12% 1	586
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 5% 25% 36% 12% 1	444
	21st to end	Night	14% 3 20% 41% 21% 1	389
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 1 24% 40% 23% 1	360
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 3 23% 39% 21% 2	360
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 19% 51% 19% 1	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 1 17% 43% 24% 5%	350
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 12% 39% 36% 5%	450
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 13% 42% 30% 4	591
August	1st to 10th	Night	10% 3 12% 41% 32% 3	537
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 2 10% 43% 30% 3	601
	21st to end	Night	11% 3 13% 40% 28% 5%	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	16% 4 14% 30% 31% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 13% 38% 32% 4	720
	21st to end	Night	20% 3 21% 33% 22% 1	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	23% 4 18% 31% 20% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 8% 27% 32% 16%	720
	21st to end	Night	17% 9% 32% 28% 13% 1	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 9% 31% 33% 12% 1	740
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 11% 34% 29% 8% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	15% 12% 32% 31% 9% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 12% 34% 25% 7% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 9% 39% 27% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 11% 35% 31% 3	836

Page generated at 2024-03-15 14:01:43. Version ac07

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