Bayt Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Bayt Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-01-12.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	8% 4 1 3 3 2 3 3 4 5% 64%	74764
	Night	9% 4 1 3 3 2 3 3 4 5% 64%	74950
Transparency	Day	24% 3 6% 19% 26% 21%	74476
	Night	24% 3 8% 21% 26% 19%	74760
Seeing	Day	11% 8% 28% 35% 13% 4	14096
	Night	11% 2 13% 35% 31% 7%	23688

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	18% 7% 2 4 4 2 3 5% 5% 7% 45%	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 5% 6% 53%	1552
	21st to end	Day	16% 8% 2 4 3 3 3 4 4 8% 44%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 6% 2 3 2 1 3 4 4 6% 52%	1696
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 7% 2 4 3 3 3 4 5% 5% 50%	1750
	21st to end	Day	17% 10% 4 5% 4 2 3 3 4 4 43%	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	18% 10% 2 6% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 7% 37%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 8% 2 5% 5% 3 4 6% 4 7% 42%	1938
	21st to end	Day	15% 6% 3 5% 4 3 3 5% 5% 7% 45%	2326
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 6% 52%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 4 4 7% 53%	2129
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 3 3 2 4 4 4 7% 56%	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 3 5% 64%	2218
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 4 2 2 3 3 4 7% 65%	2319
	21st to end	Day	7% 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 6% 62%	2723
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 6% 68%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 4 83%	2520
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 84%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 85%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 83%	2520
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 4 5% 77%	2606
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 83%	2224
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 85%	2122
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 86%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 86%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 81%	2114
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 79%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 1 2 2 1 2 4 4 4 70%	1870
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 5% 73%	1800
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 5% 71%	1962
November	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 2 3 4 3 3 4 4 6% 58%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 1 3 3 2 2 4 5% 6% 63%	1710
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 6% 60%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	14% 4 1 3 3 2 4 4 5% 7% 53%	1582
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 8% 2 6% 5% 3 3 3 3 6% 36%	1928
	21st to end	Day	13% 8% 4 6% 5% 3 4 5% 5% 7% 40%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	17% 5% 2 4 3 2 4 3 5% 7% 48%	2646
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 3 1 3 3 2 4 4 6% 8% 53%	2426
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 1 3 3 2 3 4 4 7% 51%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 5% 2 3 3 1 3 4 4 7% 53%	2261
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 7% 55%	2098
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 3 4 4 2 2 2 4 5% 50%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 3 4 4 2 3 4 4 5% 47%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 3 5% 8% 49%	2019
	21st to end	Night	16% 5% 1 3 3 1 3 3 4 6% 56%	2028
April	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 2 2 3 1 3 3 5% 7% 58%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 3 2 3 3 2 5% 3 4 4 63%	1779
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 1 2 3 1 3 3 5% 6% 66%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 6% 68%	1740
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 2 3 2 1 2 3 4 6% 72%	1571
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 1 2 2 1 1 3 3 5% 73%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 1 2 2 1 3 3 3 6% 72%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 85%	1440
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 4 87%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 2 3 89%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 81%	1440
	21st to end	Night	2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 4 75%	1708
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 84%	1713
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 85%	1780
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 88%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 90%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 83%	1844
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 4 82%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 74%	2087
	11th to 20th	Night	4 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 5% 76%	2160
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 5% 78%	2392
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 1 3 2 2 2 3 4 7% 64%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 1 3 3 1 2 3 5% 7% 65%	2470
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 5% 6% 60%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 2 4 4 2 3 2 4 7% 54%	2593
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 6% 2 4 4 2 3 4 5% 6% 39%	3276
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 2 6% 6% 4 5% 5% 6% 7% 39%	4862

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	38% 4 11% 25% 18% 5%	1519
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 4 9% 20% 19% 16%	1552
	21st to end	Day	42% 3 8% 18% 19% 10%	1782
February	1st to 10th	Day	35% 4 7% 26% 19% 9%	1696
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 4 8% 22% 23% 8%	1760
	21st to end	Day	45% 4 7% 22% 19% 2	1480
March	1st to 10th	Day	49% 4 9% 18% 17% 5%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 6% 9% 22% 16% 6%	1938
	21st to end	Day	39% 6% 14% 24% 13% 4	2326
April	1st to 10th	Day	34% 4 12% 25% 20% 5%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 4 10% 25% 22% 6%	2132
	21st to end	Day	28% 5% 9% 31% 24% 3	2160
May	1st to 10th	Day	23% 5% 8% 28% 30% 6%	2218
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 3 8% 28% 32% 8%	2322
	21st to end	Day	24% 4 7% 34% 25% 5%	2724
June	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 9% 22% 32% 14%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 4 19% 41% 24%	2520
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 2 10% 37% 41%	2520
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 1 8% 28% 55%	2451
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 3 10% 29% 48%	2445
	21st to end	Day	11% 3 3 11% 29% 43%	2461
August	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 2 10% 27% 49%	2208
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 2 1 10% 35% 45%	2122
	21st to end	Day	7% 2 10% 38% 43%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 2 8% 30% 50%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 3 2 21% 38% 27%	2114
	21st to end	Day	10% 3 3 18% 39% 28%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 3 5% 17% 28% 29%	1870
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 5% 20% 29% 28%	1800
	21st to end	Day	17% 3 5% 21% 31% 24%	1962
November	1st to 10th	Day	28% 4 7% 20% 23% 18%	1674
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 4 8% 23% 28% 15%	1710
	21st to end	Day	29% 2 7% 17% 28% 17%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	32% 4 8% 22% 21% 13%	1582
	11th to 20th	Day	51% 5% 7% 12% 15% 10%	1928
	21st to end	Day	42% 5% 9% 26% 12% 6%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	37% 3 11% 23% 21% 6%	2646
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 4 10% 22% 20% 14%	2426
	21st to end	Night	34% 3 10% 18% 23% 11%	2574
February	1st to 10th	Night	33% 3 8% 24% 21% 11%	2261
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 4 9% 25% 24% 9%	2099
	21st to end	Night	39% 2 10% 27% 17% 5%	1776
March	1st to 10th	Night	40% 4 12% 19% 20% 5%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 4 11% 24% 19% 7%	2019
	21st to end	Night	31% 4 16% 27% 16% 5%	2028
April	1st to 10th	Night	28% 3 17% 26% 19% 6%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 4 12% 28% 21% 9%	1779
	21st to end	Night	21% 5% 11% 35% 24% 4	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	19% 3 10% 31% 29% 8%	1740
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 2 7% 33% 34% 9%	1572
	21st to end	Night	16% 3 11% 35% 29% 6%	1552
June	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 10% 23% 33% 14%	1440
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 5% 24% 38% 26%	1440
	21st to end	Night	6% 1 2 13% 34% 43%	1440
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 1 6% 32% 55%	1400
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 2 8% 28% 49%	1392
	21st to end	Night	14% 3 2 11% 27% 44%	1613
August	1st to 10th	Night	9% 2 1 14% 25% 49%	1704
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 2 10% 33% 46%	1780
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 1 8% 38% 46%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 2 1 9% 29% 54%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 3 16% 44% 26%	1844
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 2 20% 41% 27%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 5% 18% 31% 27%	2087
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 3 6% 20% 31% 27%	2160
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 5% 24% 32% 26%	2392
November	1st to 10th	Night	23% 3 9% 22% 25% 19%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 3 8% 23% 29% 16%	2470
	21st to end	Night	27% 2 7% 21% 29% 15%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	33% 3 9% 19% 22% 13%	2593
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 4 10% 16% 17% 8%	3276
	21st to end	Night	42% 6% 10% 22% 13% 6%	4862

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	33% 6% 22% 22% 11% 5%	180
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 6% 26% 27% 15% 6%	266
	21st to end	Day	21% 6% 27% 26% 14% 5%	374
February	1st to 10th	Day	22% 10% 26% 24% 14% 3	374
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 12% 31% 23% 11% 2	415
	21st to end	Day	20% 14% 32% 25% 8% 1	346
March	1st to 10th	Day	27% 10% 32% 22% 8% 1	420
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 13% 26% 24% 10% 2	420
	21st to end	Day	23% 14% 29% 27% 6% 1	462
April	1st to 10th	Day	19% 15% 32% 24% 8%	420
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 18% 31% 24% 7% 1	412
	21st to end	Day	11% 16% 31% 27% 12% 2	420
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 15% 34% 28% 8% 3	423
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 12% 31% 31% 10% 3	448
	21st to end	Day	13% 10% 27% 35% 11% 4	485
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 12% 29% 33% 15% 5%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	4 10% 33% 35% 13% 5%	450
	21st to end	Day	3 7% 30% 40% 13% 7%	450
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 25% 50% 13% 7%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 18% 53% 14% 11%	444
	21st to end	Day	1 1 22% 52% 14% 8%	487
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 33% 41% 13% 5%	447
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 24% 48% 16% 6%	437
	21st to end	Day	1 2 25% 49% 17% 5%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 29% 45% 16% 3	450
	11th to 20th	Day	4 6% 33% 40% 15% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	4 6% 27% 46% 14% 2	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 9% 32% 37% 15% 2	450
	11th to 20th	Day	3 10% 31% 39% 14% 2	450
	21st to end	Day	7% 7% 26% 38% 18% 3	477
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 26% 31% 21% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 31% 31% 18% 7%	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 23% 31% 19% 6%	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 3 28% 29% 19% 4	210
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 6% 26% 31% 14% 7%	180
	21st to end	Day	22% 6% 27% 24% 13% 8%	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 3 17% 33% 18% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 3 19% 37% 21% 6%	724
	21st to end	Night	19% 4 16% 34% 20% 6%	792
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 3 15% 37% 21% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 15% 31% 25% 7%	704
	21st to end	Night	22% 4 14% 39% 18% 4	592
March	1st to 10th	Night	22% 5% 14% 38% 17% 5%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 4 11% 32% 29% 5%	720
	21st to end	Night	18% 3 14% 39% 22% 3	792
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 15% 40% 23% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 18% 35% 25% 5%	711
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 16% 39% 28% 7%	720
May	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 17% 38% 28% 6%	660
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 16% 36% 36% 3	509
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 14% 34% 37% 7%	389
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 9% 34% 43% 7%	360
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 13% 38% 44% 4	360
	21st to end	Night	1 11% 29% 53% 6%	360
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 33% 51% 8%	350
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 6% 33% 47% 10%	348
	21st to end	Night	2 8% 25% 50% 16%	526
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 11% 31% 46% 9%	639
	11th to 20th	Night	1 7% 32% 51% 9%	712
	21st to end	Night	2 6% 27% 54% 11%	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 7% 34% 45% 12%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 9% 35% 43% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	3 1 10% 37% 43% 7%	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 12% 44% 31% 7%	720
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 12% 40% 32% 9%	720
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 14% 31% 33% 15%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 1 11% 36% 28% 12%	740
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 17% 37% 28% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 18% 38% 24% 8%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 3 15% 38% 22% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 2 19% 35% 18% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	22% 4 19% 35% 17% 5%	836

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